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re: History Discussion Thread

Posted on 8/26/26 at 5:03 pm to
Posted by SECSolomonGrundy
Slaughter Swamp
Member since Jun 2012
18812 posts
Posted on 8/26/26 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

chips fell in his lap with the fire, emergency powers etc, and on top of that, his gaining popularity made Hindenburg appoint him chacellor thinking he could control him. Quite the backfire.


Some people think it was a bit of grand conspiracy to even put him in power. The nazis were a relatively fringe political group not many years before they took over.

Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
11211 posts
Posted on 8/26/26 at 9:28 pm to
The Reichstag fire was absolutely a false flag. The Nazis and Communists had always been enemies but neither had been the others' primary enemy. The Nazis had always focused more on the "November criminals" and their supposed Jewish masters, while the Communists were more interested in overthrowing the Republic. The Communists even voted along with the Nazis to push through some of the measures that began the final dismantlement of representative government in Germany and ushered in the Nazi era, believing that Hitler and his pals would fatally discredit themselves once they were in power and the Communists could then step in and assume control.

Of course that's not the way things worked out. Once the Nazis were in power they moved quickly to consolidate it and eliminate their enemies, both within and without the Party. The Communist Party represented a potential rallying point for those Nazis who took the "socialism" part of National Socialism seriously and were beginning to grow disenchanted now that it was becoming clear that Hitler, who had adopted the fascist method of partnering with big business to seize control of the state rather than the communist method of using state power to seize control of big business, had no intention of enacting any of the more radically socialist planks of the official Nazi platform. By setting fire to the Reichstag and pinning the blame on the Communists, Hitler was able to declare a national emergency and seize full dictatorial power legally through the framework of the Weimar constitution while at the same time painting the Communists as a clear and present danger to the state, enabling their mass arrest and shocking the left wing of his own party back into line. It was a brilliant, if twisted, stroke of political theater.
Posted by UsingUpAllTheLetters
Panama City, Florida
Member since Aug 2011
9715 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 12:43 am to
quote:

Hitler's whole thing was a fanatical belief that Jews and leftists back in Berlin conspired to betray the German military and subject Germany to the humiliation of Versailles.
Those seem more like winks and nudges from him. He was a political thermometer for his hateful malcontents. Not that he didn’t also pursue those ends of course, I just tend to think he was more of an opportunist shitheel than a true believer in the Aryan cause before the drugs took hold.
This post was edited on 8/27/26 at 12:45 am
Posted by Kerrygold
Virginia
Member since Dec 2018
864 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 7:03 am to
Plus, hadn’t the discrimination against the Jews and others been building since the late 1800’s after the depression?
Posted by SECSolomonGrundy
Slaughter Swamp
Member since Jun 2012
18812 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 7:36 am to
quote:

hadn’t the discrimination against the Jews and others been building since the late 1800’s after the depression?


I think Weimar was a pretty big reset for most of the country. They probably felt like they were living in clown world.

If you take a historically conservative country and swing it way left, dont be surprised when it swings back way right. Hitler comes into power not by claiming radical new change, but by claiming a restoration of old germany.
Posted by Diego Ricardo
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
14322 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 8:16 am to
Weimar was not really “left” for its time period though. It was liberal but not communist. The reason the revolution didn’t come to Germany like it did in Russia was because the SPD sold out the KPD and sided with a mostly conservative paramilitary group, the Freikorp.

It took most of the century but the inability for German communist to link up with Russian communist in the late 1910s/early 1920s is what doomed the USSR to failure. I think that realization is partly what did Lenin in. He was dealing with a state that was barely past feudalism and trying to reform it all the way to what their own patron philosophical saint, Marx, said would come after developing to capitalist society.
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
11211 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 10:48 am to
The USSR was doomed to failure because the system it based itself on simply could not compete with capitalist economies in terms of efficient control of the means of production. Marx made a lot of assumptions in describing the inexorable historical march to full communism, and one of them - perhaps the most indefensible one of all, in retrospect - was that industrialization must lead inevitably to communism, which is a more rational and efficient ordering of an industrial society than the capitalist system that allows industrialization in the first place. This assumption led him to further assume that the transition to communism in one country would necessarily lead to the same transition occurring in neighboring countries. This was one of the driving motivations of the Bolsheviks, who believed that although Russia in 1917 was far behind the Western European countries in industrial capacity, a successful communist revolution there would be the first domino that would ultimately lead to similar revolutions in Germany, France, and Great Britain. This obviously did not happen, as conservative elements in both Poland and Germany defeated Communist attempts to export the revolution to those countries. This forced the Bolsheviks to reconsider their own aims, leading to the introduction of Stalin's "Socialism in One Country" policy, which aimed to rapidly industrialize the fledgling USSR in order to compete against a Western Europe that would clearly not be joining the worldwide communist revolution anytime soon. But this policy would have been exceedingly unlikely to succeed and the Bolsheviks might well have been overthrown themselves had they not been saved by the same thing that saved Hitler and the Nazis from obscurity: the Great Depression. Up to that point Western companies had been extremely reticent to do business with the Soviets for the very obvious reason that their entire economic system was based on seizing control of private enterprise, but after the economic collapse dried up orders from their own countries, taking a risk on Soviet orders seemed preferable to simply shuttering their factories due to lack of work. The result was a rapid expansion of Soviet industry on a scale that allowed the USSR to compete with and in some cases exceed the production capacity of their capitalist rivals (although the "quantity over quality" mindset that was required to achieve this rapid expansion was something the Soviets never managed to shake). Communist economic principles still operated to hold the Soviet economy back, though, as some industries (particularly those with ties to the military and, eventually, aerospace) received strong government support and were able to keep pace with the West, while others (particularly consumer goods) were neglected and allowed to lag behind with a resultant lag in the standard of living, which is ultimately what led to the downfall of the Soviet state.
Posted by SECSolomonGrundy
Slaughter Swamp
Member since Jun 2012
18812 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 11:34 am to
Which Ai did you use for that?
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
11211 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 12:46 pm to
I can't decide if I am flattered or offended by that question.
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
20771 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 3:30 pm to
Mostly with you. One nuance: the Depression helped, but the Western money was already flowing before the crash. Rapallo brought German industry in from 1922, Harriman had manganese concessions under the NEP, Albert Kahn signed to design Stalingrad's tractor plant and Ford signed the Gorky deal in early 1929, months before Black Tuesday. The Depression just made everyone else stop being picky. Worth adding that the Soviets paid for a lot of that hardware with grain exports during 1932-33, which is where a good chunk of the famine came from. The deeper problem was the one Mises pointed out in 1920: without real prices you can't tell what anything actually costs, so you can build Magnitogorsk by brute force but you can't run a consumer economy. That never got fixed, and by 1986 the oil price collapse, Afghanistan, and the arms race exposed it.

