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We control our own destiny. Whats your "gut" say about our chances?
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:25 pm
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:25 pm
at Tennessee
at aTm
Arkansas at the Zou.
I dont like the back to back road games. They make me nervous even without the offense problems.
Im personally not feeling it. Hope like hell Im wrong but I dont see it happening this year.
at aTm
Arkansas at the Zou.
I dont like the back to back road games. They make me nervous even without the offense problems.
Im personally not feeling it. Hope like hell Im wrong but I dont see it happening this year.
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:32 pm to kilo
Still think our offense is insufficient to win the division. I'll guess
@ Tennessee--L
@ Texas A&M--W (if I'm being optimistic)
Arkansas--L
8-4. Georgia vs Bama/State in the SECCG.
@ Tennessee--L
@ Texas A&M--W (if I'm being optimistic)
Arkansas--L
8-4. Georgia vs Bama/State in the SECCG.
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:46 pm to kilo
We win 2 out of the last 3, which 2 I couldn't tell ya.
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:54 pm to kilo
I'm going in legitimately expecting to lose all three. Then I'll be happy and surprised if we win.
I've got a real feeling that we lose to Arky.
I've got a real feeling that we lose to Arky.
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:58 pm to kilo
I am not feeling it.....but still hoping. Just need to TCB one game at a time.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:41 am to Mizzeaux
I always expect to lose. I do that with all my teams in big games. It's a weird thing, but whatever.
My heart says, "Start looking for tickets to Atlanta".
My brain says, "Don't waste your time or money".
My gut says, "Feed me beer so I can cope".
My heart says, "Start looking for tickets to Atlanta".
My brain says, "Don't waste your time or money".
My gut says, "Feed me beer so I can cope".
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:45 am to Remote Controlled
Not feeling it. I think the title game is Georgia-Bama. Hope I'm wrong, but I think we lose out or win 1 more.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 1:15 am to kilo
The offense has got to show up to win all 3. All defense and pitiful offense will catch up with us at some point otherwise.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 6:21 am to kilo
My gut says we win one or two and win the East either outright or through a three team tie breaker. By game...
Game One @ Texas A&M: Toss up to slight loss lean at A&M.
The Josh Dobbs SEC hype machine will now transfer to Kyle Allen. Mizzou has no chance. Here comes Georgia!! Here comes Florida!! Blah, blah, blah. Does anyone else think A&M could come in flat off their biggest win of the season? I do.
Here's some food for thought...
In six SEC games A&M opponents are averaging rushing totals of 242 yards, 5.63 YPC and 3TDs per game. By comparison, Missouri's averages are 121 yards, 2.9 YPC and 1 TD per game. Hansbrough and Murphy are Texas boys and this is their last game in BigTex. Home boys finna eat? Feed them.
The bottom line is if a pissed off Auburn beats Georgia Saturday this game means NOTHING.
Game Two @ Tennessee: Pretty solid about a WIN with one caveat.
I'm feeling pretty good about a WIN here, especially if our offense continues to slowly gain the traction against A&M that started with Kentucky. We will be back at full strength and Tennessee is incredibly young and porous along their offensive line.
The Vols are dead last in sacks allowed averaging 3.6 per SEC game while Mizzou is generating 3.2 per game. TN is only slightly better vs the run than A&M is (10th vs. 14th) averaging 211 yds, 4.63 YPC and 2.4 TDs. We know Missouri is good against the run. We're also 2nd only to Alabama vs. the pass at 178 YPG LINK
This whole game will boil down to how they play against dual threat QB Josh Dobbs.
If the defense makes his life miserable, we win period.
Game Three vs. Arkansas: Toss up to slight lose.
This game is strength on strength. Arkansas is 3rd best rushing it while we're 2nd best defending it. It feels like a nut cup game, but let's look at some stats. (I'm going to assume poor weather meaning the running games will take on added importance.)
Arkansas is 13th in pass defense allowing 100 yards more per game than Missouri. Because of that teams aren't trying to run as much against them. They are 4th in rushing attempts against with 36 attempts per game. (Mizzou is 10th at 42 attempts per). In terms of rush yards allowed per game, Arky ranks 7th at 168 while Missouri is 2nd best at 121.
Other things to consider...
- Missouri is 1st and 3rd in punt and kickoff return yardage while Arkansas is 10th and 14th respectively. It's probably a moot point since Baggett is 2nd best in touchback percentage at 60.8%. (Arkansas is 13th at 24.5%)
- Arkansas has a worse FG kicker than we do. He's 4 of 7 for a 57% clip, while Baggett is 9 of 13 for 69%.
- Arkansas is averaging 2 turnovers a game while Mizzou is at 1.2 with only one lost fumble all year.
IMO this one comes down to "want to". How bad does each team want it with whatever may or may not be on the line? Missouri clearly has a special teams edge and I like our want to.
They could have easily folded the tent after the Georgia loss, but they came out and had their best three game run of the season. In fact this whole edition of the Tigers has been more about grit than talent. The defense has been hard nosed on all three levels, while the offense has gotten it done when needed. I don't consider myself a sunshine pumper, but I am an optimist by nature and am bullish on their chances to do what they do.
