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re: S&P+ Picks for SEC Games : Week #6

Posted on 10/4/18 at 6:13 pm to
Posted by atlgator
Jacksonville, Atlanta, Gainesville
Member since Aug 2014
5520 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

If the line is -3


The line is -1 and will be a pick em by gametime
Posted by Rougarou13
Brookhaven MS
Member since Feb 2015
6839 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 6:14 pm to
Not according to the S&P here...which I’ve been told, by the good men and women of the site, is infallible.
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
14807 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 6:17 pm to
What I'm trying to figure out is that since this projection is geared towards betting, are they projecting 27-25 UF for real or is that adjusted with the -3 line that they're using. In which case their "on the field" projection is 25-24 LSU.
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9847 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 6:29 pm to
What metric? The one that says your rushing D is absolute trash?

UF will not win at the LOS and thus lose the game.
Posted by AU_251
Your dads room
Member since Feb 2013
11559 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 6:46 pm to
The swamp is gonna swallow the faux tigers
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9847 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 6:47 pm to
You should have been swallowed. Grats on the close loss last weekend.
This post was edited on 10/4/18 at 6:47 pm
Posted by AU_251
Your dads room
Member since Feb 2013
11559 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 6:52 pm to


Don’t hate on my hogs just cuz LSU has two losses in a row coming up
This post was edited on 10/4/18 at 7:03 pm
Posted by crimsonuatide
Member since Jul 2017
1663 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 7:02 pm to
Auburn doesn't know how to 23-22. Ask LSU.
Posted by atlgator
Jacksonville, Atlanta, Gainesville
Member since Aug 2014
5520 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

UF will not win at the LOS and thus lose the game.




How many scholarship OL does LSU have healthy?

And ask Miss State about Florida’s run defense since Adam Schuler, David Reese and Cece Jefferson came back after the Kentucky game. Much different story since then.
Posted by finestfirst79
Vicksburg, Mississippi
Member since Nov 2012
11646 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 7:12 pm to
quote:

#13 Kentucky - 26.10
Texas A&M - 26.05


Damn! What I'd give for another 0.06 points!
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9847 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 7:33 pm to
All of them.

And nice MSU reference. They have scored 1 TD in the past two weeks. Real powerhouse.
Posted by bfniii
Member since Nov 2005
17840 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

by all metrics Florida should win this game
other than that pesky fact that despite the teams being mostly equal statistically, lsu has been at the top of strength of record for multiple weeks. meaning, lsu has been equal to florida except against better competition overall. also, check out the stats for conference games. lsu significantly better in this category. if that state receiver hadn't dropped that sure td, we would probably be having a completely different conversation. also, uk and state dropped several easy int's.

lsu's o line has been beating teams despite being a mash unit. this week, they're almost back to 100% which is not good for merlins.
Posted by Masterag
'Round Dallas
Member since Sep 2014
18805 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

Do Aggies really think they’re going to win?





it's Kentucky. They are who we think they are, we won't let em off the hook
Posted by tiger81
Brentwood, TN.
Member since Jan 2008
18816 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 8:18 pm to
LSU will be 6-0 Saturday night. Guarantee it.
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
46188 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

#8 Auburn - 23
Miss State - 22
Line : Auburn -3.5

So 13 FGs and 3 safeties?
Posted by Bucks2TigerFan
Member since Jun 2018
825 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 11:07 pm to
S&P+ accuracy is 54% correct against the spread.

It's not like these numbers are cast in stone and guaranteed.

Way too much ado over that measly 4% extra.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 11:16 pm to
quote:

which I’ve been told, by the good men and women of the site, is infallible


No you haven't
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 11:17 pm to
quote:

S&P+ accuracy is 54% correct against the spread.

It's not like these numbers are cast in stone and guaranteed.

Way too much ado over that measly 4% extra.


Dunno who is making ado about it
Posted by Rougarou13
Brookhaven MS
Member since Feb 2015
6839 posts
Posted on 10/5/18 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

No you haven't


Actually...since Florida is picked to win this weekend by the prediction model, ivehad several conversations with baws and bawettes about how the S&P is the greatest statistic there is.
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