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re: OT: Alabama Coronavirus Thread (see link in OP for case numbers and death totals in AL)

Posted on 5/3/20 at 9:56 am to
Posted by 1BamaRTR
In Your Head Blvd
Member since Apr 2015
24746 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 9:56 am to
There have been 5 countries that have done 1M total tests so far and he thinks we can pump out and distribute tests daily like they’re buttons.
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

There have been 5 countries that have done 1M total tests so far and he thinks we can pump out and distribute tests daily like they’re buttons.

We haven't even managed to produce and distribute adequate supplies of swabs.
This post was edited on 5/3/20 at 1:13 pm
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16161 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 1:33 pm to
Blount County sheriff won’t enforce coronavirus laws

As I alluded to earlier, this has already been happening below the radar in more rural areas, he's just the first to admit it publicly.
Posted by Cobrasize
Birmingham
Member since Jun 2013
49884 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

testing close to a million people per day

Posted by TideWarrior
Asheville/Chapel Hill NC
Member since Sep 2009
13187 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

There have been 5 countries that have done 1M total tests so far and he thinks we can pump out and distribute tests daily like they’re buttons.


Except about every plan and scenario being talked suggest testing on this scale if not greater.

I think many seem to fail to understand how bad the virus is and can be. I am not near retirement age yet but no time in my life have I seen a situation like we are currently in. This is not the seasonal flu or some virus. It will take a while to recover and if we rush it it will be longer.
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22641 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 5:41 pm to
Looking at social media, there are a lot of people acting as if it’s over. The videos from Crab Island in Destin are funny and scary at the same time.

Knowing that people have their limits, I wonder if it would’ve been better to not be as strict on the lockdowns (closing parks, beaches, non-essential businesses, etc.) in order to sustain a pseudo-shelter in place for a longer period so there isn’t this explosion of social activity once quarantines are lifted. Not sure if that makes sense.

Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16161 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

I wonder if it would’ve been better to not be as strict on the lockdowns (closing parks, beaches, non-essential businesses, etc.) in order to sustain a pseudo-shelter in place for a longer period so there isn’t this explosion of social activity once quarantines are lifted. Not sure if that makes sense.


It would have absolutely been better and people would have accepted them for a LOT longer.

Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22641 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

It would have absolutely been better and people would have accepted them for a LOT longer.



That’s what I’m thinking. There is a “Spann” effect to these things where lockdown just followed lockdowns because officials didn’t want to be the odd man out. Ideally, I wish the public health officials had some social science perception in how they advise the governors/mayors. Maybe they do.

BTW, this is all Monday Morning QB. It’s easy for me to critique them like I do Sark or Golding while I’m sitting in my backyard drinking a beer.
This post was edited on 5/3/20 at 6:35 pm
Posted by Bear88
Member since Oct 2014
14905 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 7:24 pm to
Without a lockdown of some sort, do you think ANYBODY would have listened ?? Serious question .. IDK but a lot of people haven’t taken any precautions anyways I believe it would have worked better but for a different reason . The cases would be a lot higher and spiking and maybe that would scare more people IDK... just a thought
This post was edited on 5/3/20 at 7:26 pm
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16161 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

Without a lockdown of some sort, do you think ANYBODY would have listened


He didn’t say no actions. He said different, less destructive ones.

Simply letting small retail stay open at a more limited store capacity like they can do now would not have added significant numbers to the cases and would have made public acceptance much greater. Leaving the beaches open but not allowing condo/hotel rentals would have cut the crowds down to only locals, again making acceptance by the public much easier.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16161 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 9:06 pm to
Not that anything they say should be taken seriously, but guess what country is now being held up as a model by the WHO for its coronavirus response?

Sweden, who never instituted a lockdown.
Posted by TideWarrior
Asheville/Chapel Hill NC
Member since Sep 2009
13187 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

It would have absolutely been better and people would have accepted them for a LOT longer.



