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re: SEC teams with mathematical shot to make the playoffs (Let's do some math)
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:16 am to 03 West CoChamps
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:16 am to 03 West CoChamps
Current percentages to make it, according to ESPN's playoff predictor (which is less of a presumption of losses/wins based only on how many games are left, but how many in which the team is favored, by how much, and the threshold of losses in relation to other factors):
Georgia - 96%
Alabama - 82%
Texas - 75%
Tennessee - 24%
Kentucky - 21%
Ole Miss - 20%
LSU - 15%
Missouri - 15%
Miss State - 14%
It appears most models presume Georgia, Alabama, and Texas are in the playoffs (presently) and 1, maybe 2 from the remaining pool of 6 potentially get in. If I had to pick 1, I'd say Kentucky as out of the remaining 6 has the best shot. The already played Alabama, don't play Georgia or Texas, and of the 5 other possible teams they only have two - Tennessee and Missouri.
Georgia - 96%
Alabama - 82%
Texas - 75%
Tennessee - 24%
Kentucky - 21%
Ole Miss - 20%
LSU - 15%
Missouri - 15%
Miss State - 14%
It appears most models presume Georgia, Alabama, and Texas are in the playoffs (presently) and 1, maybe 2 from the remaining pool of 6 potentially get in. If I had to pick 1, I'd say Kentucky as out of the remaining 6 has the best shot. The already played Alabama, don't play Georgia or Texas, and of the 5 other possible teams they only have two - Tennessee and Missouri.
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:16 am to RTRnFlorida
Wow…they have only one game left against teams that have at some point not been ranked in the top 10, and that is a road game. Plus, 3 teams they have already played were at one time in the top 10. So in the end, they are playing 8 games v a top 10 team.
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:18 am to 03 West CoChamps
Alabama should be banned from the playoffs for scheduling Chattanooga on Nov 21
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 10:20 am
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:19 am to 03 West CoChamps
Why am I seeing 4-1 for Missouri? It should be 5-1.
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:21 am to RTRnFlorida
quote:
but holy shite do they have a tough schedule.
Yes we do. Kind of goes against the narrative that Mizzou always gets handed a weak/easy schedule. It is true we had a run of a few years where we drew a favorable conference schedule (we don't decide that), and it works in our favor that our P4 out of conference rival is garbage and never seems to be worth a shite. This year, we drew a brutal conference slate. But - you have to play the games that are lined up - so go play the games and enjoy them!
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:25 am to LouisvilleKat
quote:
No one is safe. Every team in this conference can shite the bed on any given Saturday
That is only half of it......
Attrition from injuries and wear and tear is going to be even worse with an extra conference game.
Miami and Notre Dame have a distinct advantage entering the playoffs.
All because ESPN cried to Sankey that they wanted more inventory.
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:29 am to skrayper
The SEC isn’t getting four teams in and neither is the BIG, both are top heavy with a bunch of pretty good teams but few great ones. It’s Alabama and Georgia then everyone else with a huge drop off after Mizzou. Florida, Tennessee, MSU, Kentucky, Texas aren’t playoff teams with Texas being the most likely of that group but that’s simply because of their name
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