How Many Wins are on the Razorback Schedule?

I really though Arky would have to make significant improvement in the wins column after last year. Nowhere to go but up, right? But looking at this schedule...

Portland State - W

Arky has this one easy.

Ole Miss - 35/65

This is a real question mark for next year. Matt Luke is too much of an unknown commodity and I have no idea how that Ole Miss team will look this year. Arky may have a chance, but it will be a road game.

Colorado State - 50/50
San Jose State - 50/50

Arky got embarrassed by North Texas last year. These are not auto wins for this program. They likely win one of the two.

Aggie - L

Slaughter.

Kentucky - 40/60

Stoops has that program trending in the right direction. I think Arky is likely to lose this away game.

Auburn - L

Slaughter.

Alabama -L

One of two things will happen: 1) Bama totally disintegrates Arky or 2) Bama will treat this as a bye week and will only win by like 24 points. Tide's bench will see lots of action.

State - L

This one might not be a beatdown, but I am extremely confident that State wins this game in Fayetteville. Not gonna put a percentage on it.

Western Kentucky - 50/50

This team usually has slightly better athletes than the San Jose States and Colorado States of the world. Expect Arky to win this one at home in a close one as a way to rally the tail end of the season.

LSU - L

My mind wants to say slaughter, but it's Arky. LSU will win, but not without the historically appropriate foibles that put LSU's post-season prospects in jeopardy.

Mizzou - 20/80

I think Kelly Bryant is better than expected and torches Arky's defense as a way to make an end-of-season statement to NFL scouts.

I think this is a 4 or maybe 5 win team. Where am I wrong here?