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re: How Many Wins are on the Razorback Schedule?

Posted on 7/17/19 at 10:36 am to
Posted by CrabInMyShoeMouth
Member since Jul 2016
2486 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 10:36 am to
quote:

I don’t think people not in the know about State realize how bad a fit Fitzgerald or Thompson were/are at QB for Joe’s system. Fitz was a hell of a football player but a shitty QB for Joe’s system


Fitz's stats, along with MS St.'s offense, has been pretty consistent statistically the three years he started. Under Mullen and Moorehead.
Posted by hogcard1964
Illinois
Member since Jan 2017
10383 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 10:47 am to
3

They'll drop one non conference game and lose out in the SEC again.
Posted by BoerneAg
Hill Country, God's Country
Member since Apr 2019
2329 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 10:54 am to
I see a Baylor like turnaround for Arkansas. I think they get 6 wins.
Posted by msudawg1200
Central Mississippi
Member since Jun 2014
9405 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 11:35 am to
His competition % was down 4% under Moorhead and he averaged a full yard less per rush from his junior year and two from his sophomore year. It doesn’t seem big but it is. He regressed and a senior he shouldn’t. He made bad reads, I think more in the run game than pass game which took the ball out of our best player’s(K Hill) hands. Stats are what they are and can be manipulated for any argument. The fact is , and I’m telling you if you ask any player or coach connected to them team ,including Fitz, is that he didn’t fit Joe’s O at all and couldn’t run it properly.
Posted by CrabInMyShoeMouth
Member since Jul 2016
2486 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

His competition % was down 4% under Moorhead and he averaged a full yard less per rush from his junior year and two from his sophomore year. It doesn’t seem big but it is. He regressed and a senior he shouldn’t.


It's approximately 1 less completion and 15 less rushing yards per game. You may have a point regarding rushing and I agree he shouldn't have regressed, but it was a minimal regression statistically.

An outsider looking in may chalk that up to coaching/scheme/playbook change before flat out stating MS St. struggled relative to expectations because Fitz didn't fit Moorehead's system.

Not saying it isn't true, it's just a tough buy as a primary reason State didn't do better than 8-4 as 8-4 has basically been State's ceiling for the better part of 2 decades.
This post was edited on 7/17/19 at 12:33 pm
Posted by msudawg1200
Central Mississippi
Member since Jun 2014
9405 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 12:48 pm to
That one less completion equaled L’s to Florida and Iowa, but neither were on Fitz as both were dropped TDs that would’ve led to wins. Point is that one competition(or incompletion) a game can be huge. Difference between 8-5 and ranked 25th and 10-3 and ranked between 13 and 18.
Posted by Tigerlaff
FIGHTING out of the Carencro Sonic
Member since Jan 2010
20850 posts
Posted on 9/22/19 at 9:26 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/23/19 at 10:48 pm
Posted by Tigerlaff
FIGHTING out of the Carencro Sonic
Member since Jan 2010
20850 posts
Posted on 9/23/19 at 10:48 pm to
Bump

I would like to revise my prediction: Arky is likely a 3 win team.
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