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KenPom's Projected Final SEC Records & Standings
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:51 am
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:51 am
Based on averaging % chance of win/loss
1. Kentucky (25-7, 15-3)
2. South Carolina (24-7, 14-4)
3. Florida (23-8, 13-5)
4. Alabama (18-12, 11-7)
4. Arkansas (22-9, 11-7)
6. Tennessee (18-12, 10-8)
7. Auburn (19-12, 8-10)
7. Georgia (17-14, 8-10)
7. Mississippi St (17-13, 8-10)
7. Texas A&M (16-14, 8-10)
7. Vanderbilt (15-16, 8-10)
12. Ole Miss (16-15, 7-11)
13. LSU (11-19, 3-15)
14. Missouri (7-23, 2-16)
Based on black and white favored/not favored
1. Kentucky (26-5, 16-2)
1. South Carolina (26-5, 16-2)
3. Florida (25-6, 15-3)
4. Arkansas (23-8, 12-6)
4. Tennessee (20-11, 12-6)
6. Alabama (18-13, 11-7)
7. Texas A&M (17-13, 9-9)
8. Auburn (18-13, 7-11)
8. Georgia (16-15, 7-11)
8. Ole Miss (16-15, 7-11)
8. Vanderbilt (14-17, 7-11)
12. Mississippi St (15-15, 6-12)
13. LSU (9-21, 1-17)
14. Missouri (5-25, 0-18)
1. Kentucky (25-7, 15-3)
2. South Carolina (24-7, 14-4)
3. Florida (23-8, 13-5)
4. Alabama (18-12, 11-7)
4. Arkansas (22-9, 11-7)
6. Tennessee (18-12, 10-8)
7. Auburn (19-12, 8-10)
7. Georgia (17-14, 8-10)
7. Mississippi St (17-13, 8-10)
7. Texas A&M (16-14, 8-10)
7. Vanderbilt (15-16, 8-10)
12. Ole Miss (16-15, 7-11)
13. LSU (11-19, 3-15)
14. Missouri (7-23, 2-16)
Based on black and white favored/not favored
1. Kentucky (26-5, 16-2)
1. South Carolina (26-5, 16-2)
3. Florida (25-6, 15-3)
4. Arkansas (23-8, 12-6)
4. Tennessee (20-11, 12-6)
6. Alabama (18-13, 11-7)
7. Texas A&M (17-13, 9-9)
8. Auburn (18-13, 7-11)
8. Georgia (16-15, 7-11)
8. Ole Miss (16-15, 7-11)
8. Vanderbilt (14-17, 7-11)
12. Mississippi St (15-15, 6-12)
13. LSU (9-21, 1-17)
14. Missouri (5-25, 0-18)
This post was edited on 1/31/17 at 8:29 am
10
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:55 am to Triple Daves
Extend Fox
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:57 am to td01241
quote:
Extend Fox
Would be a really disappointing year for all the expectations and having 2 excellent upperclassmen in Maten and Frazier.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:59 am to Triple Daves
what other two sec games is LSU actually going to win?
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:01 am to Triple Daves
quote:I would gladly take this, but beating that projection by 1 game would be big psychologically. 20 win season and .500 in the SEC would be great milestone steps for the program.
7. Auburn (19-12, 8-10)
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:05 am to Brageous
quote:
what other two sec games is LSU actually going to win?
Best odds are :
vs Auburn (41%)
vs Texas A&M (36%)
vs Arkansas (31%)
vs Tennessee (25%)
@ Ole Miss (22%)
@ Miss St (21%)
So, they aren't actually favored in any, but averaging all the odds together means that they will sneak at least 1 or 2 out.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:10 am to PearlJam
quote:
I would gladly take this, but beating that projection by 1 game would be big psychologically. 20 win season and .500 in the SEC would be great milestone steps for the program.
That 20 benchmark is always huge. Hit 20 in a conference like the SEC and your name will at least be mentioned in tourney talk.
I set the O/U for State's wins at 16 this year (KP has us projected 17) and 20 for next year.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:11 am to cbi8
quote:
That 20 benchmark is always huge. Hit 20 in a conference like the SEC and your name will at least be mentioned in tourney talk. I set the O/U for State's wins at 16 this year (KP has us projected 17) and 20 for next year.
Yep - also keep in mind this is all pre-SECT, so Auburn could get to Nashville and get a 1st round win and get to 20.
Auburn, Alabama, Tennessee and MSU should have their sights set on the NCAAs in 2018.
This post was edited on 1/31/17 at 8:12 am
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:21 am to Triple Daves
quote:
Missouri (7-23, 2-16)
Who the hell are we going to beat?
No one.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:26 am to Triple Daves
If this holds up:
NCAA Bids (4): Kentucky, Florida, South Carolina, Arkansas
NIT Bids (4): Alabama, Tennessee, Georgia, Auburn
NCAA Bids (4): Kentucky, Florida, South Carolina, Arkansas
NIT Bids (4): Alabama, Tennessee, Georgia, Auburn
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:30 am to Triple Daves
quote:
Would be a really disappointing year
it's already disappointing, we should have comfortably made the tourney and maybe even actually won a game and now we'll be lucky to host an NIT game.
Fox needs to be gone, but I'm not sure our AD has the spine to do it.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:31 am to BHMKyle
quote:
If this holds up: NCAA Bids (4): Kentucky, Florida, South Carolina, Arkansas NIT Bids (4): Alabama, Tennessee, Georgia, Auburn
Seems most likely, with Tennessee probably the closest on the non-NCAA teams to a bid given their current RPI spot, remaining schedule and current level of play.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:32 am to Triple Daves
quote:
Auburn could get to Nashville and get a 1st round win
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:33 am to WG_Dawg
quote:
Fox needs to be gone, but I'm not sure our AD has the spine to do it.
I have no idea who the person would be, but with State, Alabama, Auburn and Tennessee making at worst decent hires of high profile folks it seems patently clear Georgia could do the same.
Somebody will look at that job and see a place he can sign good players and win in a league that is trending up with a more consistent commitment to basketball.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:48 am to Triple Daves
quote:Both too high.
13. LSU (11-19, 3-15)
14. Missouri (7-23, 2-16)
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:49 am to PearlJam
quote:Especially with the number of Freshmen Pearl is playing.....and I'm not talking about Freshmen who have no intent on becoming Sophomores.
I would gladly take this, but beating that projection by 1 game would be big psychologically. 20 win season and .500 in the SEC would be great milestone steps for the program.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 9:01 am to Notherdamnhog
5 of our top 9 players are freshmen and 2 of the others are sophomores. Only 2 seniors with meaningful contributions.
The future looks good, but I want at least the nit this year and maybe some bubble talk as well.
The future looks good, but I want at least the nit this year and maybe some bubble talk as well.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 9:10 am to Triple Daves
quote:
Based on black and white favored/not favored
1. Kentucky (26-5, 16-2)
1. South Carolina (26-5, 16-2)
3. Florida (25-6, 15-3)
4. Arkansas (23-8, 12-6)
4. Tennessee (20-11, 12-6)
6. Alabama (18-13, 11-7)
This seems more logical than the first on averaging % chance of win/loss.
I think if the league finishes like above, the SEC could be looking at 5 teams in the dance. You cannot keep a TN team out with the schedule they have faced this season if they end up winning 19-20 games.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 9:25 am to Triple Daves
2 bid league, or at least should be
Posted on 1/31/17 at 9:25 am to blzr
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