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re: Vegas has Bama 10.5 point favorite over lsu
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:36 am to texag7
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:36 am to texag7
quote:
I’d imagine the spread will close to around a touchdown the week of game. If so I’m putting 5k on Bama. Bama has won me a lot of money when playing lsu. Over 10k
You don’t have that kind of money and you know it.
0
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:39 am to tmjones2
quote:
If you want to cite games from last year
You were -16 at LSU.
So you would’ve been -26 at Alabana.
Compare that to a projected line of -10 this year. Y’all must be way worse or LSU is way better.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:39 am to texag7
I'll take it!
RTR! In truth I see it as a pick-em
Bama has home field and LSU will have most of their injured Defensive players back.
I don't get the line....I guess the heavy money will be on Bama.
Bad omen! They sure didn't do us Tiders
any favors.
RTR! In truth I see it as a pick-em
Bama has home field and LSU will have most of their injured Defensive players back.
I don't get the line....I guess the heavy money will be on Bama.
Bad omen! They sure didn't do us Tiders
any favors.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:43 am to texag7
Wow another LSU thread by an Aggy fan
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:57 am to texag7
too high. Should be about 6.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:59 am to texag7
Even your own fans are telling you to shut the frick up 
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:00 am to biclops
quote:
too high. Should be about 6.
It'll get down there by game time. Especially after LSU dismantles State and Auburn in the next few weeks. Bama as a TD favorite seems about where this thing should be. I don't know how either defense stops the other offense. Like, at all.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:01 am to texag7
nm
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 11:33 am
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:04 am to texag7
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:07 am to texag7
Makes me feel even better about getting my bet in early. I got LSU at Bama -14.. we gonna win this baws!!
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:08 am to LSUNV
I could not care less what that line is now. I will think about that after we play both State and Auburn.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:09 am to texag7
What does vegas say about the amount of dicks you're going to suck this year?
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 11:13 am
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:18 am to biclops
quote:
too high. Should be about 6.
No way it's less than a TD , it will not go below 9.
No smart money would take Ls8u at +6.5. .. it would be extremely skewed on Bama.
We've seen this play before for the past 4 years, this is the year.. etc.
It's not, sorry Ls8u fans.. it will reach double digits unless y'all can pull off an upset next year at home.
Bama, at home, (and away) has dominated Ls8u and this year will be more of the same. Will be a 2 score+ win for Bama. If the final score is closer than 10 it will be due to a garbage time late score to go from down 16 to 9.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:18 am to CFFreak
quote:
Dickride much?
Seems to do it quite a bit. But not near the level LSU fans dickride Clemson, so he's got that going for him.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:19 am to texag7
And.....?
What does that have to do with atm?
What does that have to do with atm?
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:21 am to texag7
I really am curious to see about if Auburn isn't that good or if the FL game was a freshman doing freshman things and that was his first big challenge.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:22 am to WilliamTaylor21
quote:
Would be the smallest home favorite Alabana has been since 2015...
It’s the small things in life, right Willie?
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:22 am to TizzyT4theUofA
That's what your wife/sister says.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:26 am to WilliamTaylor21
quote:
If you want to cite games from last year
quote:
You were -16 at LSU.
Bama was -14. Why are you exaggerating?
2018 Alabama @ LSU Betting Line
quote:
So you would’ve been -26 at Alabana.
Are you just making stuff up? Oddsmakers give a standard home field advantage in college of around 2.5 points. That home field advantage may flex up or down around a point (1.5 to 3.5) depending on the teams/matchups. Rarely would you ever see a 4 point home field advantage given by odds makers, much less 5 each way.
So based on the actual line of -14, Alabama may have been around -20 at Alabama last year, not -26. In fact even -20 may be giving too much credit to the respective home field advantages when talking about the Alabama/LSU game and odd makes do often get that granular so, if anything, the hypothetical @Alabama spread could have been even less than -20.
Some research for you if you are interested:
Alabama and LSU homefield advantages actually below average based on historical records
Standard college homefield is 2.5 points, data shows LSU and Bama a little lower
quote:
Compare that to a projected line of -10 this year. Y’all must be way worse or LSU is way better.
-10.5 is the projected line in the OP. And the fact is odds makers knew (and were proven right and then some) that LSU's offense last year was a horrible match up against Alabama's defense. This year LSU's offense is in fact way better and Alabama's defense is a little worse so the odds makers expect LSU to be able score this time.
Personally I think this looks like a one possession game right now and I'm glad it is in Tuscaloosa for whatever that means.
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 11:34 am
Posted on 10/16/19 at 11:29 am to texag7
That’s going to be a volatile line the week before the game as the LSU money rushes in ( LSU has covered every week ).
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