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re: As I said last night, OSU is going to end up #2 in all the computers

Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:35 pm to
Posted by BlackPawnMartyr
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2010
16190 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

Bama will be crying because they got leaped by OSU


Not going to happen and Bama fans dont have to wait until December to be entertained bc Tiger bitches like you are already crying about having to play Bama again. Now read the sig dbag!

Posted by Alahunter
Member since Jan 2008
90742 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:35 pm to
It's written by an Lsu homer afraid to face Bama again. No thanks.
This post was edited on 11/20/11 at 10:37 pm
Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

you Bammers are f-ing dense. I'm so glad I don't post on the SECRant regularly. I used to think the TigerRant was bad, but the idiots on this board are in much greater concentration.


Even if OSU gets all of the number 2's in the CPUs the they'll need more than just 25% of the number 2 votes because currently they're not even getting all of the 6th place votes. They're currently 6.29 and 6.41 in the human polls. Bama is almost a consensus number 2 at 2.02 and 2.05. They'll have to steal a large portion of those 2nd place votes from Bama and convert everyone who currently has them behind Houston and Boise based on their loss to Iowa State.

It isn't certain that they'll get 5 of the 6 computer votes at this point. There is a good chance but the SEC can still rise some based on the OOC games left. Also if teams like Baylor lose to teams like Texas Tech, then it can shake the computers. There is no promise that OSU beating OU will get them the points they need to take one of the last 2 computers. There are too many games that can change things up.
Posted by secftw
FL
Member since Jan 2010
3311 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:37 pm to
quote:

you have no clue what you are talking about, just like most of the Bama fans.


hell, just tonight I've come across two idiot Bama fans that didn't even know that it was human poll points that counted in the BCS as opposed to ranking.

fricking idiots, the whole lot of you


Obviously you're not referring to me.

And all you've talked about is if OK St beats OU and Bama beats Auburn. That's not even close to all of the variables at play here. OK St is banking on its computer ranking. Bottom line. If that is tarnished WHATSOEVER, they lose face. They already are an afterthought to Stanford and VTech, who both have games against ranked teams coming up.

Your entire argument is that all of the USA Today and Harris points will be for OK St because they just don't want to see a rematch...which is a huge assumption on your part.

Then again all you've made all night is assumptions.
Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:38 pm to
quote:

This means a hell of a lot less than most of you "NO WAY IN HELL BAMA FALLS" posters think. The final poll gets the most shake-up. It's where the voters finally actually take a look at the full season instead of just where they were last week and the current results. It's the poll where the most switching of positions is likely to occur without teams losing to fall out of their current spot.


If Stanford beats ND, then I think OSU is screwed.
Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

The key here will be how those chosen to have a vote view a rematch, as they can and possibly will drop Bama a spot because of it.


When you're dealing with voters in the Harris and Coaches polls, I think it is less likely than with the AP Poll. You're either dealing with coaches or former players/coaches that have some integrity and want to vote based on what they think the proper order is.
Posted by northalabamacracker
Glasgow
Member since Sep 2011
6466 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:44 pm to
quote:

Go read the msb thread



So your purpose here was to tell us to go read the msb thread? frick off. Back to the rant with you douche bag.
Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:46 pm to
quote:

have you done the math? I have. Plus, I understand the mentality of the CFB media and they will largely be against a rematch.


I've seen the math, however it isn't the media voting in the coaches poll. In the harris poll there is some media, however you're also dealing with former coaches, players, and administrators. I really don't believe these guys will trash their integrity by picking a team that they believe is inferior. Some may do this, however I don't see 25% of the people going from thinking they're not even a consensus number 6 to thinkging they're above number 3 in a 2 week period based on one game. I just don't see it. I understand it is possible based on the number, however you'd be dealing with 25% of the voters basically saying screw the system. They're a part of the system so I doubt they'll do it.
Posted by Mr J Evans
Member since Nov 2011
35 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:47 pm to
Not going to read through all the Bama lovefest...

Has anyone offered up an opinion on why the computers rank the Big 12 as the toughest conference? Maybe I'm missing something, but OSU's schedule doesn't exactly scream tough to me...
Posted by secftw
FL
Member since Jan 2010
3311 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

Has anyone offered up an opinion on why the computers rank the Big 12 as the toughest conference? Maybe I'm missing something, but OSU's schedule doesn't exactly scream tough to me...


This.

Their overall opposition W:L isn't as good as the SEC's.
Posted by breeze
Member since Jan 2011
465 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:51 pm to
quote:

Has anyone offered up an opinion on why the computers rank the Big 12 as the toughest conference?


I think it is because the Big 12 was so close to becoming dismantled. The powers that be are looking to bolster that group making them appear more relevant, thus strengthening them from any further breakup.

Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

Not going to read through all the Bama lovefest... Has anyone offered up an opinion on why the computers rank the Big 12 as the toughest conference? Maybe I'm missing something, but OSU's schedule doesn't exactly scream tough to me...


They did very well out of conference so the computers rank them very high. They don't get punished as much for losing games because the computers see the conference as far superior.

If we had a larger sample size of OOC games, then this would probably be different.

Some of their garbage teams are seen as good in the computers even with 4 or 5 losses.
Posted by Tigerbait337
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2008
20535 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

Posted by Teague
You're a dumbass if you think OSU has any shot of jumping Bama if Bama wins out.



Prepare to be extremely upset on Selection Sunday, brah :lol;
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9148 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

If Oklahoma State wins out, they will be #2 in every single computer. It would only take a few coaches/Harris voters in each poll to vote OSU #2 to make this thing extremely close.


That "few" is what I'm not so sure about. I'd like to see the math because just off the top of my head I'd guess it would take close to 1/3 of the voters (more if anyone votes Oklahoma St lower than #3).

It could well happen but it'll take a heck of an anti-rematch coalition and can only happen if all the teams that could take #3 votes away from Oklahoma St lose too.
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
56242 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 11:00 pm to
quote:


Prepare to be extremely upset on Selection Sunday, brah :lol;


I think that this is wishful thinking on LSU's part.
Posted by SabanIsAGod
Jackson
Member since Oct 2009
3880 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 11:01 pm to
LOOK AT ME, I AM STOOPID!!!
Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 11:07 pm to
quote:

That "few" is what I'm not so sure about. I'd like to see the math because just off the top of my head I'd guess it would take close to 1/3 of the voters (more if anyone votes Oklahoma St lower than #3).


Oklahoma State needs a lot of teams to lose. If Stanford and VA Tech both lose, then I'll start to worry more. If Houston loses, then that will worry me as well. At this point OSU isn't even a consensus number 6. Houston and Boise are probably taking some 6th place votes from them. They may have some votes as far back as 8 or 9 right now. I think it is going to be hard to change someone's mind that they're number 2 or 3 in 2 weeks with only one game.

That being said, I'll just be rooting for Stanford to win because that will probably derail the train.
Posted by T Rey WI
Back in the south where I belong!
Member since Dec 2010
2937 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 11:14 pm to
Best case for OSU is for Arky to lose to LSU / Stanford to lose to ND / Va Tech to lose to Clemson (or somebody). If all 3 of those happen and OSU beats OU the base math assumptions take OSU to 0.9168 as compared to Alabama's 0.9491. Assuming Alabama does not gain any additional points and wins out, this would be close enough for anti-rematch votes on the human poles to make an impact.

Will all 3 of those teams lose? Will OSU beat OU? I have no clue but I am not gonna worry about it until it happens. All that matters for now is what happens this coming weekend. Here to hoping we get a couple more weeks of hearing the ESPN talking head talk about the choke hold the SEC has on the crystal ball.
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 11/20/11 at 11:55 pm to
quote:

wasn't it stated on the BCS countdown that Bama had 169 of 175 second place votes? Wouldn't Okie State have to pickup over 53 votes?

Seems very unlikely.


Not at all. First off.. there are 174 total votes cast. (59 coaches, 115 harris). Math shows that in this scenario Oklahoma St (while #2 in the computers) would need 26% of the 2nd place votes to pass Alabama in the overall BCS rankings. They would need roughly 45 total 2nd place votes in order to keep Alabama out.

The question is.. out of those 174 voters, how many of them do you think favor an SEC rematch as the BCS title game. Lots of SEC haters out there. ~75% of the voters could want a rematch and Alabama could get passed up. That's all I'm saying. I doubt it happens because I don't think Oklahoma St is good enough to beat OU.

With the coaches ballot being private now.. do you think Dooley will vote for Alabama? What about Spurrier? Gene Chizik? Will they help Alabama out and give them that extra exposure.. or will they vote Ok St in? What about the Pac12 coaches? Do you think they want an SEC vs SEC match up? What about the Big 10.. or the ACC? Or the Big 12?

It's a sticky situation and politics are at play.. if Oklahoma State can somehow get by OU. If not bring on the rematch Twice in one year will be sweet
This post was edited on 11/21/11 at 12:02 am
Posted by northalabamacracker
Glasgow
Member since Sep 2011
6466 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 12:08 am to
quote:

Not at all. First off.. there are 174 total votes cast. (59 coaches, 115 harris). Math shows that in this scenario Oklahoma St (while #2 in the computers) would need 26% of the 2nd place votes to pass Alabama in the overall BCS rankings. They would need roughly 45 total 2nd place votes in order to keep Alabama out.



Ok, so they need to pick up 41 more 2nd place votes. It still seems very unlikely.
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