Model Predictions - SEC Games week of 12/12 (BAMA/ARK, A&M/OM, LSU/UF, UGA/MIZ, MSU/AUB)

ARKANSAS vs #1 ALABAMA (-31) (O/U 68.5)

VEGAS PREDICTION
Alabama - 50
Arkansas - 19

MODEL PREDICTION
ALABAMA - 53*
ARKANSAS - 17

Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 540 (7.20 on 75 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 300 (9.37 on 32 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 240 (5.58 on 43 plays)

Arkansas Total Yards (YPP): 356 (5.39 on 66 plays)
Arkansas Pass Yards (YPA): 221 (7.36 on 30 plays)
Arkansas Rush Yards (YPA): 123 (3.41 on 36 plays)




#5 TEXAS A&M (-15) vs OLE MISS (O/U 73)

VEGAS PREDICTION
Texas A&M- 44
Ole Miss - 29

MODEL PREDICTION
TEXAS A&M - 43
OLE MISS- 32

Texas A&M Total Yards (YPP): 545 yards (7.68 YPA on 71 plays)
Texas A&M Pass Yards (YPA): 198 yards (7.54 YPA on 25 plays)
Texas A&M Rush Yards (YPA): 347 yards (7.93 YPA on 46 plays)

Ole Miss Total Yards (YPP): 474 yards (6.68 YPA on 71 plays)
Ole Miss Pass Yards (YPA): 336 yards (10.18 YPA on 33 plays)
Ole Miss Rush Yards (YPA): 138 yards (3.64 YPA on 38 plays)





#6 FLORIDA (-24) vs LSU (O/U 68)

VEGAS PREDICTION
Florida - 46
LSU - 22

MODEL PREDICTION
FLORIDA - 58
LSU - 22**

Florida Total Yards (YPP): 673 yards (9.76 YPA on 69 plays)
Florida Pass Yards (YPA): 555 yards (13.21 YPA on 42 plays)
Florida Rush Yards (YPA): 118 yards (4.38 YPA on 27 plays)

LSU Total Yards (YPP): 350 yards (5.00 YPA on 70 plays)
LSU Pass Yards (YPA): 264 yards (6.60 YPA on 40 plays)
LSU Rush Yards (YPA): 86 yards (2.86 YPA on 30 plays)





MISSOURI vs #8 GEORGIA (-13) (O/U 54)

VEGAS PREDICTION
Georgia - 34
Missouri - 21

MODEL PREDICTION
GEORGIA - 37***
MISSOURI - 18

Georgia Total Yards (YPP): 428 yards (6.69 YPA on 69 plays)
Georgia Pass Yards (YPA): 253 yards (9.37 YPA on 27 plays)
Georgia Rush Yards (YPA): 175 yards (4.74 YPA on 37 plays)

Missouri Total Yards (YPP): 365 yards (5.07 YPA on 70 plays)
Missouri Pass Yards (YPA): 299 yards (7.13 YPA on 42 plays)
Missouri Rush Yards (YPA): 66 yards (2.19 YPA on 30 plays)






MISSISSIPPI STATE vs AUBURN (-8) (O/U 48.0)

VEGAS PREDICTION
Auburn - 28
Mississippi St- 20

MODEL PREDICTION
MISSISSIPPI ST - 27
AUBURN - 24

Miss St Total Yards (YPP): 343 yards (4.83 YPA on 71 plays)
Miss St Pass Yards (YPA): 323 yards (5.66 YPA on 57 plays)
Miss St Rush Yards (YPA): 20 yards (1.45 YPA on 14 plays)

Auburn Total Yards (YPP): 352 yards (5.03 YPA on 70 plays)
Auburn Pass Yards (YPA): 221 yards (6.89 YPA on 32 plays)
Auburn Rush Yards (YPA): 131 yards (3.46 YPA on 38 plays)


* Only used Alabama offensive stats post-Waddle injury
** Only used LSU offensive stats post-Brennan injury
*** Only used UGA offensive stats from JT Daniels starts