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Posted on 3/5/20 at 9:08 am to Byrdybyrd05
It wont impact college football
Posted on 3/5/20 at 9:56 am to RD Dawg
We don't know how many in the US are infected. There could be many mild cases that haven't been diagnosed. Of the 159 patients that have been diagnosed as of this morning, 11 died for a 6.9% death rate.
Posted on 3/5/20 at 10:11 am to Whiznot
For those that are interested, here is a real time link to those that are infected world wide (that we know of).
Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by Johns Hopkins CSSE
All epidemics follow the following growth curve (this one is for bacteria, but conceptually, the patterns are the same as we are seeing here)
As you can see, there are four phases. Lag phase, Exponential growth phase, sationary phase and decline phase (Called "Death" on the chart. It's important to note that the "death phase" in this graph is where the bacteria are dying off. In an epidemic/pandemic this is equivalent to people squiring immunity to the virus, NOT people dying.) The real issue is we don't know how high the exponential growth phase will go. This is shown as "Theoretical growth" on the chart.
However, if you look at the site I posted above you can see that while the rest of the world is in the exponential growth phase, China has entered the stationary phase. This is good news and somewhat of a predictor of what may happen world wide. This is especially true since most doctors are being vigilant in looking for the virus now.
Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by Johns Hopkins CSSE
All epidemics follow the following growth curve (this one is for bacteria, but conceptually, the patterns are the same as we are seeing here)
As you can see, there are four phases. Lag phase, Exponential growth phase, sationary phase and decline phase (Called "Death" on the chart. It's important to note that the "death phase" in this graph is where the bacteria are dying off. In an epidemic/pandemic this is equivalent to people squiring immunity to the virus, NOT people dying.) The real issue is we don't know how high the exponential growth phase will go. This is shown as "Theoretical growth" on the chart.
However, if you look at the site I posted above you can see that while the rest of the world is in the exponential growth phase, China has entered the stationary phase. This is good news and somewhat of a predictor of what may happen world wide. This is especially true since most doctors are being vigilant in looking for the virus now.
Posted on 3/5/20 at 10:37 am to Byrdybyrd05
I'm not frightened by the virus. I'll take caution if it becomes a pandemic, but it's no reason for a young, healthy adult like me to live in fear.
Banning large public gatherings would be wise if it becomes a pandemic with a 2-3% death rate (most of whom would be elderly). Plus, viruses mutate easily, and with an exponential increase in infections, the odds of viral mutations also increase. It would become much more difficult to develop a cure at that point.
Banning large public gatherings would be wise if it becomes a pandemic with a 2-3% death rate (most of whom would be elderly). Plus, viruses mutate easily, and with an exponential increase in infections, the odds of viral mutations also increase. It would become much more difficult to develop a cure at that point.
Posted on 3/5/20 at 11:13 am to Whiznot
quote:
We don't know how many in the US are infected
Okay?
quote:
Of the 159 patients that have been diagnosed
I thought you said we didn't know how many were infected?
quote:
for a 6.9% death rate.
Such a fricking idiot.Yesterday you put up a 3% number from those bastions of integrity:The World Health Organization.
Do you honostly think the death rates in China will be remotely close to the US? LINK
Harvard Doctor real case fataliy rate
Posted on 3/5/20 at 12:31 pm to RD Dawg
Some infected people haven't been diagnosed yet. We have a lot of people carrying undiagnosed respiratory infections. Widespread testing hasn't been done yet. Doctors and hospitals have been unable to get tests.
Posted on 3/5/20 at 8:43 pm to BoomNation
I hope you are right
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:08 pm to TrueReb13
SXSW just got canceled. The CDC has only produced 75,000 tests and needs to have 1,000,000. We can't know if the virus is around us because hospitals can't get tests.
covid-19-a-few-inconvenient-truths/
I hope this thing just blows over but that's not what I think. Cuss at me all you want, I don't care.
covid-19-a-few-inconvenient-truths/
I hope this thing just blows over but that's not what I think. Cuss at me all you want, I don't care.
Posted on 3/8/20 at 8:04 pm to BoomNation
dont-panic-the-comprehensive-ars-technica-guide-to-the-coronavirus/
This post was edited on 3/8/20 at 8:08 pm
Posted on 3/12/20 at 4:34 pm to Slackaveli
quote:Told Y'all dumb asses.
Ummm, yeah, that aint how viruses work, Bubba.
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