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re: SEC NCAA Tourney watch

Posted on 2/26/26 at 1:17 pm to
Posted by Hugh McElroy
Member since Sep 2013
19952 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

A&M now has to win this weekend. Have to beat the other bubble teams in order to squeak in. Have to hold serve at home. That is just to be in the discussion again.


We probably have to win 2 of our last 3 to be in. We might get in just winning 1, but they would be very dicey. Win 2 of our last 3, we're in.
Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
27390 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 3:23 pm to
Texas, UK, and LSU. Winning two of those three is doable but not a slam dunk either. I expect Texas to get a lot of calls at A&M this weekend. We've already beaten them once and the conference would prefer a split
Posted by Mizzoustance
Akron, OH
Member since Nov 2019
467 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 5:01 pm to
3 of these teams(Mizzou, A&M, Auburn) wont get dinged with a loss to Bama with Bediako, when the COMMITTEE discusses their resumes.
This post was edited on 2/26/26 at 5:04 pm
Posted by TrueLefty
St. Louis County
Member since Oct 2017
18659 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

New fans are better than no fans.


Are you saying dumb fans are better than no fans?
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
7358 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 6:19 pm to
They also lost to Texas and LSU lol. But yes as I said they are likely already in…

Auburn probably done now though, which is deserving
Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
27390 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 6:39 pm to
Aren't dumb fans equivalent to t-shirt fans? I feel like we've had this discussion before
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
21524 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 7:46 pm to
What seated teams get in? I thought everybody in conference got in. My bad if I am wrong as I may be.
Posted by porcine1
Fayetteville
Member since Nov 2010
641 posts
Posted on 2/27/26 at 7:25 am to
quote:

Are you saying dumb fans are better than no fans?


Not at all. Not all dumb fans are new, and vice versa.
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
34275 posts
Posted on 2/27/26 at 7:26 am to
Ken, I'll take things that South Carolina fans don't have to worry about for $400...
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
22940 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:08 am to
SEC locks:

Florida
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Arkansas
Tennessee

Should make it:

Kentucky
Georgia

Bubble:

Texas (36 Net, 17-11, q1/2 record 8-10)
TAM (43 Net, 19-10, q1/2 record 8-10)
Mizzou (54 Net, 20-9, q1/2 record 10-9)

I still have not wrapped my head around exactly how net is calculated. Missouri has a better overall record and better record against q1/2 teams than the other two, but has the lowest net. Texas is the only team with a “bad” loss, a loss to a q3 team, yet they are the highest rated.

And somehow Auburn still has a respectable net of 39 despite being 15-14 overall, 7-13 against q 1/2 teams, and having a q3 loss. I think teams should be rewarded for playing a tough schedule. But there is no way Auburn should be in the top 40.




Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
27390 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:13 am to
Conference wants Texas in and A&M out. A&M doesn’t deserve a spot after losing this weekend. Something happened with this team because the offense has completely changed in a month or so. Too bad because Texas doesn’t deserve one either. SEC is just meh this year.
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
5212 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:17 am to
Is GA out if they lose their last 2 and lose their first SEC tourney game?
Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
27390 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:20 am to
Probably not. It is a weak field this year outside of the one’s.
Posted by Knockout Martini
Member since Mar 2026
24 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Conference wants Texas in and A&M out. A&M doesn’t deserve a spot after losing this weekend. Something happened with this team because the offense has completely changed in a month or so. Too bad because Texas doesn’t deserve one either. SEC is just meh this year.
My God do you whine about Texas in every one of your posts?

I think it's more than fair to say Texas is one of the top 40-45 teams in the country to earn an at-large berth. A&M is borderline but probably also deserving as well at the end of the day
Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
27390 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:22 am to
They are garbage tier. They have beaten nobody. Honestly only three or four SEC teams should get in. Florida is the only one with a shot against the elite teams.
Posted by Knockout Martini
Member since Mar 2026
24 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:25 am to
Texas is tied for 11th in the country in quad 1 wins, but sure: "garbage tier" that has "beaten nobody"

You are one cranky aggie this morning
Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
27390 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:26 am to
Texas couldn’t get out of the first weekend.
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9392 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:27 am to
NET intentionally does not reflect quality of wins and losses.

That's what Q1-Q4 records are for and also Wins Above Bubble (WAB). And WAB is probably the most reflective of any of these in where the committee actually seeds teams.

NET is mainly just opponent adjusted performance stats that do not consider wins or losses.

For example, if your season was playing Duke 10 times and losing all 10 games 85-83 but thereby having almost the same stats as them your NET would be almost the same as theirs.

If you beat 10 mediocre teams 85-83, you're NET would be almost the same as those mediocre teams.

NET is supposed to accompany quality wins and losses and not necessarily reflect them.


Posted by Knockout Martini
Member since Mar 2026
24 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:27 am to
I love the tears. Keep 'em coming!

Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
22940 posts
Posted on 3/1/26 at 9:40 am to
Net seems to be the most emphasized metric when they compare different bubble teams though.
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