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Alabama @ Mississippi State - SECN 8 CST

Posted on 1/29/25 at 4:23 pm
Posted by TideSaint
Hill Country
Member since Sep 2008
79429 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 4:23 pm
This post was edited on 2/1/25 at 9:19 am
Posted by mrbroker
Sylacauga Alabama
Member since Jul 2011
17371 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 4:42 pm to
This is going to be an ugly slugfest with a 65-63 type score. I am not getting a warm fuzzy on this one boss man
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 4:47 pm to
quote:


This is going to be an ugly slugfest with a 65-63 type score. I am not getting a warm fuzzy on this one boss man


State isn't really that team this season. They're a better offensive team than defensive team (#19 offensive, #37 defense).

Their last few PPP defensive games against decent/good offenses

Tennessee - 1.11
Ole Miss - 1.09
Auburn - 1.24
Kentucky - 1.28


Torvik has it at 84-83 Alabama.
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
25546 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 4:54 pm to
Reasons to feel good

1. State is 225th in sending folks to the line, we are 19th in getting there.

2. State is 247th in the 3pt conversions, we are 17th in opponents 3pt conversion

3. State is 222nd in defensive 3pt conversion, we shoot a lot of 3s

Reasons to feel bad

1. We can’t hit our GOTDAMN free throws

2. We don’t shoot the 3 great

This post was edited on 1/29/25 at 4:56 pm
Posted by Alabama_Fan
The Road Less Traveled
Member since Sep 2020
15088 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 4:55 pm to
Posted by TideCPA
Member since Jan 2012
12174 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 4:56 pm to
I think we'll see a re-energized Sears and a different Cliff tonight. If we can play a clean game we should be in good shape. We need Grant to stop turning the ball over.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

I think we'll see a re-energized Sears and a different Cliff tonight. If we can play a clean game we should be in good shape. We need Grant to stop turning the ball over.


Agree - with all the Sears talk Grant's 30 minutes of absolute garbage was kind of washed over. He's now turned the ball over 14 times in the last 4 games. That's horrid for a big.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:03 pm to
Even with Mark's troubles against LSU, we're slowly turning the corner shooting the ball. It feels like the right guys are taking shots more - and Youngblood is getting more involved and comfortable (36% 3P, 83% 2PT, 75% FT last 3 games).

Last 3 games

3PT - 28/79 (35.4%) (32.0% all games before) (+3.4%)

2PT - 65/113 (57.5%) (61.4% all games before) (-3.9%)

FT - 71/92 (77.2%) (69.7% all games before) (+7.5%)
This post was edited on 1/29/25 at 5:06 pm
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
8711 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:03 pm to
Grant -- like too many players -- too often throws to a spot without looking for a defensive player waiting on that pass.

His other turnover issue is a harder fix. Oats wants him driving to the basket and he's just not that strong with the ball through traffic.

Sure they try to work on that with him since even in HS I remember the drills where you drove to the basket and everyone was instructed to hack the hell out of you on the way.
This post was edited on 1/29/25 at 5:05 pm
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
25546 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:08 pm to
We also seem to have a high 3-pt floor. We don’t have many outright poor games from 3. Just a ton of mediocre ones. Maybe the result of several average guys having the green light
This post was edited on 1/29/25 at 5:09 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:11 pm to
quote:

We also seem to have a high 3-pt floor. We don’t have many outright poor games from 3. Just a ton of mediocre ones


We seem to have finally settled into who should take shots in what situation roles and guys are comfortable with them

Holloway/Sears/Youngblood - just about whenever off a catch with leeway to take one of the dribble in the right rhythm/situation

Philon/Stevenson - in rhythm of a kick out pass

Mo/Sherrell - preferably never, but wide open off a kick out


Reid still kind of the wild card with the injury and Grant is more a "how is he feeling tonight" guy than a situational guy. If he's feeling his shot he's as good an off the dribble shooter as we have along with Mark. If he's not then no shots at all ever please.
This post was edited on 1/29/25 at 5:12 pm
Posted by passthetylenol
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
370 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:23 pm to
We must find a way to limit Hubbard, and then pray to God that no one else has a career night against us. Happens all too often. I like us in a close one one the road.
RTR
Posted by TideCPA
Member since Jan 2012
12174 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:46 pm to
quote:

Grant is more a "how is he feeling tonight" guy than a situational guy. If he's feeling his shot he's as good an off the dribble shooter as we have along with Mark. If he's not then no shots at all ever please.
It's kind of bizarre how drastically he changed his shot from last year to this season, with basically no benefit from 3 (and a worse FT %). I've noticed the last few games that they've tweaked his new shot so he isn't bringing the ball so far back at his set point and it seems to be helping.
Posted by VaBamaMan
North AL
Member since Apr 2013
7893 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:58 pm to
Kid reminds me of Ashawn. 18 and looks 40.
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
28233 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:58 pm to
National Title Here We Come!!
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
28233 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 5:59 pm to
Defend and Rebound and we will win.
Posted by Legba007
Franklin, Tn
Member since Jul 2013
2449 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 6:05 pm to
old man in me is hating these late tip offs.
Posted by Teague
The Shoals, AL
Member since Aug 2007
22228 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 6:32 pm to
Auburn tips off at 6::00. Bama tips off at 8:00 on the same channel.

Wonder what will happen?

TV execs, "We don't care."
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
8711 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 7:01 pm to
I tend to think -- with out any real evidence -- that defensive stats may be weighed a little high in Torvik, KenPom etc. . .

But even if it doesn't completely translate against the top tier teams, the way Houston can just absolutely suffocate some decent teams is pretty impressive.

They're up at West Virginia 39 -19 now and I watched some of their 70-35 win over Utah. Quite a few games where you get the feeling they could just roll the ball back the entire 2nd half and the lead's pretty safe.
Posted by TideCPA
Member since Jan 2012
12174 posts
Posted on 1/29/25 at 7:03 pm to
Jesus Pat Adams and Courtney Green both on the whistle
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