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Is LSU the first top 3 team in CFB to be a dog to a team starting a back-up QB?
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:38 pm
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:38 pm
Maybe one of you statheads know a good reference for this. Having a hard time figuring out how the #3 team is considered an underdog by Vegas when Ole Miss is starting a back-up QB and 70+% of the money is on LSU?
14
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:40 pm to Quicksilver
I bet LSU was the dog in the BCS title game against bama and you may as well consider any of their QBs a backup for that game
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:40 pm to Quicksilver
They think LSU can’t score and most here would agree .
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:42 pm to Soonerd78
quote:
They think LSU can’t score and most here would agree .
We always have a good chance for a pick 6 with this defense.
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:42 pm to Quicksilver
I've literally watched LSU look like they genuinely didnt want their offense to pick up a first down. Think it was the Florida game. They know Kelly is playing with fire relying so heavily on Defense.
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:47 pm to Quicksilver
Calm before the storm.
Nuss will win the 3rd Heisman for an LSU QB in 6 years
Nuss will win the 3rd Heisman for an LSU QB in 6 years
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:00 pm to AlextheBodacious
Fair, I wasn't considering NC games here.
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:04 pm to Quicksilver
You’ve convinced me.
Ole miss can’t lose!
Ole miss can’t lose!
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:09 pm to Adam Banks
Vegas doesn't usually lose money. I think it's very interesting. What do you think?
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:10 pm to Quicksilver
Just win Baby!!!!!
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:19 pm to Quicksilver
I agree! Vegas knows!!!
Hence why I said ole. miss. Can’t. Lose.
Hence why I said ole. miss. Can’t. Lose.
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:20 pm to Quicksilver
Vegas clearly wants a LOT of money to come in on LSU. Going to be an absolute bloodbath for betters or Vegas - that's for sure.
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:23 pm to Quicksilver
quote:
Having a hard time figuring out how the #3 team is considered an underdog by Vegas when Ole Miss is starting a back-up QB and 70+% of the money is on LSU?
That is fricking wild.
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:55 pm to Quicksilver
No because they’re ranked 4th.
Posted on 9/25/25 at 9:04 pm to Soonerd78
I love LSU and I’ve seen nothing this year that makes me think we score more than 20. First to 30 wins.
We need to come out slinging slant plays, quickly and a lot of them. Then go deep. Throw it 70 times with an occasional draw or toss dive!
We need to come out slinging slant plays, quickly and a lot of them. Then go deep. Throw it 70 times with an occasional draw or toss dive!
Posted on 9/25/25 at 9:09 pm to Quicksilver
quote:
70+% of the money is on LSU
it's 70% of the bets are on LSU. not $$
Posted on 9/25/25 at 9:13 pm to Quicksilver
quote:
Maybe one of you statheads know a good reference for this. Having a hard time figuring out how the #3 team is considered an underdog by Vegas when Ole Miss is starting a back-up QB and 70+% of the money is on LSU?
How is Notre Dame only favored by -4.5 over Arkansas? What is going on?
Posted on 9/25/25 at 9:35 pm to Quicksilver
Always play the lines I was taught and never do parleys..If a line moves more then 2.5 points, bet against it..Vegas knows something.
Posted on 9/26/25 at 12:37 am to Quicksilver
70% of the money is not on LSU. Book makers would go broke doing business like that. They set the spread to even out the money. And they skate with the juice.
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