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re: Dont tell anybody but Alabama and LSU's 4 hardest games are basically a wash

Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:50 am to
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24500 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:50 am to
quote:

I would post the goalpost moving gif but I’m feeling lazy


My argument throughout has been that the difference in schedules so far is there, but is fairly small. Alabama was an 18 point favorite @Texas A&M. LSU was a 14 point favorite vs. Florida. It stands to reason that Alabama would be just as likely to beat UF in Tuscaloosa as they were to win in College Station
Posted by purpgoldblood
stick
Member since Oct 2005
1147 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:50 am to
So outside of the western devision LSU plays Texas and Florida while Bama plays who- Duke, South Carolina?
You can cherry pick all the stats you want but this remains an idiotic post
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
44874 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:51 am to
There you go again
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24924 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:54 am to
quote:

Your best win is Dookie.

/thread



That is probably Alabama's third best win so far.

Frankly none of this matters. There are maybe half a dozen teams that can beat Alabama or LSU this year and neither one of us have played any of those teams yet. Everything is still to be determined and splitting hairs about the flawed teams played and beaten so far is pretty meaningless. Both teams will meet in November undefeated and settle it.

Unless Alabama loses that game and then, of course, we will REALLY settled it in late December or January.
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24500 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:54 am to
quote:

Bama's top two wins average rank is #23

LSU's top two wins average rank is #15

I would not consider that a very thin margin.


The key being that both of Bama's were on the road. @A&M vs. @Texas is a total wash. Florida is a 7 point favorite @Carolina with Carolina's QB situation in shambles. Were LSUs 2 hardest games more difficult? Yes. Notably so? No
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35930 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:54 am to
Texas A&N has wins vs:
- Arkansas (by 4 points)
- Lamar
- Texas State


That is Alabana's best win according to Glamorous!
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24500 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:56 am to
quote:

So outside of the western devision LSU plays Texas and Florida while Bama plays who- Duke, South Carolina?


How much harder is Florda at home vs. South Carolina on the road? Ill give you a hint, its not much

quote:

cherry pick


I used arguably the 4 most used analytical ranking website and they all came in with roughly the same results. Duuuuur cherry picking
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 10:01 am
Posted by MC123
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
2029 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:01 am to
yet you intentionally exclude the AP and Coaches Poll rankings

Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171036 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:04 am to
quote:

Bama would not give up 300+ to Florida’s backup if they played at Bama


Why not, Daniel?

Bama defense has given up:

324 and 2 TDs to Hilinski at USCjr (his season high)
250 total yards and 3 total TDs to Plumlee at awful ole Miss
354 total yards and 3 total TDs to Mond

Average scores:

LSU 52.5-21.2 or 31.3 point MOV
Bama 51-17 or 34 point MOV

With LSU facing the 13th ranked scoring offense (Texas) vs Bama facing the 38th (Duke), that difference is irrelevant. Especially when LSU actually has faced 2 offenses better than Bama's toughest. Texas and GA Southern are both above Duke.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171036 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:05 am to
quote:

@A&M vs. @Texas is a total wash


Lol what?
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24500 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:05 am to
quote:

yet you intentionally exclude the AP and Coaches Poll rankings


The people at Vegas, who use systems like the one I used and are without bias, don't give a fiddler's frick about the polls
Posted by Hook Em Horns
350000 posts
Member since Sep 2010
15087 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:05 am to
Your schedule is shite. I have eyes. I dont care what kind of stats you come up with nerd. Try as you might you cant get blood from a turnip.
Posted by BYULSUalum
Salt Lake City, Utah
Member since Jan 2008
259 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:09 am to
texag7 said,
quote:

Florida’s back up put up 3 hundy plus on dbu. That would not happen vs Bama in Tuscaloosa


Stay out of this, Ag. Your team has not earned any cred, and you need to go to your corner, put your "I'm an Alabama biatch" dunce hat on, and wait until summoned for your punishment at Tiger Stadium on Nov 30.
Posted by bulletprooftiger
Member since Aug 2006
2040 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:12 am to
Why only top 4? Why not look at all 6 wins?
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24500 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Why only top 4? Why not look at all 6 wins?


I didn’t see the point in adding Northwestern St, Southern Miss, New Mexico State, or Georgia Southern. Southern Miss was the only one that consistently ranked in the top-100
Posted by theliontamer
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
873 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:15 am to
I expect florida and texas to be ranked much higher than south carolina and duke at the end of they year
Posted by bayou85
Concordia
Member since Sep 2016
8622 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:18 am to
LSU beat 2 teams in the top 15.

Bama doesn't have a ranked team on its W list.

But yeah, totally the same thing.
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
37521 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:18 am to
Anyone who looks at lsu vs Bama without bias can see Bama has the edge.

They have the edge at

Coaching
QB
Running back
Dline
Wide receiver

Haven’t looked into linebackers and dbs but LSU’s dbs are giving up yards.

I think lsu will score several times but this is still a Bama win by a minimum of 10 points
Posted by tmjones2
TX
Member since Feb 2013
1511 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:20 am to
Who cares? People really want to act like Bama wouldn't absolutely destroy Texas and UF if they played?
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24500 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:22 am to
quote:

LSU beat 2 teams in the top 15.

Bama doesn't have a ranked team on its W list.

But yeah, totally the same thing.


Would Texas be ranked with A&M’s schedule?

@Clemson-L
Bama-L
AU-Toss up

A&M is probably is 4-2 right now if their schedule was OU, La Tech, Rice, OKSU, LSU, and West Virginia

Florida probably isn’t ranked if they played at Mizzou and Georgia plus had Bama at home
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 10:24 am
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