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SEC West Matchups by the stats : LSU-Auburn and Arkansas-Texas A&M
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:18 am
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:18 am
All data taken from S&P Advanced Stat Profiles
S&P Advanced Stat Profiles
AUBURN VS LSU : LSU by 7.6
When Auburn has the ball
Auburn Offense Efficiency : 89th
LSU Defense Efficiency : 17th
Auburn Rush Success : 49th
LSU Rush D Success : 13th
Auburn Power Success Rate : 38th
LSU Power D Success Rate : 94th
Auburn Rushing Stuff Rate : 95th
LSU D Rushing Stuff Rate : 77th
Auburn Pass Success : 120th
LSU Pass D Success : 37th
When LSU has the ball
LSU Offensive Efficiency : 100th
Auburn Defensive Efficiency : 56th
LSU Rush Success : 95th
Auburn Rush D Success : 53rd
LSU Power Success Rate : 108th
Auburn Power D Success Rate : 32nd
LSU Rushing Stuff Rate : 74th
Auburn D Rushing Stuff Rate : 81st
LSU Pass Success : 76th
Auburn Pass D Success : 69th
Advanced stats pretty much confirm what the naked eye says : this one is going to be a slugfest. LSU has had trouble punching people in the mouth up front (as evident by the poor Stuff and Power Rates), but Fournette makes up for a lot of it. Etling is obviously the wild card here as their passing and efficiencyy ratings include the porous Harris performance in week 1. If Etling can play game manager and make enough throws to keep things honest you have to think LSU will grind it out.
ARKANSAS VS TEXAS A&M: Texas A&M by 0.4
When Arkansas has the ball
Arkansas Offense Efficiency : 51st
Texas A&M Defense Efficiency : 35th
Arkansas Rush Success : 73rd
Texas A&M Rush D Success : 64th
Arkansas Power Success Rate : 38th
Texas A&M Power D Success Rate : 82nd
Arkansas Rushing Stuff Rate : 62nd
Texas A&M D Rushing Stuff Rate : 28th
Arkansas Pass Success : 26th
Texas A&M Pass D Success : 26th
When Texas A&M has the ball
Texas A&M Offensive Efficiency : 45th
Arkansas Defensive Efficiency : 77th
Texas A&M Rush Success : 47th
Arkansas Rush D Success : 90th
Texas A&M Power Success Rate : 106th
Arkansas Power D Success Rate : 53rd
Texas A&M Rushing Stuff Rate : 19th
Arkansas D Rushing Stuff Rate : 118th
Texas A&M Pass Success : 48th
Arkansas Pass D Success : 61st
Will be interesting to see if the script flips this year with Arkansas throwing more and Texas A&M running more (with Knight and the WRs due to difficulties power running inside the tackles). Should be a great one.
S&P Advanced Stat Profiles
AUBURN VS LSU : LSU by 7.6
When Auburn has the ball
Auburn Offense Efficiency : 89th
LSU Defense Efficiency : 17th
Auburn Rush Success : 49th
LSU Rush D Success : 13th
Auburn Power Success Rate : 38th
LSU Power D Success Rate : 94th
Auburn Rushing Stuff Rate : 95th
LSU D Rushing Stuff Rate : 77th
Auburn Pass Success : 120th
LSU Pass D Success : 37th
When LSU has the ball
LSU Offensive Efficiency : 100th
Auburn Defensive Efficiency : 56th
LSU Rush Success : 95th
Auburn Rush D Success : 53rd
LSU Power Success Rate : 108th
Auburn Power D Success Rate : 32nd
LSU Rushing Stuff Rate : 74th
Auburn D Rushing Stuff Rate : 81st
LSU Pass Success : 76th
Auburn Pass D Success : 69th
Advanced stats pretty much confirm what the naked eye says : this one is going to be a slugfest. LSU has had trouble punching people in the mouth up front (as evident by the poor Stuff and Power Rates), but Fournette makes up for a lot of it. Etling is obviously the wild card here as their passing and efficiencyy ratings include the porous Harris performance in week 1. If Etling can play game manager and make enough throws to keep things honest you have to think LSU will grind it out.
