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re: This thing is getting scary
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:14 pm to BHMKyle
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:14 pm to BHMKyle
If I was talking directly to President Trump, I'd tell him to send the military to the Southern Border. Mexico's President said a few weeks ago that "Mexicans are unaffected by Pandemics" and that the "government would not be doing anything" that "it is a job for scientists, not politicians".
My girlfriend works at a casino that stayed open for weeks even after we had our first cases. Their test for international travel is hilarious. "Are you sick, do you feel sick? No? Alright, head on through. ^_^"
My girlfriend's brother also works for a National University (IPN, For those interested) as a Biological Chemist and of course everyone over there is freaking the frick out.
The good news is that they finally closed the Casino (Monday) and a lot of other places closed, but I'm afraid that: 1. Mexican families pretty much live with each other four - six people to a house. 2. People are probably sick all over the fricking place.
I've been self-quarantining for weeks, well beforehand and telecommuting.
A huge problem in America is that there is an entire population that is unlikely to want to get tested because they're illegal.
My girlfriend works at a casino that stayed open for weeks even after we had our first cases. Their test for international travel is hilarious. "Are you sick, do you feel sick? No? Alright, head on through. ^_^"
My girlfriend's brother also works for a National University (IPN, For those interested) as a Biological Chemist and of course everyone over there is freaking the frick out.
The good news is that they finally closed the Casino (Monday) and a lot of other places closed, but I'm afraid that: 1. Mexican families pretty much live with each other four - six people to a house. 2. People are probably sick all over the fricking place.
I've been self-quarantining for weeks, well beforehand and telecommuting.
A huge problem in America is that there is an entire population that is unlikely to want to get tested because they're illegal.
2
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:49 pm to BHMKyle
So now that most of today's numbers are in I thought I'd share some potential bright spots, though its slightly premature to declare the epidemic has peaked anywhere other than China, South Korea, and Japan...
SWITZERLAND (122 total fatalities and a 1.24% fatality rate)
*Switzerland saw just 2 fatalities on Tuesday... its lowest daily total since 9 days ago. If you look at daily new cases and daily new fatalities on a 3-day rolling average to help smooth out some of the spikes, Switzerland may have peaked in terms of daily new cases back on Saturday when the 3-day average was 1,249 new cases. The 3-day average today is just 1,005 (down 20%). The 3-day rolling average for new fatalities possibly peaked yesterday at 21. Again, today's daily total was just 2 so the 3-day average fell to just 14 (down 33% from yesterday).
I think we are still 1-2 days away from possibly being able to declare Switzerland is on the downward trend, but there are signs that things may have peaked there.
IRAN (1,923 total fatalities and a 4.93% fatality rate)
*Iran looked like it was set for being able to declare it had reached its peak after yesterday. New cases and fatalities had been slightly falling.... and then today the most new cases for a single day happened which makes me think we're again not quite there.
Iran's 3-day rolling average for new fatalities possibly peaked last Saturday when it hit 148. After today, the new 3-day average for daily new fatalities is 126 (down 15%). The new cases 3-day average had been falling but with today's numbers hit a new high. We'll see what happens tomorrow. There are definite signs that things may be about to improve in Iran but I'm not sure we're quite there.
Italy (6,820 fatalities and a 9.86% fatality rate)
I keep seeing a lot of folks on twitter declare that Italy has peaked.... I'm not so sure. It's too early to tell but there are some decent signs that things may be starting to slow down there.
The bad news is that Italy had it's second worst day today in terms of daily fatalities, so that's why I think folks need to hold off on declaring that they've reached their peak. New cases were also up 460 compared to yesterday.
However, if you look at things on a 3-day rolling average, daily new cases are down to 5,199 from 6,034 Sunday (14% decrease) and the 3-day average of daily new fatalities is also down to 665 from 690 on Saturday (down 4%). Those aren't strong enough declines to say things have peaked IMO, but if they show a significant downward trend tomorrow then we might be getting close.
