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CFP Top 10 Overall SOS : Should Miss State be nervous?
Posted on 11/20/14 at 10:53 am
Posted on 11/20/14 at 10:53 am
Using FPI for rankings and #129 for all 1AA games and including an SEC, ACC, Big Ten and Pac 12 Title Game scenario using UGA-UA, Duke-FSU, Wisky-OSU and UCLA-Oregon
#1 UCLA - 31.00
#2 Ole Miss - 39.58
#3 Alabama - 40.00
#4 Georgia - 46.46
#5 Oregon - 47.54
#6 Mississippi State - 54.42
#7 FSU - 54.62
#8 Ohio State - 55.23
#9 TCU - 58.83
#10 Baylor - 65.33
All of a sudden Ohio State and MSU's schedules are almost identical. While MSU has a much more top loaded schedule (#1 UA, #4 OM, #6 AU, #16 LSU, #17 Arky, #19 A&M) they also have a really bad lower end (#129 UTM, #117 USM, #98 USA, #93 Vandy, #92 UAB, #61 UK).
Ohio State is the opposite, they don't have a lot on the top, but they also don't have a lot on the very bottom (#63 Navy, #42 VT, #51 Cincy, #50 Maryland, #67 Rutgers, #48 PSU, #12 MSU, #10 Wisky, #43 Minny, #44 Michigan).
As a MSU fan, I would not feel comfortable with this. And it isn't even taking into account the Anti-SEC sentiment and the shilling for Ohio State that the media will be sure to do.
#1 UCLA - 31.00
#2 Ole Miss - 39.58
#3 Alabama - 40.00
#4 Georgia - 46.46
#5 Oregon - 47.54
#6 Mississippi State - 54.42
#7 FSU - 54.62
#8 Ohio State - 55.23
#9 TCU - 58.83
#10 Baylor - 65.33
All of a sudden Ohio State and MSU's schedules are almost identical. While MSU has a much more top loaded schedule (#1 UA, #4 OM, #6 AU, #16 LSU, #17 Arky, #19 A&M) they also have a really bad lower end (#129 UTM, #117 USM, #98 USA, #93 Vandy, #92 UAB, #61 UK).
Ohio State is the opposite, they don't have a lot on the top, but they also don't have a lot on the very bottom (#63 Navy, #42 VT, #51 Cincy, #50 Maryland, #67 Rutgers, #48 PSU, #12 MSU, #10 Wisky, #43 Minny, #44 Michigan).
As a MSU fan, I would not feel comfortable with this. And it isn't even taking into account the Anti-SEC sentiment and the shilling for Ohio State that the media will be sure to do.
This post was edited on 11/20/14 at 10:54 am
Posted on 11/20/14 at 10:54 am to SummerOfGeorge
This post was edited on 11/20/14 at 10:56 am
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:00 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
#1 UCLA - 31.00
Stopped reading here
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:00 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
All of a sudden Ohio State and MSU's schedules are almost identical. While MSU has a much more top loaded schedule
This is why lower ranked games shouldn't carry as much weight when calculating SOS.
Vegas isn't setting future odds based on how MSU played against UTM, and neither should the committee be even really considering these games
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:07 am to SummerOfGeorge
Sounds like bama fans want no part of a rematch
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:18 am to SummerOfGeorge
If OM beats Arkansas and we beat a top 10 OM in oxford then we are in IMO. The committee isnt there to put teams in whose name is more attractive they are there to put in the 4 most deserving.
So far they've done that. If state wins out they'll have a hard time dropping us considering our last win would be against a top 10 team on the road
So far they've done that. If state wins out they'll have a hard time dropping us considering our last win would be against a top 10 team on the road
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:30 am to SummerOfGeorge
Based on what I'm seeing. MSU gets in. All they have to do is win out. They would have the 3rd best SOS of playoff teams. Am I missing something?
UCLA - out
Ole Miss - out
Georgia - out
UCLA - out
Ole Miss - out
Georgia - out
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:38 am to SummerOfGeorge
If we are punishing Baylor for their shitty OOC why not State?
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:48 am to SummerOfGeorge
Thanks to Alabama, LSU, Florida, Arkansas, Auburn, Georgia, etc we get picked over OSU due to lineage after a road blowout in the egg bowlol.
Posted on 11/20/14 at 11:48 am to SummerOfGeorge
Miss state only make the final cfp top 4 if the win the sec. They will not make it otherwise.
Posted on 11/20/14 at 12:31 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Lower end matters exactly not at all. Whether you play number 60 or 120, nobody cares and it's the exact same. The committee is looking at top 25 games exclusively it seems, which is good.
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