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Weather nerds, how bad is Florence gonna get?

Posted on 9/12/18 at 6:54 am
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
70096 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 6:54 am
My dad and I own a beach house in Sunset Beach,NC, about 50 miles south of Willmington Been in our family for 40+years.

It survived Hurricanes, Floods, Tropical storms, my drunken escapades, etc.

Any chance this storm weakens enough to keep the house intact?

Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
68160 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 7:28 am to
How far inland is it? The storm will weaken some but it's going to push a shitload of water inland and I think it will happen during high tide.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
86601 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 7:45 am to
With global warming the way it is, I wouldn't take any chances.

Gonna be major flooding!!!
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
70096 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 7:55 am to
quote:

How far inland is it?


Lol, it's ocean front, so 200 yards
Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
68160 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Lol, it's ocean front, so 200 yards

OK well take some pics bc it could be gone......or just relocated 5 miles inland
Posted by MoarKilometers
Member since Apr 2015
19857 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:18 am to
quote:

It survived Hurricanes

Well, i feel you have your answer already. Biggest frickery i saw post matthew was all storm surge related. Dude at the end of street, closest to the dunes, had about 3 ft of sand relocated into his yard. Some into in the house/garage. If that and flooding are off the table, seems like you have a pretty good shot.
Posted by Kentucker
Cincinnati, KY
Member since Apr 2013
19351 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:22 am to
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
86601 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:51 am to
Good Lord warming!!
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
39765 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:47 pm to
I drove through Sunset on 179 yesterday. It was empty. Everything was boarded up and folks were headed west out of town via 904. People are taking this storm very seriously, largely because of the storm surge and the amount of rain that is supposed to be dropped on the coast. If I were concerned about anything, it would be water damage and your ability to get down there to make necessary repairs.
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30187 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 1:07 pm to
Ain't looking good, read up on what Hurricane Irene did in 2011. Irene stalled out and was moving only 3-4 mph. 24-36 hours of heavy rains and winds brought down lots of trees and storm surge. Irene was a Cat 1 at around 100mph, Florence supposed to be stronger. Good luck, hurricanes suck arse.
Posted by GatorsGators
Member since Oct 2012
13784 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

Well, i feel you have your answer already. Biggest frickery i saw post matthew was all storm surge related. Dude at the end of street, closest to the dunes, had about 3 ft of sand relocated into his yard. Some into in the house/garage. If that and flooding are off the table, seems like you have a pretty good shot.
This will be way worse for the Carolinas than Matthew
Posted by MoarKilometers
Member since Apr 2015
19857 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

This will be way worse for the Carolinas than Matthew

i understand, it will be far from the first cane that area has seen in 40+ years.
Posted by Notherdamnhog
Huntsville, Al
Member since Aug 2010
6192 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Lol, it's ocean front, so 200 yards
I'm afraid you're screwed on this one. Hope not but if Flo is the bitch that she appears then you're looking at possibly a total rebuild.

You do have a good insurance policy....right?

Best of Luck Shaft.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
70096 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

You do have a good insurance policy....right?



Yeah, it's a rental property, we insured the frick out of it


But it'll never be the same, would be heartbreaking to lose that house.
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 3:43 pm
Posted by The Nino
Member since Jan 2010
21719 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 3:44 pm to
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
44844 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 3:46 pm to
Do you remember how bad Hugo was because this could be worse (tons more people and development now than back then).
Posted by Notherdamnhog
Huntsville, Al
Member since Aug 2010
6192 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

But it'll never be the same, would be heartbreaking to lose that house.
I know the feeling from rebuilding on the Gulf Coast several times.

It's a gamble we take for the pleasure we get and memories made from a having a part of paradise.


Sending positive vibes to you and yours my "Rant Friend".

frick Flo!!!!

Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
86601 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:03 pm to
Is everyone the hell out of there yet? I've never seen Knoxville more packed with people.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
70096 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:27 pm to
I'm leaving in the morning
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
86601 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:31 pm to
Good, the mother fricker looks the size of a state. Massive!
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