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re: UPDATED 2018: Stats on WG's annual predictions thread - fanbase expectations

Posted on 8/4/17 at 5:31 am to
Posted by BranchDawg
Flowery Branch
Member since Nov 2013
9844 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 5:31 am to
Since I was curious and it'll take way less time than the OP, here's some rankings on some other stats from this.

Average predicted wins over actual wins per year:

1. Tennessee - 2.42
2. Arkansas - 2.21
3. South Carolina - 1.71
t4. Auburn - 1.35
t4. Florida - 1.35
6. LSU - 1.21
7. Mississippi State - 1.00
t8. Kentucky - 0.85
t8. Ole Miss - 0.85
10. Missouri - 0.83
11. Texas A&M - 0.75
t12. Georgia - 0.42
t12. Vanderbilt - 0.42
14. Alabama - 0.00

I think this plays to the last post's point, outside of the top 2 or 3 in these, you're talking about being off by basically a game each year, but at the same time, that likely means a loss to some rival that you thought you would beat.

Worst overestimation by each team:

Alabama - 2013: 12-0 (11-1) - that damn Kick 6
Arkansas - 2012: 9.5-2.5 (4-8) - that damn Petrino
Auburn - 2015: 10.5-1.5 (6-6) - that damn Jeremy Johnson
Florida - 2013: 9.5-2.5 (4-8) - that damn Georgia Southern
Georgia - 2013: 11-1 (8-4) - that damn Kneeland
Kentucky - 2013: 4.5-7.5 (2-10) - that damn...screw it, you're UK
LSU - 2016: 11-1 (8-4) - that damn Les Miles
Ole Miss - 2016: 9-3 (5-7) - that damn escort service
Mississippi State - 2011: 9-3 (6-6) that damn season I can't remember anything about.
Missouri - 2016: 7-5 (4-8) that damn poop swastika
South Carolina - 2015: 8.5-3.5 (3-9) that damn OLD ball coach
Tennessee - 2017: 9-3 (4-8) Worst on Rant record
Texas A&M - 2013 and 2015: 10-2 (8-4) that damn Texas A&M
Vanderbilt - 2014: 8-4 (3-9) that damn James Franklin

Worst overestimation in the history of tRant:

Tennessee 2017: 9-3 (4-8) - 5 games worse than predicted.



These numbers updated as of 11/29/17
This post was edited on 11/29/17 at 4:04 pm
Posted by CNB
Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2007
96353 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 7:01 am to
Well done and all, but we won 3 games in 2015 not 2014.

ETA: looks like the overestimation stands, you just got the year wrong.
This post was edited on 8/4/17 at 7:02 am
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
44291 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 7:34 am to
quote:

Worst overestimation in the history of tRant:

South Carolina 2015: 8.5-3.5 (3-9) - 5.5 games over actual result.


It's actually a three way tie, according to the numbers you posted.

quote:

Arkansas - 2012: 9.5-2.5 (4-8) - that damn Petrino


quote:

Florida - 2013: 9.5-2.5 (4-8) - that damn Georgia Southern
Posted by jcolding41
Member since Sep 2015
5694 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 8:01 am to
Quote:
Auburn - 2015: 10.5-1.5 (6-6) - that damn Jeremy Johnson

10.5-1.5 seems real close to what's coming out of barn fans right now. Stidham=JJ 2.0?
Posted by BranchDawg
Flowery Branch
Member since Nov 2013
9844 posts
Posted on 11/29/17 at 4:06 pm to
Bump because this thread has been updated for 2017.

Thanks Vols
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