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The case against A&M
Posted on 9/29/25 at 8:59 am
Posted on 9/29/25 at 8:59 am
Recognizing that being undefeated is a nice place to be, it’s still early in the season and while A&M may be a decent team, being ranked 5/6 is grossly overrated. Let’s look at our body of work:
Game 1 UTSA - Allowed their RB to rush for 177 yards, only ran for 108 total ourselves, didn’t cover the spread
Game 2 Utah St - Didn’t cover the spread
Game 3 @Notre Dame - tough environment but a not impressive 1 point win (because of a fumbled extra point snap), allowed 429 yards (6 ypp)
Game 4 Auburn - 13 penalties committed, 3/14 on 3rd down, Auburn had the ball at the end for a potential game winning drive, didn’t cover the spread
Now let’s look at the back half of the season - after Miss St and Florida at home (could lose either one), we have three in a row on the road (Arkansas, LSU, Mizzou - likely lose 2/3) and then later Texas on the road.
Being 4-0 is great, but don’t be surprised to see a 7-5 A&M team at the end of the season
Game 1 UTSA - Allowed their RB to rush for 177 yards, only ran for 108 total ourselves, didn’t cover the spread
Game 2 Utah St - Didn’t cover the spread
Game 3 @Notre Dame - tough environment but a not impressive 1 point win (because of a fumbled extra point snap), allowed 429 yards (6 ypp)
Game 4 Auburn - 13 penalties committed, 3/14 on 3rd down, Auburn had the ball at the end for a potential game winning drive, didn’t cover the spread
Now let’s look at the back half of the season - after Miss St and Florida at home (could lose either one), we have three in a row on the road (Arkansas, LSU, Mizzou - likely lose 2/3) and then later Texas on the road.
Being 4-0 is great, but don’t be surprised to see a 7-5 A&M team at the end of the season
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:00 am
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:02 am to Projectpat
I refuse to accept this response thread.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:05 am to MtVernon
Sad to say we were posting at the same time. I’ll give you attention on the next one.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:05 am to Projectpat
Sir, this is the Rant. Reason and humility have no place here.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:06 am to Projectpat
Let me preface what I’m about to say: we do not deserve a top-ten ranking as of now.
75 of those came on one play, and Elko put a heavy emphasis on the passing game so Reed and his new WRs could start building chemistry.
No rebuttal.
Beating ND in their house is no easy feat.
We dominated Auburn. If we didn’t keep shooting ourselves in the leg, we would’ve won something like 29-3.
BAS is a toxic girlfriend. My glasses are not maroon-colored, but it’s okay to be hopeful.
We’re making progress. If Jimbo was in charge, we’d be 2-2.
Our defense is still a huge question mark, but if we can put a complete game together against State, we can start thinking about 9-3 or better.
quote:
Game 1 UTSA - Allowed their RB to rush for 177 yards, only ran for 108 total ourselves, didn’t cover the spread
75 of those came on one play, and Elko put a heavy emphasis on the passing game so Reed and his new WRs could start building chemistry.
quote:
Game 2 Utah St - Didn’t cover the spread
No rebuttal.
quote:
Game 3 @Notre Dame - tough environment but a not impressive 1 point win (because of a fumbled extra point snap), allowed 429 yards (6 ypp)
Game 4 Auburn - 13 penalties committed, 3/14 on 3rd down, Auburn had the ball at the end for a potential game winning drive, didn’t cover the spread
Beating ND in their house is no easy feat.
We dominated Auburn. If we didn’t keep shooting ourselves in the leg, we would’ve won something like 29-3.
BAS is a toxic girlfriend. My glasses are not maroon-colored, but it’s okay to be hopeful.
We’re making progress. If Jimbo was in charge, we’d be 2-2.
Our defense is still a huge question mark, but if we can put a complete game together against State, we can start thinking about 9-3 or better.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:09 am
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:18 am to FootballFrenzy
quote:
We dominated Auburn. If we didn’t keep shooting ourselves in the leg, we would’ve won something like 29-3.
lol
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:20 am to FootballFrenzy
I do think we’d be 2-2 with Jimbo, but he’d also end up at 5-7 whereas Elko improves us to 7-5
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:21 am
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:22 am to Projectpat
At this point Ags are honestly a top 15 team. Next Next 4 games will determine if we are top 10 or maybe even top 5.
Not nearly consistent enough on offense for me to consider us a top 5 team. Not even close. That’s my opinion at this time.
Not nearly consistent enough on offense for me to consider us a top 5 team. Not even close. That’s my opinion at this time.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:24 am to Tridentds
We lit up everyone except Auburn, who has one of the best defenses in the SEC, and we moved the ball on them plenty. This is a high-powered offense, but they need discipline and Reed has to get better at the deep ball.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:27 am to Projectpat
A&M is set up nicely since they avoid Bama, UGA, Ole Miss, and Tennessee. State is a darling team right now but A&M is more talented across the board and should win that one. A&M can drop LSU and Mizzou and still make the playoff if they beat what may be a middling Texas team. Nice spot to be in.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:28 am
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:27 am to FootballFrenzy
It’s ok to be optimistic and want to bury the BAS.
But for the purposes of tRant, I kind of like the OP approach…
Just let them make the case for why other teams should be Top 10.
Our schedule is tough enough that if we are able to win the games, that stuff takes care of itself.
But for the purposes of tRant, I kind of like the OP approach…
Just let them make the case for why other teams should be Top 10.
Our schedule is tough enough that if we are able to win the games, that stuff takes care of itself.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:33 am to AGGIES
When asking if you should be a top 10 team you must also ask "then who should be?" when doubting your team. If you can easily find those 10, then you might be right. But you usually can't.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:34 am to Projectpat
quote:
but don’t be surprised to see a 7-5 A&M team at the end of the season
Nice try.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:41 am to Sooner1984
quote:
When asking if you should be a top 10 team you must also ask "then who should be?" when doubting your team. If you can easily find those 10, then you might be right. But you usually can't.
The Top 25 ratings are always past results oriented, as they should be, because you can’t judge teams based on games that haven’t happened.
ESPN’s FPI is more potential oriented, which is why it appears to be a bit wonky, but it’s probably more accurate. E.g. right now it has 2-2 Notre Dame at #6 and 4-0 A&M at #16. Odd with a traditional Top 25 mindset, but it will likely be more accurate at the end of the season in that Notre Dame has a higher chance of winning out than A&M does of finishing with less than 3 losses
All that to say - should A&M be ranked in the top 10 now? Yes. Will they be at the end of the season? Obviously not.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:44 am
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:09 am to FootballFrenzy
Unless there are significant injuries, I see A&M at 10-2, or 9-3 at worst.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:12 am to Corriente Kid
This thread is bizarro world. Up is down, down is up. Cats and dogs, living together. Mass hysteria.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 10:14 am
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:13 am to Projectpat
quote:
Game 2 Utah St - Didn’t cover the spread
Case for you here - Vanderbilt also didn't cover the spread and Utah State is now 5-0 against the spread this year.
Bronco Mendenhall doing work over there in Logan.
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:17 am to Hugh McElroy
A&M:
5% chance: 12-0
15% chance: 11-1
80% chance: 10-2
0% chance: 9-3
-100% chance: 8-4
Book it.
5% chance: 12-0
15% chance: 11-1
80% chance: 10-2
0% chance: 9-3
-100% chance: 8-4
Book it.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 10:18 am
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:29 am to MtVernon
quote:
5% chance: 12-0 15% chance: 11-1 80% chance: 10-2 0% chance: 9-3 -100% chance: 8-4
I added up these %s on my iPhone calculator and it said 0%. What gives buddy?
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