So if Duke wins the ACC championship game

One would think.

No. Not necessarily. If the g4 winner is ranked ahead Duke, the Acc could get left out of Miami doesn't get in.

If Duke wins then 2 G5 teams make the playoffs. The AAC champ and James Madison

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Duke doesn’t matter. As long as Texas Tech beats BYU the result of our game doesn’t matter

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Maybe. I could see them jumping Miami over us if we lose. That would sort of clear the Notre Dame vs Miami backlash for the committee.

We really needed for ANYONE to lose the last couple of weeks to be in with an AU victory - OM, Oregon, Oklahoma, Notre Dame. Some came close but it just didn’t happen.

If Duke wins ACC is likely out

Here's a quick look at how the CFP automatic qualifiers work:

There are five automatic qualifiers — the five conference champions ranked highest by the CFP selection committee get in automatically
NEW IN 2025 — The four highest-ranked champions no longer get byes into the quarterfinals automatically.

Miami jumping both BYU and Bama as conference champion runner ups is highly unlikely. ESPN has us at 90%

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Not necessarily. Could be left out for Tulane or JMU.

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They lost to Tulane, so they should be ranked behind Tulane in that hypothetical. I would rank them behind JMU too, but I think there is too much money involved for the committee to actually do that.

I think Tech is going to work BYU.

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Miami jumping both BYU and Bama as conference champion runner ups is highly unlikely. ESPN has us at 90%

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Need Tech to beat BYU. Think the 90% assumes Tech is a heavy favorite