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“BYE teams never win”
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:08 am
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:08 am
All of the BYE teams were underdogs last year. The favorite won every game.
Penn State was -11 over Boise
Texas was was -13.5 against Arizona State
Ohio State was -2.5 against Oregon
Notre dame was -1.5 against Georgia
Ohio State was -7.5 last night. They're the first quarterfinal team to be favored and lose.
Texas Tech is also an underdog today.
Oregon is - 2.5
Penn State was -11 over Boise
Texas was was -13.5 against Arizona State
Ohio State was -2.5 against Oregon
Notre dame was -1.5 against Georgia
Ohio State was -7.5 last night. They're the first quarterfinal team to be favored and lose.
Texas Tech is also an underdog today.
Oregon is - 2.5
This post was edited on 1/1/26 at 8:09 am
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Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:12 am to Stidham8
quote:So the college football playoffs are flawed. What else is news when it comes to people picking favorites?
Penn State was -11 over Boise
Texas was was -13.5 against Arizona State
Ohio State was -2.5 against Oregon
Notre dame was -1.5 against Georgia
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:14 am to Stidham8
More than anything, the data points for the B1G did not back up Vegas, the "experts" and definitely not the computers. Sagarin, for example, got it way more wrong than normal (and still does even after last night).
More conference games are not the answers. More big time out of conference games in-season would be better instead.
More conference games are not the answers. More big time out of conference games in-season would be better instead.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:16 am to Diamondawg
They fixed the Boise State/Arizona State conference champion getting a BYE issue.
Georgia was an underdog because Carson Beck was out. Ohio State nearly beat Oregon in Eugene earlier in the year and was the favorite all season.
Georgia was an underdog because Carson Beck was out. Ohio State nearly beat Oregon in Eugene earlier in the year and was the favorite all season.
This post was edited on 1/1/26 at 8:20 am
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:16 am to Diamondawg
quote:
So the college football playoffs are flawed. What else is news when it comes to people picking favorites?
We're going to have to go to tiered divisions. That's all there is to it. A lot of people will bitch about it but I would love to see a tier I of the top 32 teams playing only each other.
A lot of traditional programs would get left out. But, relegation would give everyone a shot.
This post was edited on 1/1/26 at 8:18 am
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:18 am to theballguy
quote:
More than anything, the data points for the B1G did not back up Vegas, the "experts" and definitely not the computers. Sagarin, for example, got it way more wrong than normal (and still does even after last night).
I think you can chalk it up to Miami being really, really good and brought their A game last night.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:19 am to Stidham8
quote:They need to go back to computers and have SOS some part of the equation.
Georgia was an underdog because Carson Beck was out. Ohio State nearly beat Oregon in Eugene earlier in the year amd was the favorite all season.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:23 am to Stidham8
quote:
Ohio State was -2.5 against Oregon
I think the fact that Ohio St absolutely obliterated Oregon is the big driver of this. It does seem to have some legs now
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:24 am to theballguy
quote:
More conference games are not the answers. More big time out of conference games in-season would be better instead.
There needs to be much more crossover amongst the "mid teams"
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:25 am to scottydoesntknow
quote:
I think the fact that Ohio St absolutely obliterated Oregon is the big driver of this. It does seem to have some legs now
Ohio State was -2.5 before they obliterated Oregon. I’m not following you.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:27 am to Stidham8
quote:
I think you can chalk it up to Miami being really, really good and brought their A game last night.
They played the best they could possibly play last night but I still think overall they are a top 10 team. Yet, they could now be the favorite to win it all. "Peaking at the right time" is a real phenomenon.
This post was edited on 1/1/26 at 8:28 am
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:27 am to scottydoesntknow
quote:
There needs to be much more crossover amongst the "mid teams"
I agree and I would like to see it.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:35 am to theballguy
quote:
They played the best they could possibly play last night but I still think overall they are a top 10 team. Yet, they could now be the favorite to win it all. "Peaking at the right time" is a real phenomenon.
They’re also a bad matchup for Ohio State because they like to throw a lot of deep developing routes and it’s tough to do that often against an elite pass rush. Ohio State struggled to run the ball as they did against Indiana.
Teams that can’t run the ball and have to rely on the pass are really going to struggle against Miami.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:37 am to theballguy
quote:So maybe Ohio State's move to have Day call plays because their OC was leaving was a mistake. They had -3 yards rushing in the first have. Much better in the second half. Maybe Day got the mojo back at half time or he let the OC call plays.
They played the best they could possibly play last night but I still think overall they are a top 10 team. Yet, they could now be the favorite to win it all. "Peaking at the right time" is a real phenomenon.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:38 am to Diamondawg
Georgia is screwed. We had the bye week.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:42 am to GeorgiaFlyer
quote:
Georgia is screwed.
You heard it here first, folks!
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:45 am to GeorgiaFlyer
quote:
Georgia is screwed. We had the bye week.
Favored teams are 4-1 in the quarterfinals.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:45 am to GeorgiaFlyer
quote:Bowl games have been deciding the national championship in football for more than 100 years. Everyone had essentially a "bye" since they all ended their seasons sometimes a month before their bowl game. This is all nonsense.
Georgia is screwed. We had the bye week.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:45 am to Stidham8
Getting a bye when you have 25 days off + Christmas in between is not an advantage the whole system is dumb AF
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:52 am to scottydoesntknow
quote:
There needs to be much more crossover amongst the "mid teams"
Perennial mid teams mainly schedule to finish bowl eligible when they go 2-6 or 3-5 in conference play.
Then pundits still use the dumb "Team A beat this many teams with winning records (or bowl eligible teams)" metric.
This post was edited on 1/1/26 at 8:54 am
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