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Many of of you are of the opinion Missouri must have

Posted on 7/29/13 at 8:37 pm
Posted by ozland
Land of Ahhs or so I am told.
Member since Aug 2008
338 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 8:37 pm
a winning season to have a good recruiting class. Since Pinkel's recruiting classes tend to be in the mid-forties, is the class significantly improved at 9-3 over say 7-5 win season?
Posted by TigerTap5
Columbia
Member since Jan 2013
95 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 8:54 pm to
A 9-3 season, IMO, will show that the train hasn't fallen off the tracks. I would assume that would open the eyes of top in-state recruits such as Bauer, Johnson, Wallace, Harrison, etc. Honestly, we may only land one or two 4 star prospects for 2014 (including these guys), but I believe it would have a huge impact on the 2015 class with Lock, Williams, Strong, Hentges, and Beckner.

7-5 (or lower) on the other hand will show that there is still uncertainty around the program and will add fire to Pinkel's seat...which will be devastating for recruiting both in 2014 and 2015...JMO though.
Posted by TrueSon2014
Member since Jan 2013
374 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 9:21 pm to
I believe winning has a bigger impact on Mizzou right now more than ever. Since Mizzou is not a perennial powerhouse and now after joining the SEC east how we stack up to our new competition is unknown these next few years are crucial for recruiting. Not only in SEC territory states but also back at home and I think this class (while I like our commitments) are hurting in rankings. Also as TigerTap stated its glaring to Mizzou fans that we have none of our states top prospects as of now. again this is all JMO
Posted by semotruman
Member since Nov 2011
23188 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 9:23 pm to
Pinkel has never set the world on fire with his recruiting - he's a much better coach than a recruiter. So while a 9-3 season would help this class, I'm not sure how significant a bump it would be. But a 7-5 season won't help us at all.

Glad you've joined us, Ozland! I feel like I should say thank you for telling me about this site on Tigerboard - you seem like an old friend at this point!
Posted by ozland
Land of Ahhs or so I am told.
Member since Aug 2008
338 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 9:39 pm to
Thank you for the kind words.
I really don't think having an exceptional season win wise will make much of a difference. Pinkel is a program guy. He is confident with his schemes, his players and he feels he can win with them.
How different is year two in the SEC? Missouri must win all of their non-conference games. Must win at least 3 SEC games. The oddity is the schedule's easiest games are on the road which doesn't favor Missouri.
Like many of you, I am curious to see what a healthy Missouri squad is capable of.
Posted by T Rey WI
Back in the south where I belong!
Member since Dec 2010
2937 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 9:57 pm to
When thinking about the recruiting cycle, keep in mind the age of these kids. What the team does this year is not likely to have a hugh impact on the February 2014 signing class. It will however lay the ground work for the 2015 and 2016 classes.

Think back to when MU football first really began to register to you as a fan. when you were about 12 years old (if football was important to you) you were likely thinking more in terms of wanting to play for your high school team. Unless you grew up going to games at the Zou, that was not part of your world view.

At about 15 (if you had the ability and drive to see it as a legit option) your view shifted from wanting to just play at the high school to wondering if you could make it at the college level. As a soph in HS, the taste of football and the desire to play at the next level was taking hold.

This season is what will be set in the minds of those 10th graders as they start to point and say "that is where I want to play". Some of the 11th graders may not be strongly set in their view and they can be pulled in. But the seniors have their ideas prety well set before the season starts and if you are not already in the lead group for them the chances of changing their focus is slim unless they grew up a fan of MU and are looking for any excuse to keep you in the mix.

I know that was long winded but it is my view based on lots of close observation of the recruiting process. Hope it helped.
Posted by Remote Controlled
Member since Apr 2013
6859 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 9:59 pm to
9-3

I'm back on the wagon.

REIN THEM UP BOYS! We're going to Shreveport!

Not really.

What no more Shreveport?

Ok! We're going to some other bowl! Yee haw!

What I'm trying to say is, I'll take it. Welcome to the board Oz.
This post was edited on 7/29/13 at 10:01 pm
Posted by semotruman
Member since Nov 2011
23188 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 10:24 pm to
So what you're saying is that this year isn't worth worrying about. Last year's results have hurt this year's recruiting, and it's probably too late for this class. But this year's results will affect the 2015 class and that's where we need to be focused.

What is your opinion on changing coaches? What record would trigger you to make a change? And who would you be looking at, if you were Mizzou's AD?
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 10:34 pm to
quote:

When thinking about the recruiting cycle, keep in mind the age of these kids. What the team does this year is not likely to have a hugh impact on the February 2014 signing class. It will however lay the ground work for the 2015 and 2016 classes.


I've already moved on the the 2015 class. The damage was already done from last year, as you say. I'm still confident that a good season this year, can sway those juniors. The 2015 class has the potential to be a very solid class for Mizzou IF we win this year. Lots of home grown talent or talent grown in the immediate vicinity.

