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CFP Top 10 Overall SOS : Should Miss State be nervous?

Posted on 11/20/14 at 10:53 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 10:53 am
Using FPI for rankings and #129 for all 1AA games and including an SEC, ACC, Big Ten and Pac 12 Title Game scenario using UGA-UA, Duke-FSU, Wisky-OSU and UCLA-Oregon

#1 UCLA - 31.00
#2 Ole Miss - 39.58
#3 Alabama - 40.00
#4 Georgia - 46.46
#5 Oregon - 47.54
#6 Mississippi State - 54.42
#7 FSU - 54.62
#8 Ohio State - 55.23
#9 TCU - 58.83
#10 Baylor - 65.33


All of a sudden Ohio State and MSU's schedules are almost identical. While MSU has a much more top loaded schedule (#1 UA, #4 OM, #6 AU, #16 LSU, #17 Arky, #19 A&M) they also have a really bad lower end (#129 UTM, #117 USM, #98 USA, #93 Vandy, #92 UAB, #61 UK).

Ohio State is the opposite, they don't have a lot on the top, but they also don't have a lot on the very bottom (#63 Navy, #42 VT, #51 Cincy, #50 Maryland, #67 Rutgers, #48 PSU, #12 MSU, #10 Wisky, #43 Minny, #44 Michigan).

As a MSU fan, I would not feel comfortable with this. And it isn't even taking into account the Anti-SEC sentiment and the shilling for Ohio State that the media will be sure to do.
This post was edited on 11/20/14 at 10:54 am
Posted by sorantable
Member since Dec 2008
48973 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 10:53 am to
tDecline of tGrind
Posted by DynastyDawg
Relf-Coast
Member since Jan 2013
10886 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 10:54 am to
This post was edited on 11/20/14 at 10:56 am
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
55224 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:00 am to
quote:

#1 UCLA - 31.00


Stopped reading here
Posted by RussIX
Atlanta, GA
Member since Oct 2014
144 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:00 am to
quote:

All of a sudden Ohio State and MSU's schedules are almost identical. While MSU has a much more top loaded schedule


This is why lower ranked games shouldn't carry as much weight when calculating SOS.

Vegas isn't setting future odds based on how MSU played against UTM, and neither should the committee be even really considering these games

Posted by msstate7
Member since Oct 2014
10788 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:07 am to
Sounds like bama fans want no part of a rematch
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
91176 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:18 am to
If OM beats Arkansas and we beat a top 10 OM in oxford then we are in IMO. The committee isnt there to put teams in whose name is more attractive they are there to put in the 4 most deserving.

So far they've done that. If state wins out they'll have a hard time dropping us considering our last win would be against a top 10 team on the road
Posted by Dental Dawg
Madison, MS
Member since Feb 2013
65 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:30 am to
Based on what I'm seeing. MSU gets in. All they have to do is win out. They would have the 3rd best SOS of playoff teams. Am I missing something?
UCLA - out
Ole Miss - out
Georgia - out
Posted by DMagic
#ChowderPosse
Member since Aug 2010
46496 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:38 am to
If we are punishing Baylor for their shitty OOC why not State?
Posted by Hardy_Har
MS
Member since Nov 2012
16285 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:48 am to
Thanks to Alabama, LSU, Florida, Arkansas, Auburn, Georgia, etc we get picked over OSU due to lineage after a road blowout in the egg bowlol.

Posted by stat19
Member since Feb 2011
29350 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:48 am to
Miss state only make the final cfp top 4 if the win the sec. They will not make it otherwise.
Posted by skirpnasty
Atlantis
Member since Aug 2012
10781 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 12:31 pm to
Lower end matters exactly not at all. Whether you play number 60 or 120, nobody cares and it's the exact same. The committee is looking at top 25 games exclusively it seems, which is good.
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