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Kalen DeBoer's win percentages make no sense
Posted on 1/14/25 at 1:45 pm
Posted on 1/14/25 at 1:45 pm
Saw this on Twitter and ran the numbers for myself, I was legitimately impressed and baffled at the same time.
Across his time in D1, DeBoer is:
Vs Top 10 Opponents
5-1
.833
Vs Unranked Teams
41-11
.731
How is this dude 10% more likely to lose to an unranked team than a top 10 team?
If you're concerned about the small sample size of top 10 wins, he has the exact same win percentage against ranked teams, with a 15-3 record.
Most trends are the opposite, a guy like BK for instance.
Give DeBoer credit though, he's absolutely elite vs good teams.
Across his time in D1, DeBoer is:
Vs Top 10 Opponents
5-1
.833
Vs Unranked Teams
41-11
.731
How is this dude 10% more likely to lose to an unranked team than a top 10 team?
If you're concerned about the small sample size of top 10 wins, he has the exact same win percentage against ranked teams, with a 15-3 record.
Most trends are the opposite, a guy like BK for instance.
Give DeBoer credit though, he's absolutely elite vs good teams.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 1:46 pm to SidewalkTiger
he will be unemployed in 3 to 4 years
Posted on 1/14/25 at 1:46 pm to SidewalkTiger
WOW...a 6 game sample size. Impressive.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 1:47 pm to SidewalkTiger
quote:
Give DeBoer credit though, he's absolutely elite vs good teams.
it’s irrelevant if you can’t make the playoffs and you can’t beat teams like Vanderbilt
Posted on 1/14/25 at 1:49 pm to SidewalkTiger
You don't have to make threads constantly you know. You can just take a break and wait for some better inspiration.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 1:52 pm to Quicksilver
quote:
You don't have to make threads constantly you know. You can just take a break and wait for some better inspiration.
I've created exactly three more threads than you this calendar year.

Posted on 1/14/25 at 1:53 pm to Serraneaux
quote:
WOW...a 6 game sample size. Impressive.
We can't all have coaches who are 3-6 vs top 10 teams

Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:04 pm to MoarKilometers
quote:
pretty impressive to win 67% more games in only 67% of the chances
It's elite
Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:08 pm to SidewalkTiger
quote:
It's elite
It's no 7-20, that's for sure.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:18 pm to MoarKilometers
Dumbass LSU fans self own themselves a lot. 

Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:20 pm to SidewalkTiger
Ultimate Big 12 type coach really. Play loose against great teams.
Play like shite in games that require discipline.
Play like shite in games that require discipline.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:20 pm to SidewalkTiger
Motivating your team to get up for lesser games is a coaching skill. One Debeor clearly lacks.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:21 pm to SidewalkTiger
quote:
How is this dude 10% more likely to lose to an unranked team than a top 10 team?
Suddenly Brian Kelly's long-term strategy at LSU begins to make a lot more sense.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:25 pm to Hold da Mayo
quote:
he will be unemployed in 3 to 4 years
You'll be on DUI #5 by then

Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:26 pm to TT9
quote:
Dumbass LSU fans self own themselves a lot.
True.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:42 pm to TT9
quote:
Dumbass LSU fans self own themselves a lot.
Wasn't trying to troll, there are much better angles to do that from.
As mentioned, DeBoer is elite vs top 10 opposition where BK is pretty bad.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 2:56 pm to Hold da Mayo
Wish you would have told us this before he accepted the position.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 4:33 pm to Hold da Mayo
quote:
by Hold da Mayo
quote:
he will be unemployed in 3 to 4 years
Would you say that’s better than being unemployable due to having 4 DWI’s + a felony cocaine possession?
You should change your name to Drop da Soap


Posted on 1/14/25 at 7:42 pm to Hold da Mayo
quote:
it’s irrelevant if you can’t make the playoffs
DeBoer made the 4 team playoff at Washington and made it to the Championship game. I'd say that's relevant.
Posted on 1/14/25 at 7:51 pm to Hold da Mayo
He’ll be head coach of Colorado in 2026.
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