ETA - And welcome aboard oz!!! I've read most all of your posts on tigerboard.
This post was edited on 7/29/13 at 10:35 pm
Posted by T Rey WI
Back in the south where I belong!
Member since Dec 2010
2937 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 10:35 pm to
Coaching change will open up a few options for kids that are a fan of the coach coming in. It can have a good bump for the class if done early enough. It can also hurt the class with kids close to the former coach if enough time is not given for the new coach to build bridges.

I am not going to put a number on a MU coaching change as I am not tied to the university. 9 wins would be enough to light the fires for running a coach out of town where I am from.

Choosing a coach...again not my place. Just make sure you do not pick a coach who you do not have the players to fit his system unless you are willing to deal with the pain of transition while he gets his kids in place. However, even with giving him time, the fact you picked the wrong style match will lengthen the recovery time due to the recruiting cycle above.

With the changes the OC is making this year, it will make it easier for a defense minded coach to make an impact in less years than it would have last year.
Posted by semotruman
Member since Nov 2011
23188 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 10:41 pm to
OK, fair enough. IF we were to make a change, when would you recommend we make that decision?
Posted by T Rey WI
Back in the south where I belong!
Member since Dec 2010
2937 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 10:46 pm to
If you are going to make a change you need to start working on it by mid season but make no comment until the last week or two of the final regular season game (unless the coach opens the door saying he is going to step down or retire). Once public comment is made you have 8 to 10 days to catch lightening in a bottle before the ship starts to drift off course and you lose a recruiting class.
This post was edited on 7/29/13 at 10:48 pm
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

If you are going to make a change you need to start working on it by mid season but make not comment until the last week or two of the final regular season game (unless the coach opens the door saying he is going to step down or retire). Once public comment is made you have 8 to 10 days to catch lightening in a bottle before the ship starts to drift off course and you loose a recruiting class.


What do you think the odds are that AD Alden has already gotten some feelers out there? I don't think Alden or anyone tied to the department would have made contact, but would you suspect that "others" affiliated with the university have reached out to get a gauge of the market? Or would they hold off doing that all together for fear of it getting out?
Posted by ozland
Land of Ahhs or so I am told.
Member since Aug 2008
338 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 10:51 pm to
I just don't see Missouri parting ways with Pinkel even with a losing season unless the wheels fall completely off.
And I don't see the wheels falling off.

Having said that, poor recruiting will eventually catch up to the program. But what does Pinkel consider poor recruiting? If recruiting classes that are ranked in the mid-forties are 'normal' for the program, then the emphasis
with be on program players that fit his system.
Frankly (no pun intended)I don't see that changing.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 10:58 pm to
quote:

I just don't see Missouri parting ways with Pinkel even with a losing season unless the wheels fall completely off.
And I don't see the wheels falling off.



I know nothing but rumor and speculation, but apparently all the big money that is needed to build those nice facilities think it's only a wise investment if the team shows they're on the right path. Another losing season, I don't imagine, is on the right path according to those that write those checks. I could be way wrong, but I don't see GP surviving another losing season. 6-6? Maybe he keeps it. I won't want him at 6-6 but it may be good enough that they keep him through the end of his contract.

Yes, normal classes for Mizzou are in the 30's or 40's. And I agree, I don't see that changing...under Pinkel.
Posted by T Rey WI
Back in the south where I belong!
Member since Dec 2010
2937 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 11:04 pm to
I think Alden is a class act in a tight spot. Had he made a move last year it might have splintered the power base needed to advance the total program and damaged his ability to do his job effectively. I believe he put all of the load on Pinkle to sink or swim on his own and his own way. If Pinkle fails Alden will have coalesced the power base around himself and can make a move from a point of strength.

Making ANY overt move before Pinkle has shot his load would be the end of Alden's ability to run the program. Back channels are likely simmering.
This post was edited on 7/29/13 at 11:07 pm
Posted by semotruman
Member since Nov 2011
23188 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 11:13 pm to
Very insightful comment, TRey. I think you're right on the money. Alden has played it so that he will have all the support he needs if he thinks a move is necessary.

So, do you think Jimmy Sexton has gotten a call yet?
Posted by T Rey WI
Back in the south where I belong!
Member since Dec 2010
2937 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

So, do you think Jimmy Sexton has gotten a call yet?


Not likely from Alden himself but...
Posted by ozland
Land of Ahhs or so I am told.
Member since Aug 2008
338 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 11:20 pm to
What Missouri needs more than anything is a signature win over a ranked opponent to give legitimacy to the program.
Posted by T Rey WI
Back in the south where I belong!
Member since Dec 2010
2937 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

What Missouri needs more than anything is a signature win over a ranked opponent to give legitimacy to the program.


The target is likely Florida this year
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