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SOGalytics Strength of Resume Ranking & CFP Playoff Bracket
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:03 pm
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:03 pm
Went through each FBS vs FBS game and assigned pts based on
- Home/Away
- Pt Margin (capped at +/- 30 per game)
- Postgame Expected Win %
- Opponent F+ Ranking
- subtract points for a loss
Collegefootballdata is a pretty awesome site. You can get almost anything in excel from there. Anyway, kind of interesting. Can't account for some things like head to head, so there are probably a few teams clumped together that would get manually swapped due to things like that.
4 Northern teams hosting 3 SEC teams + a team from Arizona would certainly fit the criteria for all the people wanting to see Sun Belt teams play up north when it's freezing.
- Home/Away
- Pt Margin (capped at +/- 30 per game)
- Postgame Expected Win %
- Opponent F+ Ranking
- subtract points for a loss
Collegefootballdata is a pretty awesome site. You can get almost anything in excel from there. Anyway, kind of interesting. Can't account for some things like head to head, so there are probably a few teams clumped together that would get manually swapped due to things like that.
4 Northern teams hosting 3 SEC teams + a team from Arizona would certainly fit the criteria for all the people wanting to see Sun Belt teams play up north when it's freezing.
This post was edited on 12/5/24 at 6:07 pm
7
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:09 pm to SummerOfGeorge
SMU at 4 in the SOG analytics? Nope, don’t like that. Don’t send this to the committee.
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:10 pm to elposter
quote:
SMU at 4 in the SOG analytics? Nope, don’t like that. Don’t send this to the committee.
If they lose to Clemson they'd drop bigly.
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:12 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
If they lose to Clemson they'd drop bigly.
Well, how bigly? Like, say, below #11 bigly?
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:13 pm to elposter
quote:
Well, how bigly? Like, say, below #11 bigly?
The numbers change weekly but a 10 pt loss where it isn't a fluke (post-game win prob % under 15%) just added in would drop them to right around where Miami is per the current nerd lytics.
With the loss penalty it's pretty hard for a team to be in front of a different team that has 2 less losses than they do. Probably a bit of a flaw, but didn't have time to dive into standard deviations and the like to fix it
This post was edited on 12/5/24 at 6:15 pm
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:17 pm to SummerOfGeorge
It is interesting that Penn State's average opponent (using SP+) on the season is worse than both Notre Dame's and SMU's.
#1 Ohio State
#25 USC
#34 Minnesota
#41 Illinois
#57 Washington
#64 Wisconsin
#67 West Virginia
#73 Bowling Green
#76 UCLA
#89 Maryland
#121 Purdue
#134 Kent State
1 Top 20 opponent, 2 Top 30 opponents, 4 Top 50 opponents
SMU
#18 Louisville
#20 BYU
#36 TCU
#40 Duke
#45 Cal
#47 Pitt
#62 Boston College
#84 Florida St
#86 Virginia
#100 Stanford
#115 Nevada
#1 Ohio State
#25 USC
#34 Minnesota
#41 Illinois
#57 Washington
#64 Wisconsin
#67 West Virginia
#73 Bowling Green
#76 UCLA
#89 Maryland
#121 Purdue
#134 Kent State
1 Top 20 opponent, 2 Top 30 opponents, 4 Top 50 opponents
SMU
#18 Louisville
#20 BYU
#36 TCU
#40 Duke
#45 Cal
#47 Pitt
#62 Boston College
#84 Florida St
#86 Virginia
#100 Stanford
#115 Nevada
This post was edited on 12/5/24 at 6:24 pm
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:21 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
It is interesting that Penn State's average opponent (using SP+) on the season is worse than both Notre Dame's and SMU's.
Atrocious OOC schedule and the bottom half of the Big 10 really sucked.
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:43 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
It is interesting that Penn State's average opponent (using SP+) on the season is worse than both Notre Dame's and SMU's.
How about IU’s? Had to be pretty bad.
Posted on 12/5/24 at 6:46 pm to elposter
quote:
How about IU’s? Had to be pretty bad.
Very bad. Worse than everyone in the Top 15 other than Boise.
SP+ Opponent Average Rank - Rank
#7 Georgia
#9 Alabama
#12 South Carolina
#36 Texas
#39 Ole Miss
#47 Ohio State
#54 Tennessee
#57 SMU
#59 Oregon
#61 Miami
#63 Arizona State
#65 Notre Dame
#70 Penn State
#78 Indiana
#91 Boise State
#119 Army
Posted on 12/5/24 at 7:15 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Are Penn State fans not embarrassed?
They can’t think they’re always ranked properly, right?
They can’t think they’re always ranked properly, right?
Posted on 12/5/24 at 8:07 pm to ReauxlTide222
Have you ever talked with a PSU fan? They have no shame about their lack of understanding of how football, and the world at large, works. I still remember the time i had to argue with a forum full of them for weeks leading up to the 06-07 title game because they thought Florida didnt deserve to be there
Posted on 12/5/24 at 9:20 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 12/5/24 at 9:27 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I kinda laugh at that because sure the players aren't used to cold but after a certain point cold is cold so I don't think it will matter like people think or to that degree.
Posted on 12/5/24 at 10:25 pm to PuertoRicanBlaze
Really would have loved to play bama this year.
Posted on 12/5/24 at 10:25 pm to SummerOfGeorge
You have the Fiesta and Peach bowls mis-assigned. #4 goes to Fiesta, #3 to Peach.
But I agree with SMU #3, Boise #4 should those teams win their CG’s.
But I agree with SMU #3, Boise #4 should those teams win their CG’s.
Posted on 12/5/24 at 10:56 pm to Demosthenian
Pretty sure it's like it was previously where top seeds get to pick or at least make requests.
Posted on 12/5/24 at 10:56 pm to ManBearSharkReb
quote:
Really would have loved to play bama this year.
K
Posted on 12/6/24 at 6:17 am to Temple of the Dog
Nope. It’s based on historic bowl tie-ins, and geographic proximity. So they’re assigned, host schools aren’t choosing.
In this case Boise has ties to Fiesta, as does their round 1 match-up opponent.
SMU as an ACC school (now) has ties to the Peach Bowl.
Also this matches the relative geographic proximity of these 2 host schools.
In this case Boise has ties to Fiesta, as does their round 1 match-up opponent.
SMU as an ACC school (now) has ties to the Peach Bowl.
Also this matches the relative geographic proximity of these 2 host schools.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 6:20 am to PuertoRicanBlaze
now if you move your eyes just to the right a bit and compare the next two teams.....kinda throws that metric to shite.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 7:11 am to Demosthenian
that's a big change from the 4 team model.
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