Started By
Message
What is considered the most important game in a 3-game weekend series?
Posted on 4/11/26 at 1:58 am
Posted on 4/11/26 at 1:58 am
Understanding that it plays a role in your lineup or rotation and how you may be scheming to take the series…
is it Friday, Saturday, or Sunday?
is it Friday, Saturday, or Sunday?
11
Posted on 4/11/26 at 5:34 am to AggieArchitect2004
The one you are playing that day.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 7:33 am to AggieArchitect2004
I’d say Game 2 (Saturday) as you can either win or lose a series that day.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 7:50 am to AggieArchitect2004
I think you want to get out the gate with a win. That's why a lot of teams throw their best guy on Friday night.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 7:51 am to AggieArchitect2004
Honestly just depends. Generally would say game two if all else is even.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 7:53 am to AggieArchitect2004
Day 2.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 8:04 am to Ghost of Bob Horner
“Winning a series” I know from a competitive spirit is always great. , but really all 30 SEC games count the same no matter which team you are playing.
You don’t count your record by series wins, it’s games won
You don’t count your record by series wins, it’s games won
Posted on 4/11/26 at 8:05 am to AggieArchitect2004
Winning game 1 gives you your best chance at winning a series.
That's why everyone throws their best pitcher in game 1.
That's why everyone throws their best pitcher in game 1.
This post was edited on 4/11/26 at 8:06 am
Posted on 4/11/26 at 8:20 am to AggieArchitect2004
Game one, look at the stats on winning game 1 in the regional or super regional. Game one winners I believe advance at a rate of over 70 percent.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 9:34 am to AggieArchitect2004
i would be interested in a summation by a stat nerd on this topic. Say during last season, how many times did game 1 winner lose the next two, versus a split (resulting in 2-1 series victory) and then versus losing the next two.
AI could do this pretty easily
AI could do this pretty easily
Posted on 4/11/26 at 9:54 am to bamabaseballsec
That’s deceptive. In supers, game 3 winners advance 100% of the time.
Truth is, they’re all equal. Winning game one increases your changes of winning the series, but so does winning game two.
I bet game one winners win a three game series about exactly as often as game two winners.
Here’s another way to think about it: if you know you’ll be 1-1 going into game 3, does it matter which game you won? It doesn’t. Game 1 and game 2 are exactly equal in importance in a three game series.
(Obviously, this is not the case in a double elimination tournament where losing game one forces you to the loser’s bracket, where you have to win an extra game and use more arms in your path to winning the tournament.)
Truth is, they’re all equal. Winning game one increases your changes of winning the series, but so does winning game two.
I bet game one winners win a three game series about exactly as often as game two winners.
Here’s another way to think about it: if you know you’ll be 1-1 going into game 3, does it matter which game you won? It doesn’t. Game 1 and game 2 are exactly equal in importance in a three game series.
(Obviously, this is not the case in a double elimination tournament where losing game one forces you to the loser’s bracket, where you have to win an extra game and use more arms in your path to winning the tournament.)
This post was edited on 4/11/26 at 10:08 am
Posted on 4/11/26 at 10:01 am to Hugh McElroy
A quick AI query told me that, in MLB, game one winners won the series 71% of the time, and game two winners won the series 75% of the time.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 3:14 pm to AggieArchitect2004
Doesn't matter win 2 out of 3
Posted on 4/11/26 at 3:29 pm to Hugh McElroy
and game two winners won the series 75% of the time.
Yes but this stat includes game 1 winners. You’re out thinking yourself. In super regionals teams that lose game 1 have only gone on to win the super 21percent of the time.
Yes but this stat includes game 1 winners. You’re out thinking yourself. In super regionals teams that lose game 1 have only gone on to win the super 21percent of the time.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 3:35 pm to bamabaseballsec
quote:
Yes but this stat includes game 1 winners. You’re out thinking yourself. In super regionals teams that lose game 1 have only gone on to win the super 21percent of the time.
“Yes, but that stat includes game 2 winners.”
That works both ways.
Statistically, winning game one or game two doesn’t nothing more or less than then alternative in predicting the series winner.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 3:39 pm to Hugh McElroy
Then why does game 1 loser lose the series 79% of the time
Posted on 4/11/26 at 4:13 pm to bamabaseballsec
quote:
Then why does game 1 loser lose the series 79% of the time
Same reason the game 2 loser loses the series about the same percentage of the time. Math.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 4:29 pm to Hugh McElroy
Well yeah bc different variables, no one can lose a series game one. 50 percent of the participants can lose game 2. You’re taking two different equations with same answer and saying look same results.
Posted on 4/11/26 at 4:31 pm to Hugh McElroy
You do understand winning two straight games is a possibility right? You’re out thinking don’t have to lose game two to win game one
Posted on 4/11/26 at 5:03 pm to AggieArchitect2004
I would say Game 2 which decides if you win/tie the series.
Page 1 of 2
Popular
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News