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re: SEC teams that still have a chance for the CFP
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:18 am to CBandits82
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:18 am to CBandits82
quote:
its both
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:20 am to gaius julius bevo
I tend to agree with you. Texas does have two bad losses, but they beat Tennessee head to head, and if they win out would have a win against LSU, Ohio State, Ole Miss and Missouri, so that is impressive.
Tennessee would only have a win against Alabama, LSU and Kentucky as impressive wins.
Tennessee would only have a win against Alabama, LSU and Kentucky as impressive wins.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:25 am to VFL67
If they are still 10-2 there is a chance they are close enough to 10-2 Bama that the head to head matters at that point.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:32 am to Simple Solution
CFP is not taking five SEC teams.
They would, but there won’t be 5 two loss sec teams at seasons end.
They would, but there won’t be 5 two loss sec teams at seasons end.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:35 am to Simple Solution
LSU plays two top 10 teams next, they absolutely have a chance to move up.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:50 am to Topwater Trout
quote:
the scenario proposed was 5 sec teams with 2 losses and which 3 would be left out...what 2 would get left out?
Your scenario is retarded. If all finished with two losses, only Kentucky gets left out, and maybe not even them.
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 11:51 am
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:05 pm to CBandits82
quote:Not really. It would take a massive implosion from the other conferences
If LSU wins out they have a chance IMO
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:11 pm to MemphisGuy
IF LSU wins out, which I don't think we do (loss @Tenner), they will absolutely be close. They'd be 9-3 along with Texas and Tennessee with the head to head over both.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:22 pm to VFL67
Honestly, I dont give a damn how many SEC teams go to the CFP. I just want an SEC team to win it.
The B1G fans have been talking that talk and I'm sick of it.
The B1G fans have been talking that talk and I'm sick of it.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:38 pm to Mag Tango
quote:
Your scenario is retarded. If all finished with two losses, only Kentucky gets left out, and maybe not even them.
can you read or are you retarded? go back and read the OP dumbass...it isn't my scenario it was literally stated in the OP. No way Georgia, Bama and Texas get left out...it would be UK and Tenn missing the playoff.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:40 pm to CatfishJohn
If LSU wins out they need Ole Miss to lose again.
Otherwise they end up right next to each other in the cfp rankings and thats when head to head kicks in according to the committee.
Otherwise they end up right next to each other in the cfp rankings and thats when head to head kicks in according to the committee.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:47 pm to Simple Solution
quote:
Alabama
Georgia
Kentucky
Tennessee
Texas
It's possible for all five of these teams to win all their remaining regular season games. If the CFP only takes three SEC teams, which two get left out?
Here are the odds I have for making the playoffs as of now. This is based on current resume and the odds of them winning out and so forth.
Alabama and Georgia are pretty much locks unless some crazy shite happens and they lose 2 more games.
Texas is damn near a lock because this is their rank while they have a good chance of losing to LSU. They could lose and still make it the playoffs if it's a respectable loss.
Tennessee has 48% odds because they still need to beat LSU, but they don't have the existing resume Texas has(and Texas beat them). But if Tennessee beats LSU, then they will pretty much be a lock. They get that game at home.
So that's 4 that are close to being locks.
Kentucky is likely out. They are probably going to finish 9-3. Maybe they can go undefeated and get in.
LSU has slightly better odds than Kentucky, they obviously need to win out and likely they need to do it winning big. They'll still be borderline though.
Ole Miss is pretty much done unless some crazy shite happens with other teams. They don't have any games left to impress.
Based on SoS I think the SEC should be getting 5 minimum honestly. Probably not going to happen but the SoS differences are outrageous.
Also ignore the bye and conference stats. That's based on no conference championship game and such. I should have cut them out, I just didn't see the point in doing the work for games that aren't going to be there next year.
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 12:50 pm
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:53 pm to NickPapageorgio
quote:
If LSU wins out they need Ole Miss to lose again.
Otherwise they end up right next to each other in the cfp rankings and thats when head to head kicks in according to the committee.
Maybe -
But you can have this as final SEC order in the CFP rankings:
Georgia
Bama
Ole Miss
LSU
Texas
Tennessee
This would mean Kentucky drops a couple more, which they easily could (Florida, @Mizzou, Louisville), and LSU wins out. South Carolina and Mizzou lose to UGA and they'll be out.
Or Ole Miss loses and Kentucky takes their spot in the above rankings. It'll be hard then with the head-to-heads because Tennessee killed them, but they beat LSU barely at home.
I don't know how it'll shake out, bottom line is if LSU wins out, they have a pretty good shot. I think we lose @Tenner though and this is moot.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:56 pm to SoFla Tideroller
quote:
The CFP was specifically created to screw the SEC and bolster the B1G. No way 5 get in.
It wouldn't surprise me. It is by far the best conference this year.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:56 pm to CatfishJohn
I think the three loss teams are pretty dead now unless absolute madness happens.
We will see.
We will see.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 1:04 pm to NickPapageorgio
quote:
I think the three loss teams are pretty dead now unless absolute madness happens.
We will see.
With the depth and strength of the SEC this year, I have a hard time thinking they just take 3 SEC teams and there's a good shot there are only 3 (or even 2) with 2 losses or less.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 1:09 pm to CatfishJohn
Two loss B1G teams will eat up the spots.
3 of the 5 SEC left teams will make it through with 2 losses i think.
Maybe all 5.
3 of the 5 SEC left teams will make it through with 2 losses i think.
Maybe all 5.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 1:12 pm to Topwater Trout
quote:
Tenn missing the playoff.
Yer tarded. If UT wins out they will host, and might even have a bye.
They are already in the playoffs now. Only a loss removes them from the playoffs.
Tard.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 1:15 pm to Simple Solution
Kentucky and Texas will shite the bed!
Posted on 11/10/26 at 1:23 pm to NickPapageorgio
quote:
3 of the 5 SEC left teams will make it through with 2 losses i think.
Maybe all 5.
2 loss SEC teams and their schedules with my predictions:
Alabama - @Vandy (W), Chattanooga (W), Auburn (W)
Kentucky - Florida (toss up), @Mizzou (L), Louisville (toss up)
Texas - @LSU (L), Arkansas (W), @A&M (W)
Tennessee - @A&M (W, but I could see this being closer than the experts think in a trap game), LSU (toss up), @Vandy(W)
Then other 3 loss teams that I think lose are USCe and Mizzou, both to UGA. Ole Miss is @Oklahoma this week, which is not a cake walk, but I expect them to bounce back and win out. LSU has the toughest road and if they beat top 10 Texas and @Tennessee (and Arky obviously), they could be 4th out of SEC teams vying for playoffs.
It does come down to how much respect the committee gives the SEC, in a year we have just beaten the shite out of each other, but maybe have the deepest roster of teams in memory.
ETA:
Dawgs aren't losing again in the regular season and I think are the best tema in the country, so I omitted them from this.
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 1:26 pm
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