On Diego's, I'd separate two things. Ebert siding with Groener and the Freikorps against the Spartacists in January 1919 is real, and Luxemburg and Liebknecht getting murdered for it is the original sin of Weimar for a lot of people. But the KPD had literally been founded the week before and was trying to overthrow a government that had been elected by workers' councils, so "sold out" depends on which side of the barricade you're on. Where you're right is the consequence: Lenin said outright that without a German revolution they were finished, and after 1919, then the Red Army getting stopped at Warsaw in 1920, then the failed uprisings in 1921 and 1923, that door closed for good. That's what produced "socialism in one country," and everything Tidemustroll describes follows from it. I wouldn't say it did Lenin in though. Three strokes did that.
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
20771 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

I can't decide if I am flattered or offended by that question.


It's funny. I was trying to have a convo with AI about something unrelated to this in history but about WWII, and I stumped the shite out of Cluade. He basically said I can't add anything to this because you beat me haha.
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
52703 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 4:14 pm to
I have also made Alexa apologize to me and admit she was wrong during a drunken argument with her.

That's all I got.

Good stuff guys.
Posted by Amarillo Tide
Amarillo, TX
Member since Aug 2023
2131 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 5:52 pm to
A lot of the time, if AI doesn’t know the answer to a question, it’ll just make crap up.
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
11211 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 6:51 pm to
There may have been limited Western investment in the USSR prior to the Depression, but I don't believe it would have ever risen to the level that it did without a global economic collapse spurring an additional influx of money. The risk was simply too great that a Russian venture would either fail outright or that it would succeed and then be nationalized by the Soviet government for there to be a high level of interest in putting capital into the USSR when it could be far more safely invested in any capitalist country. It was only after the Depression, when the choice became either risky Soviet business or no business at all, that Western firms became willing to foot the bill for Russian industrialization. You're right that all that investment couldn't build a functioning economy from scratch, though, and about the human cost of building a military industrial complex overnight from nothing. But human cost was meaningless to the Bolsheviks, and a functioning economy was never truly their aim because in spite of their supposed erudition, they were clueless about how actual economics worked.
Posted by RollTide4Ever
Nashville
Member since Nov 2006
20337 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 7:05 pm to
The Nazis were one of many similarly antisemitic socialist groups on the German scene by the turn of the century. Hitler's political inspiration was likely Karl Lueger, The George Wallace of Vienna politics.

Frederick III was prescient in opposing Bismarck's plan for German unification bc all it did was build the very apparatus for a tyrant like Hitler to take over for their nefarious means. No Germany, no ww1, no HItler.
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
11211 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 8:44 pm to
I don't know that I'd say that German unification led inevitably to Hitler and the Nazis. It took a very specific set of events to put that group into power. I think it would be more accurate to say that German unification led inevitably to the First World War. That war then served as the catalyst for everything that came after because of the specific way that it played out. WW1 to me is a much more interesting what-if point than WW2 is. Germany was going to lose the Second World War no matter what they did, but the First could have ended in a German victory if things had gone differently.
Posted by RollTide4Ever
Nashville
Member since Nov 2006
20337 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 9:53 pm to
Any time there's a centralization of power in all manners of military, fiancé, etc. The risk of danger increases exponentially.
This post was edited on 8/27/26 at 9:54 pm
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
11211 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 10:09 pm to
I don't necessarily disagree with that statement, but with the contention that German unification was going to inevitably lead to the Nazis. There were multiple directions that Germany could have gone post-unification. I do think that some version of the First World War was unavoidable, but there are many ways that that conflict could have played out and all of them result in a different postwar world and a different Germany. What if Germany had pursued an alliance with Russia rather than with Austria-Hungary? What if Wilhelm had not soured relations with the British with his ridiculous desire to have a navy that could rival the Royal Navy? What if the Germans had won the Battle of the Marne? All of these probably result in a German victory in WW1, with defeated and humiliated France most likely becoming the breeding ground for nationalist revanchist fascism in the postwar world.
Posted by Kerrygold
Virginia
Member since Dec 2018
864 posts
Posted on 8/28/26 at 6:28 am to
lol. Send resume to Anthropic
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