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re: Chubb’s worst games tend to come when he isn’t used much

Posted on 9/21/17 at 5:17 pm to
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

but arent anywhere near Chubb's level.


I don't really think this is an accurate statement. Michel has grown tremendously in his time here. Given the limitations of our interior line and what it has meant for our offense, Chubb is maybe not quite as good out of the shotgun which is what we've largely shifted to. Chubb is easily the best back out of a traditional run set, still has amazing vision and patience... the issue right now is patience ends up getting him contacted in the backfield as the interior collapses too often.

I think 20 touches for Chubb is great if we've got enough touches to go around, but his carries seem to have higher variability than Michel (I'll leave out Swift who is great but still has to grow to catch up IMO). An average of 5 yards or more is great, but if that's 30 and then a bunch of 1-3 yard plays over how ever many carries, I'll take the guy who's averaging 5 but falls forward for 3 yards minimum nearly every carry for more touches... consistent positive yardage is damn near a requirement for this offense. Freshman QB - managing 1st and 2nd downs to keep us in no worse than 3rd and manageable is important. I'm actually curious what Fromm's 3rd down conversion percentage is on plays where less than 5 yards vs more than 5 yards to go. May go look it up but have to imagine it's higher. Chubb commands so much attention, it's hard to know what the cause is, but he seems to end up getting contacted in the backfield more often. He's also not busting the big play when he's 1:1 as frequently just yet. Doesn't mean he won't or can't... it's just not happening consistently yet this season.
Posted by DawgHolliday
the 'cloven-land', ga
Member since Sep 2012
4991 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 5:24 pm to
I think they are much closer to each other now in the post injury Chubb era, certainly. Sony has grown a lot as a back while Nick had had to work his arse off just trying to get back to where he was...may still not be there, and may never be.

Pre-injury, a 100% Chubb was better than 150% Sony, and only people with a pro-Sony agenda would argue otherwise.
Posted by AlaCowboy
North Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
6953 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

I'm actually curious what Fromm's 3rd down conversion percentage is on plays where less than 5 yards vs more than 5 yards to go

Go to cfbstats.com and you will find it. Select Georgia, Select Rushing, Situational stats.
Then select Passing, Situational stats.
This post was edited on 9/21/17 at 9:31 pm
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