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re: S&P+ has this weekend as a pickem
Posted on 10/1/25 at 1:46 pm to UltimaParadox
Posted on 10/1/25 at 1:46 pm to UltimaParadox
quote:Vandy does not have the better offense. Vanderbilt has played an FBS school, Virginia tech, South Carolina, Georgia State, and Utah State
With Vandy having the better offense, but worse defense.
Here are their scoring defenses
Virginia Tech 100th 28 ppg
South Carolina 37th 18.8 ppg
Georgia State 136th 48 ppg
Utah State 115th 30.4 ppg
South Carolina is the only decent defense they have played, and they likely scored a lot higher against them than they otherwise would have since sellers went down and south Carolina was hapless on offense. They still only scored 31 in that game
The South Carolina game was by far Pavias worst game, he was 18/25 for 177 2 tds 1 int, 11 for 24 yards rushing 2.2 ypc. If we can achieve that kind of stat line Saturday for him, we will annihilate them.
This post was edited on 10/1/25 at 2:12 pm
2
Posted on 10/1/25 at 2:34 pm to narddogg81
USCe also turned the ball over four times. That'll demoralize any defense.
I still go back to last year. 7-6, poor offense rank, poor defense rank. I'm told they've improved a little. Ok. Guess we will see.
I still go back to last year. 7-6, poor offense rank, poor defense rank. I'm told they've improved a little. Ok. Guess we will see.
Posted on 10/1/25 at 2:39 pm to narddogg81
quote:
Vandy does not have the better offense. Vanderbilt has played an FBS school, Virginia tech, South Carolina, Georgia State, and Utah State
According to SP+ they do, and it is adjusted for opponent.
I was not making a statement
Posted on 10/1/25 at 2:49 pm to UltimaParadox
SP also had our post game win percentage at 13.5 vs UGA which I disagree with now could we have score more and UGA scores more sure but 13.5 is crazy low and an almost all-time SP upset which that game was not. I think we are breaking the model somewhat because of the bad run game, no massive offensive explosives and giving up way too many explosive on Defense.
Posted on 10/1/25 at 3:03 pm to Bham Bammer
quote:
I do think our offense will go up and down the field on them, though.
Agreed. We’ll move the ball on them and should be able to score a lot of points. I think our defense is athletic enough to get some stops. Hold them to field goals rather than touchdowns
Posted on 10/1/25 at 3:07 pm to JIB
quote:
If I had $100 to bet on the Vandy game I'd bet $60 on Vandy to cover, $30 on the over, and $10 on Vandy straight up.
A fool and his money are soon parted
The over is probably not a bad bet though
Posted on 10/1/25 at 5:00 pm to FoTownBam
I do think Vandy can move the ball on us however, I believe we will have more success than UGA in the ground game against their defense. Which then will help time of possession quite a bit more. If I am Grubb unless they just absolutely hand me a deep pass for a touchdown I make the drive as long as possible.
Posted on 10/2/25 at 8:56 am to FoTownBam
quote:
A fool and his money are soon parted
The over is probably not a bad bet though
I wouldn't gamble money I don't mind losing and if I'm going to do that I'd rather bet so that either Bama wins or if they lose I make money on it. If I had to actually bet on the game out of pure reason I'd pick the over and that's it.
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