SWITZERLAND (122 total fatalities and a 1.24% fatality rate)
*Switzerland saw just 2 fatalities on Tuesday... its lowest daily total since 9 days ago. If you look at daily new cases and daily new fatalities on a 3-day rolling average to help smooth out some of the spikes, Switzerland may have peaked in terms of daily new cases back on Saturday when the 3-day average was 1,249 new cases. The 3-day average today is just 1,005 (down 20%). The 3-day rolling average for new fatalities possibly peaked yesterday at 21. Again, today's daily total was just 2 so the 3-day average fell to just 14 (down 33% from yesterday).
I think we are still 1-2 days away from possibly being able to declare Switzerland is on the downward trend, but there are signs that things may have peaked there.
IRAN (1,923 total fatalities and a 4.93% fatality rate)
*Iran looked like it was set for being able to declare it had reached its peak after yesterday. New cases and fatalities had been slightly falling.... and then today the most new cases for a single day happened which makes me think we're again not quite there.
Iran's 3-day rolling average for new fatalities possibly peaked last Saturday when it hit 148. After today, the new 3-day average for daily new fatalities is 126 (down 15%). The new cases 3-day average had been falling but with today's numbers hit a new high. We'll see what happens tomorrow. There are definite signs that things may be about to improve in Iran but I'm not sure we're quite there.
Italy (6,820 fatalities and a 9.86% fatality rate)
I keep seeing a lot of folks on twitter declare that Italy has peaked.... I'm not so sure. It's too early to tell but there are some decent signs that things may be starting to slow down there.
The bad news is that Italy had it's second worst day today in terms of daily fatalities, so that's why I think folks need to hold off on declaring that they've reached their peak. New cases were also up 460 compared to yesterday.
However, if you look at things on a 3-day rolling average, daily new cases are down to 5,199 from 6,034 Sunday (14% decrease) and the 3-day average of daily new fatalities is also down to 665 from 690 on Saturday (down 4%). Those aren't strong enough declines to say things have peaked IMO, but if they show a significant downward trend tomorrow then we might be getting close.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 4:43 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
quote:
If I was talking directly to President Trump, I'd tell him to send the military to the Southern Border. Mexico's President said a few weeks ago that "Mexicans are unaffected by Pandemics" and that the "government would not be doing anything" that "it is a job for scientists, not politicians".
Err... I hate to say this but that sounds a lot like what we have done. Mexico has started to close things down in the last couple of days. They didn't have it for a while and now that they do they are... well... starting to do what we are doing.
Perhaps the Mexicans should send the military to the Northern border? I mean... we have more cases than they do. You don't want sick gringos coming across the border do you? You know how those Americans are about health care right?
If we sent the military to the border it would have to be the National Guard. The regular military has no law enforcement jurisdiction in the US unless we go full on "oh frick". No one wants to go full on "oh frick." The last time we went full on "oh frick" was the Civil War.
The problem with sending the National Guard to the border, which we do every few years to the eternal annoyance of Guard members, is that it is about as useless as teats on a boar hog. Also, if things get worse, we would need those Guardsmen somewhere else.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 4:58 pm to BHMKyle
The NYT added county death data today, however it doesn't provide historical daily totals.
It appears the six worst-hit metro areas at this point are New York, Seattle, New Orleans, Detroit, and Atlanta.
TOTAL Reported Cases by Metro Area (% of all US Cases)
27,079- New York (51.1%)
1,810- Seattle (3.4%)
1,548- Detroit (2.9%)
1,092- New Orleans (2.1%)
787- Los Angeles (1.5%)
666- Atlanta (1.3%)
These six alone account for 62.3% of all reported US cases at this point.
Here are how they rank in fatalities:
204- New York (29.7%)
99- Seattle (14.5%)
34- New Orleans (5.0%)
20- Detroit (2.9%)
20- Atlanta (2.9%)
11- Los Angeles (1.6%)
Together, these six account for 56.6% of all the fatalities in the USA. It will be interesting to watch how these metros change and if any other metros join them as potential hot spots.
***FYI, data is from the NYT website as of 4:30 CT. They do not yet have any of today's data from the state of Washington, so those stats for Seattle are a day behind.
It appears the six worst-hit metro areas at this point are New York, Seattle, New Orleans, Detroit, and Atlanta.