ARKANSAS VS TEXAS A&M: Texas A&M by 0.4
When Arkansas has the ball
Arkansas Offense Efficiency : 51st
Texas A&M Defense Efficiency : 35th
Arkansas Rush Success : 73rd
Texas A&M Rush D Success : 64th
Arkansas Power Success Rate : 38th
Texas A&M Power D Success Rate : 82nd
Arkansas Rushing Stuff Rate : 62nd
Texas A&M D Rushing Stuff Rate : 28th
Arkansas Pass Success : 26th
Texas A&M Pass D Success : 26th
When Texas A&M has the ball
Texas A&M Offensive Efficiency : 45th
Arkansas Defensive Efficiency : 77th
Texas A&M Rush Success : 47th
Arkansas Rush D Success : 90th
Texas A&M Power Success Rate : 106th
Arkansas Power D Success Rate : 53rd
Texas A&M Rushing Stuff Rate : 19th
Arkansas D Rushing Stuff Rate : 118th
Texas A&M Pass Success : 48th
Arkansas Pass D Success : 61st
Will be interesting to see if the script flips this year with Arkansas throwing more and Texas A&M running more (with Knight and the WRs due to difficulties power running inside the tackles). Should be a great one.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:25 am to SummerOfGeorge
One teams stats are against 2 non cupcakes the other are against teams with an average rank of 82
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:26 am to Old Sarge
quote:
One teams stats are against 2 non cupcakes the other are against teams with an average rank of 82
These stats are opponent adjusted, so the opponents are irrelevant
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:27 am to Old Sarge
quote:
One teams stats are against 2 non cupcakes the other are against teams with an average rank of 82
just stop
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:27 am to SummerOfGeorge
Thanks for the stats......
I do think LSU / Auburn will be the same type of game these teams always play at Auburn, hard hitting and CLOSE.
Almost always something crazy happens.....
I do think LSU / Auburn will be the same type of game these teams always play at Auburn, hard hitting and CLOSE.
Almost always something crazy happens.....
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:29 am to SummerOfGeorge
A&M is higher in 7/10 and significantly so in a couple. I am not sure how this is expected to be THAT close based on these stats.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:30 am to SummerOfGeorge
Based on those statistical profiles, I don't really see how they only have A&M as a .4 point favorite. Seems like it should be more than that.
ETA - dammit Farmer you beat me.
ETA - dammit Farmer you beat me.
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 9:31 am
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:33 am to RoscoeHarper
quote:
Based on those statistical profiles, I don't really see how they only have A&M as a .4 point favorite. Seems like it should be more than that.
This one probably has something to do with it
FINISHING DRIVES
Arkansas Offense : 7th
Texas A&M Offense : 47th
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 9:35 am
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:38 am to SummerOfGeorge
That could be. We had two drops in the end zone against Auburn, hopefully more efficient down there going forward.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:38 am to SummerOfGeorge
Those 5 fields goals last week must have impacted it
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:40 am to Farmer1906
quote:
A&M is higher in 7/10 and significantly so in a couple. I am not sure how this is expected to be THAT close based on these stats.
Because you are aggy. You historically disappoint. We are daddy. Get used to it.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:41 am to ArmyHogs
We're having a real conversation. Why don't you pipe down and go sit in and corner.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:42 am to Old Sarge
quote:
Those 5 fields goals last week must have impacted it
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:43 am to Farmer1906
It's true, thought. They are taking into account that the aggies are historical disappointments
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:48 am to ArmyHogs
4-0 has not reall dissappointed me that much tbh
Posted on 9/21/16 at 11:21 am to hawgfaninc
A&M about to get their pussy's kicked in
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