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re: 2025 StatSim: Texas A&M at LSU
Posted on 10/21/25 at 11:59 am to Tex117
Posted on 10/21/25 at 11:59 am to Tex117
With A&M's D and A&M's O, it is unlikely bith would fail at same time.
So I see probability as A&M by a lot or A&M by a little, with possibility of LSU by a little.
I think the focus is here this weekend like it was @Notre Dame, but I don't see LSU's O as doing what ND did.
mid 30s to mid 20s - A&M.
So I see probability as A&M by a lot or A&M by a little, with possibility of LSU by a little.
I think the focus is here this weekend like it was @Notre Dame, but I don't see LSU's O as doing what ND did.
mid 30s to mid 20s - A&M.
1
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:03 pm to truth22
No model will work for every game but his winner and spread predictions have been pretty good.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:13 pm to Old Sarge
quote:
Is there anything you see that caused last week to deviate so much?
Referees allowing the Arkansas OL to bear hug our DL on every play in the 4th quarter and never call holding? Or calling back Reed's 56yard TD run because of "holding" that last .13 seconds and was 7 yards away from the path of Reed after he already ran past the big DL that was never, ever going to catch Reed as he ran past the entire Arkansas defense...?
Do I sound bitter? I may be a little bitter about that game... but a W is a W
This post was edited on 10/21/25 at 12:17 pm
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:18 pm to SpreadsheetAg
Yeah, the one that made me really ticked off was the blatant face mask in the end zone before Arkansas went down the field, it should’ve been a safety, the holding was insane and I agree with you. We probably easily win by two touchdowns if the SEC refs weren’t trying every way possible to screw us.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:33 pm to truth22
Well, we can agree that it is very unlikely that it will be an LSU blowout.
As for the rest, guess we will find out. LSU is just salty at home.
There is a higher probability of systemic failure in games like this, especially for A&M if history is any indicator.
As for the rest, guess we will find out. LSU is just salty at home.
There is a higher probability of systemic failure in games like this, especially for A&M if history is any indicator.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:33 pm to SpreadsheetAg
Always nervous about this game but with Elko calling out the D so aggressively for poor execution last week and LSU without their starting Tackle I'm feeling much better about it. I think the Ags didn't take Arky seriously and nearly screwed the pooch and will be fired up in BR to go into a bye 8-0. LSU seems to be disjointed and injured as well. I don't think there is a great movement of emotion to save Brian Kelly's job either like there was for Orgeron among the players. I guess we will see.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:34 pm to SpreadsheetAg
We will beat these inbreds per usual.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:36 pm to louisianimal69
quote:
As a Tiger fan, F**k you and the Aggies
With that said, I hope y'all hang 50 on us
If I had to put into words where I stand right now, this would be it.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:44 pm to Rodo
quote:
LSU in a blow out.
Rodo
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:00 pm to SpreadsheetAg
Are sig bets still a thing on the rant?
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:03 pm to AggieDub14
Hey Dub! 
I asked Arky last week and there wasn’t any interest
I doubt many LSU fans would participate either
I asked Arky last week and there wasn’t any interest
I doubt many LSU fans would participate either
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:06 pm to Old Sarge
If LSU wins, you both have the change your logo to aTm
If the Ags win, I will change my logo to aTm
If the Ags win, I will change my logo to aTm
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:09 pm to Tex117
quote:
There is a higher probability of systemic failure in games like this, especially for A&M if history is any indicator.
History would indicate A&M would have lost that game at ND.
Maybe the past doesn’t have as much say as the current players and coaches…. and that goes for every team.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:12 pm to louisianimal69
quote:
As a Tiger fan, F**k you and the Aggies
With that said, I hope y'all hang 50 on us
If you want us to score 50 points on you, could you kindly un-frick us?
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:15 pm to Tantal
quote:
I'm concerned about LSU's back-up left tackle that had horrible grades last week
You are going to have to be more specific. They were each below 35 if I recall. Unless they were taking the ACT, that's a pretty bad score.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:19 pm to AGGIES
quote:
History would indicate A&M would have lost that game at ND.
Maybe the past doesn’t have as much say as the current players and coaches…. and that goes for every team.
Don't know about the ND game. A&M was often good for an upset win (see Alabama).
But, of course you are right. Especially in the NIL era.
BUT, of course you are not right. Coaches and players come and go, and there is collective trauma among the fanbase. (I know they don't play, its a joke).
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:25 pm to Tex117
I’m not going argue with BAS, I’m just saying:
Elko > Jimbo > Sumlin
A&M roster 2025 > 2023 > 2013
For example…. Fisher and Sumlin would recruit 15 WRs and no TE or OL.
A&M has improved in roster management to the point that it doesn’t look incompetent
Elko > Jimbo > Sumlin
A&M roster 2025 > 2023 > 2013
For example…. Fisher and Sumlin would recruit 15 WRs and no TE or OL.
A&M has improved in roster management to the point that it doesn’t look incompetent
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:53 pm to SpreadsheetAg
There is no defendable reason to assume LSU will look any different than we have all year, which is not good. So unless Aggie shows up and does some crap they haven't shown anyone yet, they will beat us.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:56 pm to AGGIES
A&M beats us like a drum.
I've watched both teams, LSU is way behind and getting worse each week. We won't score over 12 points. A&M is a good team, playoff bound and probably playing for the SEC CG
Texas A&M 36
LSU 12
I've watched both teams, LSU is way behind and getting worse each week. We won't score over 12 points. A&M is a good team, playoff bound and probably playing for the SEC CG
Texas A&M 36
LSU 12
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:57 pm to AGGIES
Definitely the deepest A&M team i can remember, and we've had relatively few injuries.
About time, because the last few years were terrible- especially at ceucial positions like OL QB CB
About time, because the last few years were terrible- especially at ceucial positions like OL QB CB
This post was edited on 10/21/25 at 2:59 pm
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