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Advanced Stats Predictions - National Championship Game
Posted on 1/5/17 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 1/5/17 at 1:09 pm
Sagarin
Alabama 27 - Clemson 19
S&P+
Alabama 29 - Clemson 21
Massey
Alabama 31 - Clemson 19
DRatings.com
Alabama 33 - Clemson 22
538
Alabama 62% chance to win
ESPN FPI
Alabama 60% chance to win
Alabama 27 - Clemson 19
S&P+
Alabama 29 - Clemson 21
Massey
Alabama 31 - Clemson 19
DRatings.com
Alabama 33 - Clemson 22
538
Alabama 62% chance to win
ESPN FPI
Alabama 60% chance to win
This post was edited on 1/5/17 at 1:12 pm
9
Posted on 1/5/17 at 1:31 pm to Triple Daves
I'll be okay if we win by 1, though for my heart health a more comfortable margin would be nice.
Posted on 1/5/17 at 1:34 pm to Triple Daves
Number of projected onside kicks?
Posted on 1/5/17 at 1:36 pm to rockiee
quote:
Number of projected onside kicks?
As many as it takes.
Posted on 1/5/17 at 1:40 pm to Triple Daves
I still haven't gotten the shite stains out of my pants from last year
Posted on 1/5/17 at 1:57 pm to rockiee
quote:
Number of projected onside kicks?
ALL OF THEM
Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:00 pm to Triple Daves
We're screwedPosted on 1/5/17 at 2:16 pm to Triple Daves
Clemsons defense looked downright incredible against Ohio State and Bamas offense LOOKS to be struggling lately. Although with Bama yall could completely turn it around in a week and look awesome on offense.
But if yall look the same as the Washington game and Watson and the offense can find some ways to put up 30 points then the game might get pretty interesting. I think it comes down to if Clemson can stop Bo late in the game to force Bama to have to throw the ball to keep drives going.
Should be a fun game to watch!
But if yall look the same as the Washington game and Watson and the offense can find some ways to put up 30 points then the game might get pretty interesting. I think it comes down to if Clemson can stop Bo late in the game to force Bama to have to throw the ball to keep drives going.
Should be a fun game to watch!
This post was edited on 1/5/17 at 2:16 pm
Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:17 pm to Triple Daves
Projected number of flying gumpettes?
Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:17 pm to I-H8-BAMA
quote:
Clemsons defense looked downright incredible against Ohio S
By far their best performance on defense all year (although OSU's offense has been pretty pedestrian except against shite teams, the same can be said for Bama). I'm interested to see if they can continue playing at that level or regress to the season mean.
Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:18 pm to reggieray420
Had to have sounded better in your head......
Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:31 pm to Triple Daves
quote:
ALL OF THEM
Challenge accepted
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Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:32 pm to Triple Daves
quote:
Advanced Stats Predictions
Historically, how accurate have these proven to be?
Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:33 pm to Triple Daves
Conclusion
Alabama - a lot
Clemson - not a lot
Alabama - a lot
Clemson - not a lot
Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:36 pm to BamaAlum97
quote:
Historically, how accurate have these proven to be?
S&P+ is, overall, historically right at their prediction mark. So, a team with a "60% chance to win" wins at roughly 60-65% of the time. Alabama is currently at a 69% chance to win, so I think it's pretty safe to feel like they have a 2 in 3 chance.
I don't know the results for others, though they are usually pretty close to S&P.
Last year S&P predicted the game to be something like a 2-3 point Alabama win.
This post was edited on 1/5/17 at 2:38 pm
Posted on 1/5/17 at 3:48 pm to Triple Daves
It will be a close game that won't be decided until late. If Watson doesn't turn the ball over I could see a Clemson win.
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