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re: Bet entire mortgage on LSU Moneyline vs TAMU. Perfect example of profiting off bias.

Posted on 10/19/25 at 5:54 pm to
Posted by Mizzouligan
St. Louis, MO
Member since Aug 2014
2401 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 5:54 pm to
quote:

Keep melting swamprat.


I will.

Keep being satisfied with whatever mizzou calls "success" year in and year out.


The funny thing is Kelly is following two retards in Ed O and Les, who each won a natty. He has a generational QB talent in JD and can’t even get into the playoffs, let alone win it.

That’s embarrassing.

I see why you’re so salty.

Posted by truth22
Member since May 2021
2498 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:00 pm to
I think your post was much more a catharsis dealing with your frustration at A&M's success. Hope you're feeling better.
Posted by TxWadingFool
Middle Coast
Member since Sep 2014
5562 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:02 pm to
If there was an example to look back on to see what LSU teams do after a loss that knocks them out of any chance of winning an NC. Oh wait, there are, they quit. I'd be very surprised if we don't hear of some season ending injuries this week to insure that draft position, looking at you Perkins. We've seen play out before.
Posted by GerryDiNardo
Bringing Back The Magic!
Member since Mar 2004
5789 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:02 pm to
LSU has the lowest graded tackles in the conference per PFF and are going up against the SEC sack leader. That is reason alone to not bet the entire mortgage on this one. There are many other reasons, as well.

If you can't spot the sucker in your first hour at the table...
Posted by truth22
Member since May 2021
2498 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:03 pm to
oh, and the "average college football fan's thought process" is more like

"hmmm LSU is usually so good, and A&M NEVER wins at LSU in a night game; this is easy money."
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
19343 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

won a natty.
quote:

generational QB

Things MIZZOU knows everything about.
Posted by truth22
Member since May 2021
2498 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:06 pm to
and say what you want about our opponents- these are the same teams that Ole Miss, Georgia, Tennessee and Oklahoma struggled with.
Posted by RGT
Member since Aug 2024
1763 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:11 pm to
Go look at the history of the series.LSU has beaten A@M quite often when TAM had the better team.Tiger Stadium at night and the voodoo takes over.Yall ain’t going undefeated so this will be your slip up.BOOK IT!!!!
Posted by n64ra
Member since Jul 2024
2245 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:11 pm to
Go Tigers
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
18978 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:13 pm to
As an LSU fan, do not do this.


Our offense is worse than it looks. We had some spectacular individual plays on offense Saturday that put up points. We can’t put a drive together to save our lives.
Posted by MoonMoon2020
Member since Dec 2020
1134 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:19 pm to
Never bet on your team to win. If they lose its twice as painful.

As an Aggie Fan, I expect us to lose this one. However there is no way I would put money on it because college football is just insanely weird this year.

I also have no idea which Aggie team will show up. We are a bit too schizophrenic to predict anything.
Posted by Tigertittie
Member since Sep 2021
917 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

I don't know if Vegas sets the line based on how they think the game will play out, or how they think betters will bet and set a middle mark.


You sound smart. You should bet more often.
Posted by Rodo
Houston
Member since Aug 2011
1808 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

I'll put up $300


$300...Jesus, what a player. Please tell us you're a girl or homo or something.

Rodo
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
10238 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

The reality is A&M has played 4 SEC teams that are a combined 1-12 in the SEC


Hello
Posted by TexasOnTop
Member since Nov 2023
6628 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

Bet entire mortgage on LSU Moneyline vs TAMU. Perfect example of profiting off bias.


when you back a wounded dog into a corner, it's going to come out fighting
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2718 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:50 pm to
Home underdog in a rivalry match has always been my go to bet. I agree with OP.
Posted by tBrand
Member since Oct 2022
3384 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

Florida by itself is 2-2, so this stat is incorrect

True, but A&M has played both UF and State, someone had to win. Florida over Texas is still the only win that A&M's 4 SEC opponents have outside of themselves.
Posted by Nasty_Canasta
Canada
Member since Dec 2024
4966 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

how they think betters will bet and set a middle mark.


The line changes on where the heaviest bets come in. Which side of the line bets heavier will move the betting line. Vegas doesn’t care who wins the game. They just want an equal amount of money coming in. The sharps (or big bettors) usually wait til just before closing time to get their final bets in. So if you see a game that was -6 on Monday and come down to -1 on Friday, that’s a dangerous sign for the “big favorite”
Posted by CollegeFBRules
Member since Oct 2008
25460 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:53 pm to
LSU is going to lose this week.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2718 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:58 pm to
Maybe, but will they stay within the spread?
That's why they call it gambling.
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