They haven't given up on anything all year. Why would they fold the tent now?
This post was edited on 11/9/14 at 7:16 am
Posted on 11/9/14 at 6:46 am to Remote Controlled
How'z about you provide some analysis, Big Man?
Posted on 11/9/14 at 7:04 am to kilo
I'm approaching these last 3 games the same way I have approached this entire season. MU has a chance to win or lose every one of them. the one thing that is predictable with this team and this college football season is not nothing is predictable...
Posted on 11/9/14 at 7:40 am to Mizz-SEC
quote:
How'z about you provide some analysis, Big Man?
That's your deal.
I'm not into caring about who's averaging X amount of yards for away games in the third quarter of a tie game, etc.
Some people here are, and for those folks you are probably a wealth of information. It certainly adds a football centric aspect to the board that I admittedly, will never bring to the table.
Lastly, I was commenting on the whole of your gut, and what it says. While most posters guts say things like, "frick it I expect to lose all three.", yours spouts stats and probabilities.
It talks alot. Big Man.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 7:50 am to kilo
@ Tenner - W
@ A&M - L
Arky - W
Comes down to UGA/AU for the right to get prison raped in Atlanta.
@ A&M - L
Arky - W
Comes down to UGA/AU for the right to get prison raped in Atlanta.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 8:41 am to the808bass
Agree with 808 say we go 2-1 in the final 3 and it all comes down to Aubie beating the Dawgs.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 8:45 am to Tackle74
I was pretty confident about us winning at aTm and Aubie beating UGA.
Now, I'm not confident about either.
I wasn't worried about UT, and I'm still not.
I've felt uncomfortable with this Arky game since their game against Bama.
Now, I'm not confident about either.
I wasn't worried about UT, and I'm still not.
I've felt uncomfortable with this Arky game since their game against Bama.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 9:05 am to the808bass
quote:
@ Tenner - W
@ A&M - L
Arky - W
While I can't say where our 2 wins comes from, this seems to be the best case scenario. I just don't see us losing to Arky, not this year in their rebuilding phase.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 9:48 am to Mizzou4ever
Best case scenario is to win all 3. I still think Mizzou fans can't quite wrap their heads around defense, time of possession, field position, special teams etc.
It's not always pretty, but it's won football games for over 100 years.
That being said. aTm saved themselves Saturday. We'll be missing two starters in the secondary and they have great WR. This will be much tougher than I thought.
UT is also playing much better. Dobbs looks like the real deal. That will also be a tough game.
Arky, I don't really think they have enough offense to give us much trouble but it won't be a walk over.
Lose 3. Win 3. Anywhere between. It's all on the table.
It's not always pretty, but it's won football games for over 100 years.
That being said. aTm saved themselves Saturday. We'll be missing two starters in the secondary and they have great WR. This will be much tougher than I thought.
UT is also playing much better. Dobbs looks like the real deal. That will also be a tough game.
Arky, I don't really think they have enough offense to give us much trouble but it won't be a walk over.
Lose 3. Win 3. Anywhere between. It's all on the table.
Posted on 11/9/14 at 10:34 am to kilo
Yeah, as much as I'm hoping they can win out, I'm not feeling it either. Maybe that's because the margin for error is nil. Just thinking about it, my gut reminds me I need to take my stomach medicine this morning, brb.
Anyway, not saying they can't win out, or win 2 out of 3. Defense and ball control/game management can win games on the road, as long as Bad Maty doesn't make the road trip. That also depends on the defense not having a stinker along the way. We're going to be without Webb for the 1st half and Penton for the whole game against A&M. The 1st half against A&M might tell the tale.
Tennessee won't be easy. That's the important game to win, as far as 'winning' the East goes, obviously. Gonna be a lot riding on that game, whether we beat A&M or not. We'll have the pressure, on the road, and they'll be a young talented team looking to play spoiler.
If Arky doesn't win an SEC game before we play them, that's liable to be a HARD game to win. If we're still in it by this point, the pressure will be huge.
If I knew the offense was going to step it up, I'd feel a lot better about it. If the offense withers under the pressure, can the defense hold up to the pressure of feeling like they need to throw a shut out to win?
Anyway, not saying they can't win out, or win 2 out of 3. Defense and ball control/game management can win games on the road, as long as Bad Maty doesn't make the road trip. That also depends on the defense not having a stinker along the way. We're going to be without Webb for the 1st half and Penton for the whole game against A&M. The 1st half against A&M might tell the tale.
Tennessee won't be easy. That's the important game to win, as far as 'winning' the East goes, obviously. Gonna be a lot riding on that game, whether we beat A&M or not. We'll have the pressure, on the road, and they'll be a young talented team looking to play spoiler.
If Arky doesn't win an SEC game before we play them, that's liable to be a HARD game to win. If we're still in it by this point, the pressure will be huge.
If I knew the offense was going to step it up, I'd feel a lot better about it. If the offense withers under the pressure, can the defense hold up to the pressure of feeling like they need to throw a shut out to win?
Posted on 11/9/14 at 10:51 am to tobythetiger
Dust off your nut cups because its coming...
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