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Why I think UF beats Texas
Posted on 10/3/25 at 3:57 pm
Posted on 10/3/25 at 3:57 pm
Texas 55 SHSU 0
LSU 56 SELA 10
Just like LSU fans, Texas fans have let a blowout of a borderline FCS team convince them that the offense isn’t broken - Ohio State (Clemson) just has a good defense.
UF doesn’t have the offense Ole Miss does, but they won’t need it if the defense holds arch to < 13 points.
14-13 UF wins an ugly one at home.
LSU 56 SELA 10
Just like LSU fans, Texas fans have let a blowout of a borderline FCS team convince them that the offense isn’t broken - Ohio State (Clemson) just has a good defense.
UF doesn’t have the offense Ole Miss does, but they won’t need it if the defense holds arch to < 13 points.
14-13 UF wins an ugly one at home.
14
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:00 pm to Dixie.Reb
10-3 Florida rolls
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:01 pm to Dixie.Reb
But Ohio State does have a good defense
Texas will go as far as Manning can improve. His numbers last game regardless of competition level were encouraging.
If he can be average they will win 10 games still as their roster is talented
Texas will go as far as Manning can improve. His numbers last game regardless of competition level were encouraging.
If he can be average they will win 10 games still as their roster is talented
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:04 pm to Dixie.Reb
Floridas offensive is so bad and Texas has a great Defense. Hard to see but I’m listening.
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:16 pm to Dixie.Reb
Texas ran for 166 yards on 4.8 ypc vs Ohio State
Ohio State had 126 yards passing and 77 rushing yards 2.4 ypc vs Texas
Florida couldn’t do anything offensively vs Miami or LSU, their run game averaged 79 yards on 2.8 ypc
Beck had a horrendous game vs Florida and Miami still ran for 191 yards 3 TDs 4.5 ypc
Texas D is better than Miami(comparable rush/run d, much better secondary) and LSU’s(comparable secondary, much better run d/pass rush)
Ohio State is better than Florida at every positional group aside from maybe OL, that’s even debatable
Texas will win this game even if Arch plays his absolute worst, Florida’s only chance is playing a backup qb that Texas isn’t prepared to defend
Ohio State had 126 yards passing and 77 rushing yards 2.4 ypc vs Texas
Florida couldn’t do anything offensively vs Miami or LSU, their run game averaged 79 yards on 2.8 ypc
Beck had a horrendous game vs Florida and Miami still ran for 191 yards 3 TDs 4.5 ypc
Texas D is better than Miami(comparable rush/run d, much better secondary) and LSU’s(comparable secondary, much better run d/pass rush)
Ohio State is better than Florida at every positional group aside from maybe OL, that’s even debatable
Texas will win this game even if Arch plays his absolute worst, Florida’s only chance is playing a backup qb that Texas isn’t prepared to defend
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:20 pm to SECCaptain
Arch still improving =Texas big win
Arch reverts to bad = close Texas win.
IMO, Lagway is like the bad Arch but without the other talent around him
Arch reverts to bad = close Texas win.
IMO, Lagway is like the bad Arch but without the other talent around him
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:30 pm to Old1937
I could excuse Lagway vs LSU because they play cover 1, but Miami plays cover 3/4/6 like Texas and he played even worse. I thought he would be elite vs the zone because his strength is throwing at different arm angles and layering, but unless he was sandbagging 
This post was edited on 10/3/25 at 4:32 pm
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:55 pm to SECCaptain
quote:
Texas ran for 166 yards on 4.8 ypc vs Ohio State Ohio State had 126 yards passing and 77 rushing yards 2.4 ypc vs Texas Florida couldn’t do anything offensively vs Miami or LSU, their run game averaged 79 yards on 2.8 ypc Beck had a horrendous game vs Florida and Miami still ran for 191 yards 3 TDs 4.5 ypc Texas D is better than Miami(comparable rush/run d, much better secondary) and LSU’s(comparable secondary, much better run d/pass rush) Ohio State is better than Florida at every positional group aside from maybe OL, that’s even debatable Texas will win this game even if Arch plays his absolute worst, Florida’s only chance is playing a backup qb that Texas isn’t prepared to defend
It’s possible for special teams and defense to score points too.
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:58 pm to Dixie.Reb
quote:
Why I think UF beats Texas
Definitely possible, but the games against Sam & SELA are not the reason.
Florida is a talented team. Lots of NFL draft picks on both sides of the ball.
Lagway is from Texas and might rise to the occasion. He is good when is on.
The game is at Florida.
Billy is desperate for a win.
It is supposed to rain.
Summary
Both defenses are really good. The team that takes care of the ball better and finds success running the ball will win the game. I've got it a 1 score game either way. Around 14-20 points each.
Posted on 10/3/25 at 4:59 pm to Dixie.Reb
Texas 27
Florida 0
Florida 0
Posted on 10/3/25 at 5:46 pm to theCAW
That’s one of a trillion possibilities ..always remember never forget
Posted on 10/3/25 at 6:00 pm to Dixie.Reb
Posted on 10/3/25 at 6:23 pm to BigBro
Playcalling is a real wildcard in this one.
Both teams off of a bye week. Both coaches trying to help their QBs figure it out.
I’m curious to see how both coaches approach the game. Conservative vs letting it rip.
Both teams off of a bye week. Both coaches trying to help their QBs figure it out.
I’m curious to see how both coaches approach the game. Conservative vs letting it rip.
Posted on 10/3/25 at 6:25 pm to Old Sarge
Hey Folks, I got news for u!!! It’s a crap shoot and or mystery .. Fla Texas . Texas Florida .. capiche?
Posted on 10/3/25 at 6:26 pm to Dixie.Reb
Only one guarantee: when this game ends, a head coach will be hanging by his nuts.
Posted on 10/3/25 at 6:45 pm to Buckeye06
Arch against UTEP: 11/25 for 114 yds 1 TD and 1 Pick.
My point was not that OSU = Clemson. It was that Texas fans are focusing on a blowout against an awful team to convince themselves that tomorrow will be a blowout. Arch hasn’t had a good game against a defense with a pulse yet. Maybe tomorrow he will, but that’s what LSU fans thought last week too.
My point was not that OSU = Clemson. It was that Texas fans are focusing on a blowout against an awful team to convince themselves that tomorrow will be a blowout. Arch hasn’t had a good game against a defense with a pulse yet. Maybe tomorrow he will, but that’s what LSU fans thought last week too.
Posted on 10/3/25 at 7:13 pm to Dixie.Reb
Our O is pee wee football caliber. We’re at risk of a shut out tomorrow unless the D can score.
Posted on 10/3/25 at 7:20 pm to AGGIES
quote:sark can actually call plays
Playcalling is a real wildcard in this one.
Napier cannot
Posted on 10/3/25 at 7:24 pm to SECCaptain
quote:
Texas will win this game even if Arch plays his absolute worst,
You had me convinced until you said that.
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