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So, why was Oregon favored by 9.5 tonight?

Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:12 am
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
20220 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:12 am
I get it. Lines are wrong all the time.

What I don’t get is why conventional and betting wisdom was so convinced that this game would be dramatically different than the first one.

Sure, venue helps, but expecting that to swing things by 12+ points from the regular season result?

I just don’t get why so much money went the way of the Ducks.
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
66133 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:15 am to

The sharps got it wrong. They boned it. I haven't seen the money on each side yet but, sometimes they miss.
Posted by Eldodroptop
Member since Jul 2021
935 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:16 am to
quote:

I just don’t get why so much money went the way of the Ducks



Nope. I got nothing…
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46820 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:17 am to
Washington has been scraping by - pretty much all year, but especially over the last few weeks, while Oregon has been blowing teams out.

That’s my only guess.
Posted by PBD4BAMA
Sweet Home Alabama
Member since Dec 2014
4724 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:18 am to
quote:

just don’t get why so much money went the way of the Ducks

They all listened to the playoff committee...
Posted by OKBoomerSooner
Member since Dec 2019
3150 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:18 am to
Oregon lost the first one by 3 in a true road game against a team with a meaningful home field advantage, and did so while making very dubious decisions in the red zone that cost them 6 points.

In the month and a half that followed, Oregon was demolishing an admittedly pretty mid schedule, while Washington struggle bussed its way through an equally mid schedule.

Washington balling out and beating Oregon a second time isn’t a wild and crazy upset, but the trajectory of both teams sure didn’t look like it was setting up for Washington to square up and outplay Oregon. At least IMO

That all said, they did it
Posted by roguetiger15
Member since Jan 2013
16222 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:18 am to
Line was 9.5 but what were the odds?
Posted by tigerinthebayou
Member since Oct 2009
1810 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:20 am to
Yeah there was zero value on taking Oregon in this game and laying the points. It should've been Washington or nothing. No way you should've had a 12 point differential in the point spread from the same game 6 weeks ago.
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:23 am to
quote:

So, why was Oregon favored by 9.5 tonight?




Because more people were betting on Oregon that Washington. Don't overthink it. Where did the line open?
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
44337 posts
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:25 am to
The teasers for this game weren’t even an option. It was Oregon -1/2.

Washington +280 was a steal.
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