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KenPom - comparisons to tournament seeding
Posted on 3/17/25 at 1:51 pm
Posted on 3/17/25 at 1:51 pm
Some interesting tidbits:
Gonzaga (#9 in KenPom) has the biggest discrepancy between themselves and the teams around them in terms of tournament seed:
Above Gonzaga at #8 is #2 seed Michigan State
Below Gonzaga at #10 is #3 seed Iowa State
In the other direction is Memphis, who is a #5 seed, is 51st - between Vanderbilt (#49, a 10 seed), Boise State (50th, not in the field) and Utah State (52nd, a 10 seed)
The lowest ranked AQ is Saint Francis at 311th
SEC opening matchups by KenPom ranking:
#2 Florida vs #180 Norfolk State
#4 Auburn vs #273 Alabama St / #311 Saint Francis winner
#5 Tennessee vs #120 Wofford
#6 Alabama vs #139 Robert Morris
#15 Missouri vs #58 Drake
#16 Kentucky vs #98 Troy
#17 Texas A&M vs #73 Yale
#26 Ole Miss vs #46 SDS / #33 North Carolina
#32 Mississippi State vs #29 Baylor
#34 Georgia vs #9 Gonzaga
#38 Oklahoma vs #35 UConn
#40 Arkansas vs #21 Kansas
#44 Texas vs #43 Xavier (Play-in game)
#49 Vanderbilt vs #22 St. Mary's
Aside from the play-in game, the closest match-ups are Oklahoma vs UConn and Mississippi State vs Baylor (both teams within 3 of each other according to KenPom)
Gonzaga (#9 in KenPom) has the biggest discrepancy between themselves and the teams around them in terms of tournament seed:
Above Gonzaga at #8 is #2 seed Michigan State
Below Gonzaga at #10 is #3 seed Iowa State
In the other direction is Memphis, who is a #5 seed, is 51st - between Vanderbilt (#49, a 10 seed), Boise State (50th, not in the field) and Utah State (52nd, a 10 seed)
The lowest ranked AQ is Saint Francis at 311th
SEC opening matchups by KenPom ranking:
#2 Florida vs #180 Norfolk State
#4 Auburn vs #273 Alabama St / #311 Saint Francis winner
#5 Tennessee vs #120 Wofford
#6 Alabama vs #139 Robert Morris
#15 Missouri vs #58 Drake
#16 Kentucky vs #98 Troy
#17 Texas A&M vs #73 Yale
#26 Ole Miss vs #46 SDS / #33 North Carolina
#32 Mississippi State vs #29 Baylor
#34 Georgia vs #9 Gonzaga
#38 Oklahoma vs #35 UConn
#40 Arkansas vs #21 Kansas
#44 Texas vs #43 Xavier (Play-in game)
#49 Vanderbilt vs #22 St. Mary's
Aside from the play-in game, the closest match-ups are Oklahoma vs UConn and Mississippi State vs Baylor (both teams within 3 of each other according to KenPom)
Posted on 3/17/25 at 6:27 pm to skrayper
I feel like KenPom isn't a good metric this year. I'm basing that just off my eye test and not comparing that to the other metrics.
Posted on 3/17/25 at 6:45 pm to Murph4HOF
The last 18 of 20 title winners came from teams in the top 6 KenPom.
That means most likely your winner will be Duke, Houston, Auburn, UT, UF or Auburn
That means most likely your winner will be Duke, Houston, Auburn, UT, UF or Auburn
Posted on 3/17/25 at 6:51 pm to GatorNation4Lyfe
This season though...
Would love to see what the Knit averages are and see what metric has the outliers from that average.
Would love to see what the Knit averages are and see what metric has the outliers from that average.
Posted on 3/17/25 at 9:23 pm to GatorNation4Lyfe
If that tall white freak from Duke is on they are impossible to beat.
Posted on 3/18/25 at 3:31 pm to GatorNation4Lyfe
Some metrics suggest if there is a non-#1 seed champion this year it will come from these teams:
Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Bama or TN
Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Bama or TN
Posted on 3/18/25 at 4:07 pm to GatorNation4Lyfe
quote:
That means most likely your winner will be Duke, Houston, Auburn, UT, UF or Auburn
I'm digging Auburn’s chances here.
Posted on 3/18/25 at 4:15 pm to Gator Fever
quote:They may absolutely run UGA off the floor, but I'm not sold on Gonzaga.
Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Bama or TN
I see 3 decent wins on their resume. KenPom may have them high but Wins Above Bubble and Strength of Record have them around 50.
Posted on 3/18/25 at 6:13 pm to Murph4HOF
Yep I could see GA beating Gonzaga.
Posted on 3/18/25 at 8:52 pm to Gator Fever
quote:Well UT and Bama are in the top 6 of zkenpom, so most likely…
Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Bama or TN
Posted on 3/18/25 at 8:53 pm to GatorNation4Lyfe
quote:
The last 18 of 20 title winners came from teams in the top 6 KenPom.
Were they Top 6 before or after the tournament?
Posted on 3/20/25 at 9:26 am to diddlydawg7
Top 6 prior to the tourney of course…
Posted on 3/20/25 at 9:27 am to GatorNation4Lyfe
quote:
That means most likely your winner will be Duke, Houston, Auburn, UT, UF or Auburn
In fairness, that is everyone's metric you talk to.
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