TOTAL Reported Cases by Metro Area (% of all US Cases)
27,079- New York (51.1%)
1,810- Seattle (3.4%)
1,548- Detroit (2.9%)
1,092- New Orleans (2.1%)
787- Los Angeles (1.5%)
666- Atlanta (1.3%)
These six alone account for 62.3% of all reported US cases at this point.
Here are how they rank in fatalities:
204- New York (29.7%)
99- Seattle (14.5%)
34- New Orleans (5.0%)
20- Detroit (2.9%)
20- Atlanta (2.9%)
11- Los Angeles (1.6%)
Together, these six account for 56.6% of all the fatalities in the USA. It will be interesting to watch how these metros change and if any other metros join them as potential hot spots.
***FYI, data is from the NYT website as of 4:30 CT. They do not yet have any of today's data from the state of Washington, so those stats for Seattle are a day behind.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 4:59 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
I keep seeing a lot of folks on twitter declare that Italy has peaked.... I'm not so sure.
Yeah think you need more than two days to definitively declare a peak
Posted on 3/24/20 at 7:10 pm to BHMKyle
NOLA about to explode thanks to bourbon street, which is a place I love.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 7:10 pm
Posted on 3/24/20 at 7:40 pm to djsdawg
Worldwide: 42,522 new cases 2296 deaths (41,371 & 1,873 yesterday)
Italy: 5,249 new cases 743 deaths (4,789 & 601 yesterday)
US: 9,875 new cases 145 deaths (10,168 & 140 yesterday)
US numbers stalled a little today. Italy’s numbers back up.
Italy: 5,249 new cases 743 deaths (4,789 & 601 yesterday)
US: 9,875 new cases 145 deaths (10,168 & 140 yesterday)
US numbers stalled a little today. Italy’s numbers back up.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:12 pm to djsdawg
quote:
NOLA about to explode thanks to bourbon street, which is a place I love.
1. The bars and restaurants of Bourbon Street have been effectively shut down for 10 days now.
2. Locals don’t generally frequent Bourbon Street. If anyone caught it while carousing on Bourbon Street they likely carried it home with them to other places.
New Orleans numbers are going to go up, but it’s not necessarily because of Bourbon Street.
The fact that you either don’t know these things or choose to ignore them doesn’t surprise me.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 8:17 pm
Posted on 3/24/20 at 9:25 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Your dumb arse is really going to try to blame this on illegals not getting tested? You can't get a damned test even if you want one in half the states in America. We've got dumbass privileged fricks doing whatever they want and treating their release from college like an extended Mardi Gras. Yet it's all in the "illegals". Good grief.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 9:27 pm to DownSouthJukin
quote:
Locals don’t generally frequent Bourbon Street.
Locals don't frequent Bourbon Street on Mardi gras and St. Paddy's?
Posted on 3/24/20 at 9:39 pm to PlateJohnsonIII
Bourbon Street is a tourist attraction. Locals go other places for Mardi Gras and St. Patrick’s day, like Uptown or the Irish Channel. Many even leave town for Mardi Gras. When I had a place down there we avoided Bourbon Street like the plague.
Beyond that fact, Mardi Gras was on 2/25, now beyond the incubation period, and New Orleans shut down bars and restaurants on 3/15, before St. Patrick’s day. We’re in the middle of the incubation period from that weekend, but, again, the people who frequented Bourbon Street that weekend and in the days leading up to it were by and large tourists who carried anything home with them.
So-New Orleans will not see a spike in Coronavirus cases because Bourbon Street. There may be other reasons, and I suspect that the numbers will increase, but Bourbon Street won’t be the reason.
Beyond that fact, Mardi Gras was on 2/25, now beyond the incubation period, and New Orleans shut down bars and restaurants on 3/15, before St. Patrick’s day. We’re in the middle of the incubation period from that weekend, but, again, the people who frequented Bourbon Street that weekend and in the days leading up to it were by and large tourists who carried anything home with them.
So-New Orleans will not see a spike in Coronavirus cases because Bourbon Street. There may be other reasons, and I suspect that the numbers will increase, but Bourbon Street won’t be the reason.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 9:57 pm
Posted on 3/24/20 at 9:47 pm to Arksulli
quote:
Arksulli
That was possibly the most retarded post I have ever read on this site. I have lived in Mexico for almost 8 years, have a Mexican wife and know what's happening.
