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re: SOGgy NCAA Tournament Bracketology - 2/19/23 (8 SEC teams? 8 SEC teams!)

Posted on 2/19/23 at 8:23 pm to
Posted by colbycovington
Ruston
Member since Jan 2020
2092 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 8:23 pm to
Arkansas is Top 20 in:

Net
RPI
BPI

SOS is #6 in the country.

They won't be a 10 seed.
Posted by Jrv2damac
KS (mountain time)
Member since Mar 2004
72009 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

Also gimme Mizzou/Kansas


I’ll take a free ride to the sweet 16 too

Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105507 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 8:32 pm to
Arkansas has 7 Q1/2 wins and will likely have a Q4 loss in a few weeks.

Q1/2 Wins (Q3/4 losses)
Kansas - 17 (0)
Alabama - 14 (0)
Purdue - 14 (0)
Arizona - 13 (0)
Baylor - 13 (0)
Houston - 12 (1(
Texas - 12 (0)
UCLA - 11 (0)
Creighton - 11 (1)
Iowa - 11 (1)
Iowa State - 10 (0)
Kansas State - 10 (0)
TCU - 10 (1)
Tennessee - 9 (0)
Virginia - 9 (0)
Indiana - 9 (0)
Boise State - 9 (0)
Nevada - 9 (0)
UConn - 9 (1)
Gonzaga - 9 (1)
Michigan State - 9 (1)
Kentucky - 9 (1)
Rutgers - 9 (2)
Auburn - 8 (0)
Maryland - 8 (0)
Duke - 8 (0)
West Virginia - 8 (0)
Missouri - 8 (0)
Oklahoma State - 8 (1)
Oregon - 8 (1)
Saint Mary's - 8 (2)
Pitt - 8 (2)
Illinois - 7 (0)
NC State - 7 (0)
Mississippi State - 7 (0)
Memphis - 7 (1)
Michigan - 7 (1)
Arizona State - 7 (1)
Arkansas - 7 (1)
Texas A&M - 7 (2)
USC - 7 (2)
Penn State - 6 (1)
This post was edited on 2/19/23 at 8:40 pm
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
32356 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 8:38 pm to
One of the toughest schedules in the nation right now, and may end up with the toughest schedule over the next four games.

Bracketmatrix average right now for Arkansas is right at a 9 seed. Highest seed in brackets is a 6 and quite a few 7 seeds.

If Arkansas takes care of the home schedule, 20 wins with what might be the toughest schedule in the nation is a pretty impressive regular season end for Arkansas considering the injuries. Will be interesting on the seed line if Arkansas finishes, say 3-1 with NSJ having a growing impact what the committee thinks of that.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105507 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 8:45 pm to
quote:

what might be the toughest schedule in the nation


Arkansas is currently sitting at the #34 toughest schedule nationally per KenPom. That's 5th toughest in the SEC.

#9 Alabama
#18 Florida
#24 Vanderbilt
#32 Auburn
#34 Arkansas
#39 Tennessee
#47 Kentucky
#50 Ole Miss
#55 Missouri
#58 LSU
#62 Mississippi State
#76 South Carolina
#80 Texas A&M
#96 Georgia

Finishing with Bama, Tennessee, Kentucky probably pushes that to top 15-20 overall?

Arkansas splits the last 4 and I'd guess they are a 7 seed. Win in Knoxville and maybe a 5? Especially if Smith starts making things happen and sets a baseline for a "if they'd had him" scenario that is Top 15-25ish.

Either way, outside of a loss to Georgia they're clearly in the field and 9/10 is probably their floor at this point I'd guess.
This post was edited on 2/19/23 at 8:50 pm
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
32356 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 9:12 pm to
According to warrennolan, Arkansas sits at #6 in SOS.
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1804 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 10:06 pm to
Jesus that is a terrible bracket. For one, it has Miami listed twice. Second, Rutgers is around a 7 seed in every bracket, this one has them in the last four in. FAU as a 7 is hilarious too
Posted by AlbinoGator
Member since Oct 2016
2318 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 12:01 am to
I was going to point that out as well

How can Miami be a 5 seed in the east and a 4 seed in the South
Posted by LouisvilleKat
Member since Oct 2016
19359 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 1:04 am to
Posted by lowspark12
nashville, tn
Member since Aug 2009
22526 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 8:57 am to
quote:

said this about Auburn 2 weeks ago. They are dangerously close to being NIT bound


A win at Kentucky on Saturday would be nice… but have to beat UT at home, then win a game or two in Nashville.

It’s a very similar spot auburn found itself in in 2019… but this team doesn’t have the raw talent or depth of that group unfortunately.
This post was edited on 2/20/23 at 9:01 am
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
135376 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 9:17 am to
Kentucky too high
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28553 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 9:38 am to
You should put this on a site and get registered with bracket matrix if you haven't already
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105507 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 9:59 am to
LOL absolutely not. It's not very good, just fun to play with.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28553 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 10:14 am to
quote:

LOL absolutely not. It's not very good, just fun to play with.


Good, you might get famous then

Joe Lundari and Jerry Palm are some of the worst on there and look at them
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28553 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 10:16 am to
quote:

will likely have a Q4 loss in a few weeks.


You think LSU will drop that much? More than 80 spots?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105507 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 10:34 am to
quote:

You think LSU will drop that much? More than 80 spots?


No, I messed that up. Had been thinking about how we'd all get Q4 wins for LSU at home, but they won't fall far enough for a road loss to them to be Q4.
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54836 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 10:38 am to
quote:

If Auburn doesn't win 1 of @ Kentucky, @ Bama, vs Tennessee (in addition to Ole Miss at home)......they're gonna have a nervous Sunday.
If Auburn beats OM and loses the other 3 in competitive games, I think they probably are in a play in game. Win 2 and they are likely in an 8-9 game.

Obviously, what happens with other bubble teams matters as well.
This post was edited on 2/20/23 at 10:40 am
Posted by Rayburn8
Member since Jun 2014
1715 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 10:41 am to
If Jans makes the tourney in year one with this roster, he’s a miracle worker and I’ll be very excited for the future (already am but even moreso).
This post was edited on 2/20/23 at 10:43 am
Posted by KellerChrystFan
Member since Sep 2018
9630 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 10:43 am to
quote:

Maybe Sweet 16 matchups


Neither of those teams are going to the S16 so they’ll gladly take that guaranteed first round matchup.
This post was edited on 2/20/23 at 10:54 am
Posted by Harry Rex Vonner
Foggy Bottom Law School
Member since Nov 2013
47220 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Neither of those teams are going to the S16





Tennessee knows so much about Sweet 16's
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