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Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:19 am to MilkJug
quote:
Guys, my model predicts who would be favored in a matchup.
The projection you posted shows wins/losses and a score.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:19 am to Trumansfangs
quote:
Thats some funny stuff. Say, despite this projection, didn't LSU lose to Kentucky already this year ?
Not as funny as losing to a team like Moo State
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:22 am to Trumansfangs
quote:
The projection you posted shows wins/losses and a score.
Yep, and that's all based on the projected spread. The model predicts the spread and the total. A score prediction just comes out of that.
Just like Vegas.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:28 am to MilkJug
quote:
Guys, my model predicts who would be favored in a matchup.
And it has been correct at doing that in every SEC game every week. You can cry about what it's predictions say all you want. The list shows who would be FAVORED in the game.
And everyone outside 2 random people have told you your model is shite and no one cares about it or has any use for it. But you keep on, every week, pushing your dumbass model as if this board will suddenly adopt you as some sort of football madman genius. That hasn’t happened, so now you have resorted to using it to kind of trash talk.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:29 am to GhostofAlfredBlue
quote:
it has let you play above your "ceiling"
I hope you don't operate heavy equipment or do anything of importance.
Not turning the ball over allows you to play up TO your potential, not above it.
Unless you think not turning the ball over makes you run faster, block, tackle, catch and throw better. Or go for it on 4th and 1 to salt away the game.
Of all the crying by LSU fans, this one comes with the most slobber.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:30 am to MilkJug
Face it Kentucky is better then lsu they already proved it you can make all this BS model up it still leave you with a loss
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:35 am to ummagumma
quote:
And everyone outside 2 random people have told you your model is shite and no one cares about it or has any use for it. But you keep on, every week, pushing your dumbass model as if this board will suddenly adopt you as some sort of football madman genius. That hasn’t happened, so now you have resorted to using it to kind of trash talk.
Yet my model has been correct every week at picking the favorite. So, either you don't understand what the list is telling you OR you're mad about what the list is telling you.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:36 am to TDCat
quote:
Of all the crying by LSU fans, this one comes with the most slobber.
LSU fans have proven themselves to be both historically stupid and incredibly emotional.
They are the missing link in the evolutionary timeline.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:40 am to PGJ
quote:good job. this is the point they’re missing. To OPs point, what you just said is the EXPECTED outcome for UK this season. They’re already 10 pt dogs to Tennessee.
With Tenn, fla, and Mizzou remaining on their schedule I wouldn't be surprise to see them lose 2 of those and finish 9-3. How many times have we seen a team come out of nowhere and run up an amazing 6-7 game streak only to finish the season with multiple losses and a trip to the Cheez-Its Bowl?
How big an underdog will they be against Florida and Missouri? Can they continue overcoming time and time again? They’re like a Pomeranian but very fierce for their size
This post was edited on 10/27/26 at 8:41 am
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:45 am to TDCat
Right....
see what i am saying is that its not just you arent turning the ball over.( i know you guys think everyone is "salty" or "melting" and trying to attack you.) its that your are getting turnovers in a large plus margin, which has allowed better outcomes, that makes models have a hard time to predict or reflect. or in other words to play above your ceiling. which again is not taking away from this team, it is just not the norm. hence why you see this team still not being favoured. not just milks model but also the vegas models im sure would be sorta like this.
a good past team to look at was I believe USC in like 21-23 or something when they had caleb williams they had a crazy plus margin in TOs and it had them out perform the models.
see what i am saying is that its not just you arent turning the ball over.( i know you guys think everyone is "salty" or "melting" and trying to attack you.) its that your are getting turnovers in a large plus margin, which has allowed better outcomes, that makes models have a hard time to predict or reflect. or in other words to play above your ceiling. which again is not taking away from this team, it is just not the norm. hence why you see this team still not being favoured. not just milks model but also the vegas models im sure would be sorta like this.
a good past team to look at was I believe USC in like 21-23 or something when they had caleb williams they had a crazy plus margin in TOs and it had them out perform the models.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:47 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
How big an underdog will they be against Florida and Missouri?
They have Florida at home. Right now, my model has that game as a pick'em. This may change depending on the results of the Tenn game.
They are currently a 5.5 point dog @Missouri. This will also change depending on the results of the Tenn and Florida game.
They are currently a 3.5 point favorite over Louisville. And this will change depending... blah blah blah
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:54 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
what you just said is the EXPECTED outcome for UK this season
We were expected to lose to LSU.
Fortunately games are played where poor coaching can determine games.
Sorry you guys are going bankrupt so you can lose to inferior programs. I'm sure the Red Stick is full of these:
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:57 am to MilkJug
Cats are having a great season.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 9:18 am to MilkJug
Stop it, let UK enjoy this while it lasts.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 9:24 am to WG_Dawg
quote:
Who knew going from kroger field to a neutral field would result in a 17 point swing?
Wow UK has some SERIOUS home field advantage
It got us for 15. I get why it wouldn't predict another 4 td beat down, but I'll still nod and agree.
Posted on 10/27/26 at 9:37 am to BluegrassBelle
quote:
So what’s your criteria for this model?
Whatever stats say LSU is number 1 and for this particular one however it gets LSU to be favored the most
Posted on 10/27/26 at 9:43 am to ummagumma
I think Kentucky finishes 10-2 and gets a playoff game with OSU. Should be a good one
Posted on 10/27/26 at 9:43 am to MilkJug
quote:
I have devoted my time to further proving how embarrassing a loss for LSU the UK game is
Weird flex.
This reminds me of the butt hurt caused by the 2018 team with other conferences members
This post was edited on 10/27/26 at 9:44 am
Posted on 10/27/26 at 9:47 am to GhostofAlfredBlue
quote:
I dont think UK people understand what the +13 in TO does for a team...
that’s not taking away from what the team has done but it has let you play above your "ceiling" i guess is a good to say that.
Or we have some pieces on defense that from a skill perspective turn folks over regularly.
It’d be fluky if it was the first 2-3 games but we’re 8 games into the season. At some point it’s beyond luck and more you have some damn good ball hawks on the defensive side of the ball.
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