There are far more illegals passing to America from Mexico than from America to Mexico, and the healthcare system here is absolute dogshit for flexing. We literally have zero capacity to flex, and the President is on record saying Pandemics don't affect Mexicans.
El Salvador just refused a plane from Mexico (which has finally started to shut things down on Monday) and we haven't done testing for shite. They haven't restricted travel at all.
To the other Arkansas retard:
Yes, illegal immigration is a huge problem in regards to tracking people who may or may not be sick, you absolute fricking moron. South Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore, the vast majority of the countries that actually did well in containment (as best as they could) all sealed access to the country.
After living here for so long it should be self-evident that I am just fine with immigration. It has nothing to do with illegal immigration being right or wrong: It is a fact that it helps in the spread of a Pandemic.
Pandemics spread because people go to different fricking countries.
Goddamn Liberals love a good Pandemic for virtue signalling every stupid fricking second.
In fact, one might argue that a more lax immigration policy would be better since people might actually try to register and we could review them better.
Morons.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 10:02 pm
Posted on 3/24/20 at 10:00 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
"A day after the Mexican president held a large rally, hugging and kissing his supporters and defying warnings over the spread of the novel coronavirus, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador pulled out two religious amulets from his wallet.
They are "protective shields", he said when asked how he intends to protect himself against the disease."
https://youtu.be/XMpgY--PCKo?t=64
If you don't speak Spanish:
AMLO (Acronym for the President, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador): "Pandemics don't do anything to us."
There is no leadership at the Federal Level, everything is chaotic and places are already starting to reinforce for riots.
They are "protective shields", he said when asked how he intends to protect himself against the disease."
https://youtu.be/XMpgY--PCKo?t=64
If you don't speak Spanish:
AMLO (Acronym for the President, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador): "Pandemics don't do anything to us."
There is no leadership at the Federal Level, everything is chaotic and places are already starting to reinforce for riots.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 10:12 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
quote:
"Pandemics don't do anything to us."
frick it. I’m moving to Mexico. Where’s my St. Christopher medal?
Straws-does your girlfriend have a sister?
Posted on 3/24/20 at 10:14 pm to DownSouthJukin
She doesn't have a sister but I got the hookup. 
Posted on 3/24/20 at 10:18 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Cool. I haven’t spoken conversational Spanish since the early 2000’s in Costa Rica, but I’m sure the limited, necessary phrases I learned in the casinos there will return to me shortly.
“Heyo chica! Cuanto cuesta?”
“Heyo chica! Cuanto cuesta?”
Posted on 3/24/20 at 10:24 pm to DownSouthJukin
Most of the girls I know are college age like my girlfriend so the majority of them speak English without a problem. At least they won't be affected by this for their Sangre Azteca.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 10:29 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Start the blood donations and ship that stuff up here.
I’d love to visit Mexico, but I’d not want to be confined to a resort. Is Baja California Sur safe for exploring?
Posted on 3/24/20 at 10:32 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Look you Dumbass. If we had the capability for widespread testing and identification (like South Korea), you would have a point, but we don't. And that's the fricking forest. You're focusing on the issue of illegals and missing the fact that we completely dropped the ball in preparing for this epidemic and ramping up testing and prevention measures. Illegals are the least of our problems right now, but they make a damned good distraction for the simpletons.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 10:33 pm
Posted on 3/24/20 at 11:13 pm to hogfly
Unclean people traveling in packs who are untraceable and who have no access to healthcare is your idea of a non-problem?
Yikes.
Shutting down the borders is tactical, and I'm sorry you thought I was some xenophobic Trumpeter but I'm just letting you know what the frick is going on over here.
A sitting Mexican president just took out some amulets and said it would protect him from Coronavirus as he kissed and hugged his supporters. Trust me, they're not taking it seriously here.
Yikes.
Shutting down the borders is tactical, and I'm sorry you thought I was some xenophobic Trumpeter but I'm just letting you know what the frick is going on over here.
A sitting Mexican president just took out some amulets and said it would protect him from Coronavirus as he kissed and hugged his supporters. Trust me, they're not taking it seriously here.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 11:14 pm
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