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re: 5-Stars Overrated?

Posted on 12/21/19 at 10:17 am to
Posted by bama1959
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2008
4557 posts
Posted on 12/21/19 at 10:17 am to
quote:

5-stars become NFL players, All-Americans, etc as an astronomically higher rate than 4-stars or 3-stars do. Teams that finish with the most 4/5 stars almost always are the same teams that go to the playoffs and finish in the Top 10.

It doesn't guarantee success, but it makes it a WHOLE lot more likely.


100% agree. If you measure success by the NFL draft, then the recruiting rankings are significantly accurate. More percentage of 5*s get drafted than 4*s and more 4*s than 3*s.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 12/21/19 at 10:28 am to
Or you can just use common sense... At least a few of those four stars you're referencing were still top 75 players overall... There's generally a bigger difference between the 75th player and the 300th ranked (still 4 star) than the is between the 32nd and 75th...
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 12/21/19 at 10:32 am to
quote:

Or you can just use common sense... At least a few of those four stars you're referencing were still top 75 players overall... There's generally a bigger difference between the 75th player and the 300th ranked (still 4 star) than the is between the 32nd and 75th...



Yep

Obviously the statistical analysis of 5-stars, 4-stars, 3-stars and how they correlate to the NFL has been done and is massive. I'd like to see what Solo Cam mentioned early and you are hinting at here done - basically an extended version of that analysis that divides the groupings further

- 5-star
- Top 100 4-star
- Top 250 4-star
- remaining 4-star

Be really curious to see what the rate of success difference is between 5-stars and Top 100 4-stars
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