I agree
Posted by Bear88
Member since Oct 2014
14905 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 9:36 pm to
Been in the bourbon may have misread but I agree ... total lockdown was probably not the way to go

Sad that Walmart can sell bra, panties , etc but Victoria’s Secret has to close ..... I get it food and all.... not to mention big money business but still
This post was edited on 5/3/20 at 9:39 pm
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9234 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

guess what country is now being held up as a model by the WHO for its coronavirus response?

Sweden, who never instituted a lockdown.




My own opinion is that more rural areas just needed to go quick and hardcore with banning large gatherings and making larger factories institute distancing in production and could have been a lot more lenient in things where single person to single person contact is the norm.



However, Sweden is not a good comparison or example for many other nations. They have too many advantages that we did not.

Just a couple, for example:

1) All Swedish workers have paid sick leave. That means the "self-quarantine if you think you may have been infected" meant no financial loss to Swedes.


2) Populace extremely willing to follow government guidelines voluntarily: Tegnell, the Swedish version of Fauci, said himself "We are not so different than other countries in our actual distancing practices. . . In Sweden, we just prefer voluntary measures, and there is a high level of trust here between the population and the authorities, so we are able to avoid coercive restrictions."


Again, I'm not saying any US leader didn't make a lot of mistakes in dealing with this when almost every one of them did so but Sweden just isn't a good comparison when we have so many disadvantages compared to them.


This post was edited on 5/3/20 at 10:56 pm
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 9:47 pm to
LINK ]Sweden Bucked Conventional Wisdom, and Other Countries Are Following (National Review)

LINK ]Sweden coronavirus strategy explained: culture of trust and obedience (Business Insider)
This post was edited on 5/3/20 at 9:53 pm
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16161 posts
Posted on 5/3/20 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

My own opinion is that more rural areas just needed to go quick and hardcore with banning large gatherings and making larger factories institute distancing in production and could have been a lot more lenient in things where single person to single person contact is the norm.


That is exactly my position. I am not saying the Swedish model is directly applicable to the US - but by the same token New York steps were never needed for Slapout, Alabama but they were implemented because our leaders were too scared to exercise good judgment.
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
46214 posts
Posted on 5/4/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:


However, Sweden is not a good comparison or example for many other nations. They have too many advantages that we did not.

Just a couple, for example:

1) All Swedish workers have paid sick leave. That means the "self-quarantine if you think you may have been infected" meant no financial loss to Swedes.


2) Populace extremely willing to follow government guidelines voluntarily: Tegnell, the Swedish version of Fauci, said himself "We are not so different than other countries in our actual distancing practices. . . In Sweden, we just prefer voluntary measures, and there is a high level of trust here between the population and the authorities, so we are able to avoid coercive restrictions."


3) Scandinavians socially distance in public naturally.
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
29451 posts
Posted on 5/4/20 at 10:30 am to
All three of these points are valid in regards to Sweden.

Also of note is that the population of Sweden is roughly 10 million people, which is only about half of the New York metropolitan area.

Although recent immigration has created some social diversity, Swedish society is ethnically and religiously very homogeneous.

In regards to their COVID response, much like the viability of their social programs, comparisons with Scandinavia are certainly interesting, but inherently difficult to a nation of nearly 330 million people having a much more diverse geography, makeup, and belief systems.

In other words, I think both approaches can be feasible in context, and they're really hard to compare directly.
Posted by Evolved Simian
Bushwood Country Club
Member since Sep 2010
23199 posts
Posted on 5/4/20 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

3) Scandinavians socially distance in public naturally


Of Sweden's 10.3 million population, some 2.6 million are recent immigrants, most of whom are from Middle Eastern, North African, and East Asian countries and do NOT naturally socially distance in public.

Swedes may trust each other and voluntarily social distance, but it's almost certain that the reason for their higher death rate compared to other Scandinavian countries is largely due to the immigrant population.
This post was edited on 5/4/20 at 2:43 pm
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9234 posts
Posted on 5/4/20 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Of Sweden's 10.3 million population, some 2.5 million are recent immigrants, most of whom are from Middle Eastern, North African, and East Asian countries and do NOT naturally socially distance in public.


Yes, lots of people in Sweden who have been calling for more formal government measure have cited larger outbreaks within some immigrant communities that have thumbed their noses at the social distancing requests.


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