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Post-Week 3 ESPN FPI expected Conference Results

Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:55 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:55 am
SEC East
1. Georgia (12-0, 8-0)
2. Missouri (8-4, 4-4)
2. Florida (8-4, 4-4)
2. South Carolina (6-5, 4-4)
5. Kentucky (7-5, 3-5)
5. Vanderbilt (6-6, 3-5)
7. Tennessee (3-9, 0-8)

SEC West
1. Alabama (12-0, 8-0)
2. Mississippi State (11-1, 7-1)
3. Texas A&M (8-4, 5-3)
4. LSU (8-4, 4-4)
4. Auburn (8-4, 4-4)
6. Ole Miss (6-6, 2-6)
7. Arkansas (2-10, 0-8)



NEAUX RESPECT
This post was edited on 9/16/18 at 11:56 am
Posted by CockCommander
Haha
Member since Feb 2014
2897 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:56 am to
I cant see LSU losing 4 games.
Posted by AllbyMyRelf
Virginia
Member since Nov 2014
3725 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:56 am to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:57 am to
quote:

I cant see LSU losing 4 games.



Me neither - the ones they have are

vs Georgia (25.5%)
vs Mississippi State (42.5%)
vs Alabama (15.2%)
@ Texas A&M (37.2%)
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
103940 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:58 am to
quote:

2. Florida (8-4, 4-4)


quote:

5. Kentucky (7-5, 3-5)
5. Vanderbilt (6-6, 3-5)


Posted by dawgdayafternoon
Jacksonville, GA
Member since Jul 2011
22982 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:59 am to
So, Tennessee's only wins this year will be East Tenn State, UTEP, and Charlotte.
Posted by CockCommander
Haha
Member since Feb 2014
2897 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:59 am to
I will never pick A&M to beat LSU until its proven that A&M can even stay on the field with them.
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
19591 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 11:59 am to
Ole Miss beats Arkansas and ???
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Ole Miss beats Arkansas and ???


South Carolina
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
126214 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:01 pm to
Lol at ESPN
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
62138 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:02 pm to
We cummin
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
46748 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:02 pm to
Have we been at 8-4 in every edition of this?
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9853 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:03 pm to
Boy they like to double down.

I would like to know how, when they said we would be 1-2 at this point, they keep finding L's for us? lol
Posted by AstroAg17
Member since Oct 2015
754 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:03 pm to
Did you do that the correct way? The right way to do it is to add up the expected win totals. So if you have a 55% change to win each game in a 3 game season, your expected win total is 1.65. I feel like you would count that as 3-0, which is dumb.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

Did you do that the correct way? The right way to do it is to add up the expected win totals. So if you have a 55% change to win each game in a 3 game season, your expected win total is 1.65. I feel like you would count that as 3-0, which is dumb.


This is using the game by game method not the overall % average. Using that.........

SEC East
1. Georgia (11-1, 7-1)
2. Missouri (8-4, 4-4)
2. Vanderbilt (7-5, 4-4)
4. Kentucky (7-5, 3-5)
4. Florida (7-5, 3-5)
6. South Carolina (6-5, 3-5)
7. Tennessee (5-7, 2-6)

SEC WEST
1. Alabama (11-1, 7-1)
2. Mississippi State (9-3, 5-3)
3. Texas A&M (8-4, 5-3)
4. LSU (8-4, 4-4)
4. Auburn (8-4, 4-4)
6. Ole Miss (7-5, 3-5)
7. Arkansas (3-9, 1-7)
This post was edited on 9/16/18 at 12:12 pm
Posted by Bham Bammer
Member since Nov 2014
15264 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

I cant see LSU losing 4 games.



Close your eyes

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Now open them!
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9853 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

Close your eyes

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Now open them!

Posted by 4Ghost
Member since Sep 2016
8562 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:14 pm to
Lose 3 of those 4, whiff a bowl game. There is the 4 losses. Easily done for LSU. Burrow is not the answer!
Posted by DownSouthJukin
1x tRant Poster of the Millennium
Member since Jan 2014
29850 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:15 pm to
Ole Miss too high.
Posted by TchPowDog
Zachary, LA
Member since Sep 2015
4798 posts
Posted on 9/16/18 at 12:19 pm to
FPI is the dumbest thing in college football.

If I remember right, according to FPI, our lowest chance to win a game this season was yesterday at Auburn.

FPI also had us losing to Miami - we dominated Miami.

I never care about FPI, but I don't even pay attention to rankings until like week 8.
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