diddlydawg7's 2023 SEC Preseason Prediction Breakdown

I've assigned a percent chance that I think each team has to win a given game and then used those to create projected records.


Alabama
MTSU- 99.5%
Texas- 79%
@ South Florida- 97%
Ole Miss- 83%
@ Miss St- 86%
@ Texas A&M- 77%
Arkansas- 87%
Tennessee- 72%
LSU- 58%
@ Kentucky- 80%
Chattanooga- 99.9%
@ Auburn- 86%

Conference: 6.3-1.7
Total: 10.0-2.0
Projection: 10-2 (6-2 SEC)


Arkansas
Western Carolina- 99.7%
Kent St- 99.5%
BYU- 65%
@ LSU- 15%
Texas A&M- 46%
@ Ole Miss- 38%
@ Alabama- 13%
Mississippi St- 56%
@ Florida- 41%
Auburn- 59%
FIU- 99%
Mizzou- 64%

Conference: 3.3-4.7
Total: 7.0- 5.0
Projection: 7-5 (3-5 SEC)


Auburn
UMass- 99.7%
@ Cal- 64%
Samford- 99.7%
@ Texas A&M- 37%
Georgia- 10%
@ LSU- 12%
Ole Miss- 44%
Miss St- 49%
@ Vandy- 82%
@ Arkansas- 41%
New Mexico St- 98.5%
Alabama- 14%

Conference: 2.9-5.1
Overall: 6.5-5.5
Projection 7-5 (3-5 SEC)


Florida
@ Utah- 37%
McNeese- 99.9%
Tennessee- 36%
Charlotte- 99.7%
@ Kentucky- 36%
Vanderbilt- 91%
@ South Carolina- 40%
Georgia- 14%
Arkansas- 59%
@ LSU- 15%
@ Mizzou- 50%
Florida St- 31%

Conference: 3.4-4.6
Overall: 6.1-5.9
Projection: 6-6 (3-5 SEC)


Georgia
UT Martin- 99.9%
Ball St- 99.7%
South Carolina- 91%
UAB- 99%
@ Auburn- 90%
Kentucky- 89%
@ Vandy- 96%
Florida- 86%
Missouri- 95%
Ole Miss- 86%
@ Tennessee- 68%
@ Georgia Tech- 92%

Conference: 7.0-1.0
Overall: 10.9-1.1
Projection: 11-1


Kentucky
Ball St- 99%
E Kentucky- 99.7%
Akron- 99%
@ Vanderbilt- 89%
Florida- 64%
@ Georgia- 11%
Missouri- 72%
Tennessee- 41%
@ Miss St- 60%
Alabama- 20%
@ South Carolina- 64%
@ Lousiville- 71%

Conference: 4.8-3.2
Overall: 8.5-3.5
Projection: 9-3 (5-3 SEC)


LSU
Florida St- 59%
Grambling- 99.9%
@ Miss St- 79%
Arkansas- 85%
@ Ole Miss- 76%
@ Mizzou- 86%
Auburn- 88%
Army- 97%
@ Alabama- 42%
Florida- 85%
Georgia St- 99%
Texas A&M- 81%

Conference: 6.2-1.8
Overall: 9.8-2.2
Projection: 10-2 (6-2 SEC)


Miss St
SE Louisiana- 99.9%
Arizona- 72%
LSU- 21%
@ South Carolina- 46%
Alabama- 14%
W Michigan- 98%
@ Arkansas- 44%
@ Auburn- 51%
Kentucky- 40%
@ Texas A&M- 39%
Southern Miss- 95%
Ole Miss- 41%

Conference: 3.0-5.0
Overall: 6.6-5.4
Projection: 7-5 (3-5 SEC)


Missouri
South Dakota- 99.7%
MTSU- 97%
Kansas St- 39%
Memphis- 79%
@ Vandy- 73%
LSU- 14%
@ Kentucky- 28%
South Carolina- 42%
@ Georgia- 5%
Tennessee- 18%
Florida- 50%
@ Arkansas- 36%

Conference: 2.6-5.4
Overall: 5.7-6.3
Projection: 6-6 (3-5 SEC)


Ole Miss
Mercer- 99.7%
@ Tulane- 65%
Georgia Tech- 82%
@ Alabama- 17%
LSU- 24%
Arkansas- 62%
@ Auburn- 56%
Vandy- 93%
Texas A&M- 51%
@ Georgia- 14%
ULM- 98%
@ Miss St- 59%

Conference: 3.8-4.2
Overall: 7.2-4.8
Projection: 7-5 (4-4 SEC)


South Carolina
North Carolina- 50%
Furman- 99%
@ Georgia- 9%
Miss St- 54%
@ Tennessee- 25%
Florida- 60%
@ Mizzou- 58%
@ Texas A&M- 39%
Jacksonville St- 99%
Vandy- 91%
Kentucky- 36%
Clemson- 27%

Conference: 3.7-4.3
Overall: 6.5-5.5
Projection: 7-5 (4-4 SEC)


Tennessee
Virginia- 86%
Austin Peay- 99.7%
@ Florida- 64%
UTSA- 95%
South Carolina- 75%
Texas A&M- 72%
@ Alabama- 28%
@ Kentucky- 59%
UConn- 99%
@ Mizzou- 82%
Georgia- 32%
Vandy- 94%

Conference: 5.1-2.9
Overall: 8.9-3.1
Projection: 9-3 (5-3 SEC)


Texas A&M
New Mexico- 99%
@ Miami- 54%
ULM- 98%
Auburn- 63%
@ Arkansas- 54%
Alabama- 23%
@ Tennessee- 28%
South Carolina- 61%
@ Ole Miss- 49%
Miss St- 61%
Abilene Christian- 99%
@ LSU- 19%

Conference: 3.6-4.4
Overall: 7.1- 4.9
Projection: 7-5 (4-4 SEC)


Vandy
Hawaii- 84%
Alabama A&M- 99%
@ Wake Forest- 31%
@ UNLV- 71%
Kentucky- 11%
Missouri- 27%
@ Florida- 9%
Georgia- 4%
@ Ole Miss- 7%
Auburn- 18%
@ South Carolina- 9%
@ Tennessee- 4%

Conference: 0.9-7.1
Overall: 3.7-8.3
Projection: 4-8 (1-7 SEC)


East Standings
1. Georgia
2. Tennessee
3. Kentucky
4. South Carolina
5. Florida
6. Missouri
7. Vandy

West Standings
1. Alabama
2. LSU
3. Ole Miss
4. Texas A&M
5. Arkansas
6. Miss St
7. Auburn