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If Bama defeats the Dawgs, can they make the CFP with one loss?

Posted on 11/24/23 at 4:16 am
Posted by UGA fan n NC
Member since Nov 2020
665 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 4:16 am
Dennis Dodd at CBS sports gives a decent breakdown on what needs to happen for a 1 loss (to Bama) UGA to make the CFP.

Bottom line, just beat Bama .. which I believe they will. If not, need FSU, Washington and Texas to slip-up. I expect that either Ohio St or Michigan will remain undefeated, so that will secure a spot for one of them.

C/P from Dodd's article --

quote:

No. 1 Georgia (11-0): Already in the SEC Championship Game against Alabama. Win out over Georgia Tech and Bama, and UGA is back in the playoff. As mentioned, the Dawgs are so firmly entrenched it's possible they could lose once and still get in. Amazingly, the "better" loss would be this week to Georgia Tech. The Dawgs could lose to the Yellowjackets and still go on and win the SEC title for a third straight year. The SEC champion has not been left out of the BCS/CFP since 2005. Losing to Georgia Tech, though, could force the committee to think twice.

It gets complicated in a different way if Georgia loses to Alabama. A second team from a conference has been in the BCS/CFP three times since 2011. However, in general, the committee favors conference champions over teams that lose those games. Things get sticky if Florida State and Washington, plus the Ohio State-Michigan winner, finish undefeated. That would account for three of the four spots with a one-loss Georgia competing against Alabama, the Ohio State-Michigan loser and possibly Texas as a one-loss Big 12 champion. In that scenario, Texas might get the fourth spot.
Posted by RealDawg
Dawgville
Member since Nov 2012
9543 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 6:22 am to
1-We need to beat Bama and Tech..given.

2-I think Oregon beats Washington and would be in. I don’t think Oregon St can beat Oregon. They are healthy and on a roll.

3-Texas and FSU have a reasonable chance of still dropping a game. Neither is playing elite.

4-If Bama beats us they have the best win in the Country. Beat us and they are in (if they get past AU).

Us getting in with a loss would require Texas and FSU to lose, a close Bama loss after a strong GT showing.

Screw all that ..Kirby needs the Bama win. Trust in Kirby. Beat Tech.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86599 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 7:22 am to
quote:

Message
If Bama defeats the Dawgs, can they make the CFP with one loss


Of course they can. As is the case every single year, it's largely dependent on the other P5 champs. The suggestion that a 1-loss P5 champ has no chance is silly.
Posted by Sandwich
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
5549 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 11:25 am to
We need to beat bama. I don't even care Abt a natty I just want to beat a full strength bama team to shut their arrogant fan base up
Posted by Dawgs9
Where ever I am
Member since Sep 2012
1955 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 3:12 pm to
Only if they don’t lose to Auburn
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
61482 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 3:25 pm to
I want the joy of seeing the Dawgs putting Bama away handily in the SECCG en route to a 3rd straight CFP run. We haven't unlocked that achievement yet.
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