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re: UGA favored in 24 of last 25 games...
Posted on 12/2/14 at 3:16 pm to dallasga6
Posted on 12/2/14 at 3:16 pm to dallasga6
Doesn't indicate underperformance.
Being favored 3 points in a game gives you a 55% chance of winning. Play enough games where you have a 45% chance of losing, and you'll lose a lot of them. According to [link=(www.teamrankings.com/ncf/odds-history)]this[/link], if you play 25 games and you are favored, on average, 1 TD overall, then you'll win 17.45 games.
I also have a hard time believing we were favored in every game last year. Looking at our schedule, really?
Being favored 3 points in a game gives you a 55% chance of winning. Play enough games where you have a 45% chance of losing, and you'll lose a lot of them. According to [link=(www.teamrankings.com/ncf/odds-history)]this[/link], if you play 25 games and you are favored, on average, 1 TD overall, then you'll win 17.45 games.
I also have a hard time believing we were favored in every game last year. Looking at our schedule, really?
2
Posted on 12/2/14 at 3:18 pm to UGAalum08
If I recall correctly Auburn was favored by 3 against us.
Eta: I meant last year
Eta: I meant last year
This post was edited on 12/2/14 at 3:33 pm
Posted on 12/2/14 at 3:39 pm to UGAalum08
quote:
I also have a hard time believing we were favored in every game last year. Looking at our schedule, really?
Auburn in'13 was the only game we were a dog...
Favored over Clem. on the road, over Mizzou @ home, over Vandy on the road & over Neb. in the Gator...
We were favored all 12 games this year... the 3 we lost we were favored by 34 points ttl...
This post was edited on 12/2/14 at 3:40 pm
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