SEC Teams' Odds to Make 2025 Playoff: Missouri Higher Than Alabama

Pro Football Focus just dropped some eyebrow-raising SEC Playoff odds for 2025, turns out Missouri's got a better shot than Alabama. Yeah, you read that right. Surprises, snubs, and plenty to argue about in this SEC forecast.

1. Georgia (57%)
No shocker here, the Dawgs are still the SEC’s safest playoff bet. Kirby Smart’s machine rolls on with the kind of depth and dominance that screams “see you in December.”

2. Texas (40%)
Everything’s bigger in Texas, including expectations. With overall 13-3 record momentum from last season, the Horns are sitting pretty to crash the SEC playoff party.

3. Missouri (36.3%)
Yep, you read that right, Mizzou’s playoff odds are higher than Bama’s. Drinkwitz has something cooking, and Vegas is buying into it more than just a fluke.

4. Ole Miss (34.1%)
Lane Kiffin’s chaos might just be controlled enough to get the Rebels dancing in December. Rebels failed to make the College Football Playoff despite entering the year ranked No. 6. Still, it’s been a historic stretch for the program, with 21 wins over the past two seasons. Things might change real soon.

5. Alabama (29.5%)
New era, new odds. With Saban gone, Alabama isn’t the SEC’s boogeyman anymore and the playoff chances reflect it. Still dangerous, but not inevitable.

6. Tennessee (26.1%)
The Vols are still lurking, but the juice from that 2022 run is fading. Josh Heupel has the firepower, now it’s about proving it against the SEC's big boys.

7. South Carolina (23.7%)
Wait, what? The Gamecocks are higher than LSU and Florida? Apparently, someone believes in Shane Beamer and the bounce-back. Optimism is still alive.

8. LSU (20.2%)
Brian Kelly’s crew has talent, sure, but the Tigers' path is messy. That defense has to get its act together if LSU wants more than a Citrus Bowl cameo.

9. Florida (17.5%)
The Gators are a long shot, and it shows. Billy Napier's got heat on him already, and anything less than major progress might get him a one-way ticket out of Gainesville.

10. Texas A&M (13.0%)
Elko inherits talent, but playoff odds this low suggest folks still don’t trust the Aggies to not trip over their own cleats. Though Texas A&M football fans are all hoping for a big time leap in the win total from the 2024 season to this upcoming fall.

11. Oklahoma (11.5%)
Still adjusting to SEC life, the Sooners aren't scaring anyone just yet. They’ve got the brand, but the odds say Brent Venables better buckle up, the hill's steep.

12. Auburn (9.4%)
Hugh Freeze's rebuild is still in drywall-and-blueprint phase. A playoff run this soon feels like wishful thinking but hey, it’s Auburn, chaos is always an option.

13. Vanderbilt (7.9%)
Vandy cracking any playoff odds list deserves a standing ovation. Still a long shot, but this is basically a parade-worthy number in Nashville.

14. Arkansas (4.9%)
A fall from earlier expectations, and this time the Hogs are more spoiler than contender. Sam Pittman's crew is scrappy, but that playoff path might be in another universe.

15. Mississippi State (3.8%)
The Jeff Lebby era at Mississippi State got off to a rocky start, as the Bulldogs finished 2-10 in his first season, tying the program’s worst record in 36 years. This year odds too say “see you in 2026... maybe.”

16. Kentucky (1.9%)
The Wildcats are in rebuild mode and Vegas isn’t hiding it. Unless Mark Stoops pulls off a miracle, the Cats are riding the bottom line for now.

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