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Why is MI favored over BAMA in Vegas?
Posted on 12/19/23 at 10:30 am
Posted on 12/19/23 at 10:30 am
As some one who didn't watch any of Michigans games (I did catch most of Bamas), can anyone tell me why Vegas is predicting Bama to lose? Is Michigan that good? It seemed like they took a step back once the cheating thing came out. Maybe that was their competitive advantage?
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Posted on 12/19/23 at 10:33 am to The Scofflaw
They’re usually pretty smart about this stuff and you can’t simply take it at face value. They’re trying to make sure bets even out so they always come out on top so in close matchups they’re really gaming the public as much as analyzing the matchup.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 10:39 am to The Scofflaw
the BIG is always credited with being good until they face an SEC team. The eye test from what I have seen is they are really physical on defense and offense. They have looked dominant throughout the year but they also play in the big 10 so take that for what it is worth. Also the SEC was deemed to be down this year by the media while building up the PAC and Big 10...I think the SEC is as strong as usual and we will find out in a few weeks.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 10:40 am to The Scofflaw
because enough people keep putting enough money on Michigan to keep the line there.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 11:03 am to The Scofflaw
Maybe on the perceived strength of the Michigan defense? Michigan has impressive defensive stats, although most of the teams they've faced don't have very good offenses. So it's hard to judge whether they're really the top defense in the country or not. Still, it wouldn't be a stretch to see the game turn into a defensive struggle. Bama's offense hasn't exactly been overpowering this year, they've managed to do just enough to win. And Bama's most consistent RB (Jase McClellan) may not be able to play against Michigan.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 2:29 pm to The Scofflaw
I've got a few hundy on Bama.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 2:41 pm to The Scofflaw
quote:
Why is MI favored over BAMA in Vegas?
Bc some people have more money than sense.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 2:50 pm to The Scofflaw
probably because michigan is consistent. bama has a higher ceiling/lower floor as a team.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 2:51 pm to The Scofflaw
Because the SEC is down this year. I mean, Bama lost to the steers. Granted, week two but it still plays a part.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 3:10 pm to The Scofflaw
If you went position group by position group, would Alabama have the advantage anywhere but secondary?
Alabama has one skill position player who's projected to be drafted in April. Michigan's quarterback is projected to be drafted in the first round in April.
Alabama has one skill position player who's projected to be drafted in April. Michigan's quarterback is projected to be drafted in the first round in April.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 3:17 pm to The Scofflaw
quote:
As some one who didn't watch any of Michigans games (I did catch most of Bamas), can anyone tell me why Vegas is predicting Bama to lose? Is Michigan that good? It seemed like they took a step back once the cheating thing came out. Maybe that was their competitive advantage?
Why is LSU very bad on defense with a defense minded HC? If I were you, I would worry about LSU lose at least three games again next year and that isn't the normal for LSU to be out of the playoff when LSU had Ed Orgeron winning it all and he got fired 2 years later. Will LSU fans get frustrated if Kelly doesn't get LSU a championship in the next 2 years?
Posted on 12/19/23 at 3:25 pm to The Scofflaw
Michigan fans think they're unbeatable. Bama fans ALWAYS think they're unbeatable. I hear it may flip to bama favored by the time the game rolls around.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 3:28 pm to The Scofflaw
I know, transitive property doesn't exist in sports, etc etc... but the gap between Georgia's O and Michigan's O seems a lot larger than the gap between Michigan's D and Georgia's D, if one even exists at all. Just don't get Michigan being favored in this game at all.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 3:48 pm to The Scofflaw
My guess is they think michigan has the athletes to keep milroes running controlled and he can't pass well enough. We'll find out In a couple weeks
Posted on 12/19/23 at 3:51 pm to The Scofflaw
Because the media has been kissing their arse all year long and they continue to win. That causes people to bet on them. Bama will role them and face Washington in the final.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 4:09 pm to The Scofflaw
They are not in the prediction busines, they want 50% of money falling on each side of the line. That being said, markets, which Vegas represents, have highly predictive powers, so while the smart money may yet be outstanding the fact that the line has been stable since opening should tell us something about Michigan's relative quality, and I suspect, Bama's volatility.
Posted on 12/19/23 at 4:18 pm to The Scofflaw
U watched the Texas, USF, Auburn games among a couple others?
Posted on 12/19/23 at 7:27 pm to The Scofflaw
I didn’t get to watch Michigan very much this season myself but from what little bit I did see I do not think Michigan has the same kind of sideline to sideline speed that most SEC schools have. That would be a huge problem for them if so because the Georgia defense let Milroe get outside on them and Milroe ran for over 100 yards. Georgia is second to none when it comes to speed on defense. If Michigan allows Milroe to do the same against them I can promise all of you that Michigan will not lose the game by 3 points when it’s all said and done.
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