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re: Looking at AU stats they should be 5-0

Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:36 pm to
Posted by cdur86
Member since Jan 2014
1617 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:36 pm to
the sad part is that AU hasn't played a team with a great offense yet. It's only going to get worse
Posted by RelentlessTide
Member since Feb 2020
4119 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:37 pm to
That’s the spirit!
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50586 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:39 pm to
Auburn just needs to hunker down and stfu.

Fans too. No booing in front of recruits.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
13x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
50473 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:40 pm to
You have to take out the stats from your two wins if you want to play this game in earnest.

What is the numbers comparison in your 3 losses?
This post was edited on 9/30/24 at 3:41 pm
Posted by RTRnFlorida
Member since Mar 2024
2584 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:41 pm to
Sounds like you played poor competition with lack of coaching. Also seems you need more skilled athletes. But Auburn does like being on bottom
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50586 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

You have to take out the stats from your two wins if you want to play this game in earnest.

I am comparing year over year.
quote:



What is the numbers comparison in your 3 losses?
Not sure. But we havent had a problem moving the ball if we can hold onto the ball.
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50586 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

Sounds like you played poor competition with lack of coaching.

We did last year as well.
Posted by Union Jefferson
Member since Sep 2024
65 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:51 pm to
Stats are for losers. The only stat that counts is W-L's.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3687 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:51 pm to
According to SP+’ postgame win expectancy, based off how things have gone this season Auburn should have 3.88 win. We had a 100% postgame win expectation in the two actual wins. In our losses, it said we had a postgame win expectation of 19.3% against Cal, 75.3% against Oklahoma, and 93.3% against Arkansas.

Add that up and we should have 3.88 wins instead of two.

How many MORE wins should each SEC team have at this point based on SP+ Postgame Win Expectancy:

1.88- Auburn
0.87- Vanderbilt
0.75- Ole Miss
0.46- Florida
0.26- Miss St
0.22- Arkansas
————————
0.00- Texas
-0.06- Tennessee
-0.10- Alabama
-0.18- Kentucky
-0.28- LSU
-0.47- Georgia
-0.62- S Carolina
-0.82- Missouri
-1.16- Texas A&M
-1.55- Oklahoma

Yes Auburn is snake bit so far this season. The Big 12 bunch there at the bottom are fortunate to have the records they do.

Hopefully by season’s end it will all even out.

Posted by Lg
Hayden, Alabama
Member since Jul 2011
8528 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

No booing in front of recruits.


You might want to clue your HC into not doing this as well. He does it in every Monday morning news conference.
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50586 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:58 pm to
Thanks for that info
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
69849 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

We stumbled against NM State last year


Because you spent that entire week practicing for Alabama, thinking New Mexico State would be a cake walk.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34479 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 3:59 pm to
According to your coach, it's literally everyone else's fault other than his own.

Even the previous coaching staff that hasn't coached a down since 2022.
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50586 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 4:01 pm to
He has a problem of saying what is understood, but is best left alone..

He deserves some flack, but some of the narratives against him are insane. Wallace went from knighting Freeze to bashing him in months??
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50586 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 4:02 pm to
He inherited like 27 players on his roster after the transfers left. I dont think what he said was unreasonable.
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
29029 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Let me show you our last 20 HS quarterbacks signed

I don't mean to pile on here, but when just the two QBs currently playing in the NFL were starting at Auburn, it wasn't all that great either:

'17 [10–4] Stidham (Malzahn)
'18 [8–5] Stidham
'19 [9–4] Nix
'20 [6–5] Nix
'21 [6–7] Nix (Harsin)
---------------------------------------
      [39–25] 0.609
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
38163 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 4:06 pm to
Would you say if they played them all 9 more times they'd win all 9?

Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50586 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

don't mean to pile on here, but when just the two QBs currently playing in the NFL were starting at Auburn, it wasn't all that great either

The offenses did not help Bo, nor Stidham succeed. 18 passing TDs a year with NFL talent at QB.
This post was edited on 9/30/24 at 5:44 pm
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
11068 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 4:08 pm to
You are delusional. You have a head coach who is stuck in 2014. Things have changed since then.
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50586 posts
Posted on 9/30/24 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

Would you say if they played them all 9 more times they'd win all 9?
No. That was disrespectful.


But I might think that.


If Spurrier said it would he get a pass? Just curious.
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