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re: CFB needs Bama to win

Posted on 11/27/18 at 6:57 pm to
Posted by remaster916
Alabama
Member since Oct 2012
12997 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 6:57 pm to
Ohio St's blowout lost to Purdue will keep them out of the playoffs unless Bama wins and OU losses.
Posted by Syd
Member since Sep 2012
4659 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 7:07 pm to
Missouri is ranked
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
6541 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 7:17 pm to
You guys can wax poetic about “four best teams” all you want. But the truth is, this is a MUST WIN game.

I hope the team understands that. Many of you don’t seem to.
Posted by DeeBeepy
Dekalb, IL
Member since Oct 2018
57 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 7:17 pm to
quote:

If they beat Texas and Army gets ranked like they are in the AP and coaches poll, they would have 4.


Army is still not ranked in the CFP rankings, but Missouri is. So that makes 4 ranked wins for Bama and still only 2 for Oklahoma (3 if they beat Texas).
Posted by DeeBeepy
Dekalb, IL
Member since Oct 2018
57 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

You guys can wax poetic about “four best teams” all you want. But the truth is, this is a MUST WIN game.

I hope the team understands that. Many of you don’t seem to.


To me, every game is a MUST WIN game, and I'm sure that's the way the team feels, as that's what Saban constantly drills into them.

It still doesn't change the fact that they are most likely still in the playoff even if they lose.
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
6541 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 7:30 pm to
There is no way we are in if we lose and OSU or Oklahoma win.

A one loss conference champ will not be left out. Assuming a loss, they will consider us, OSU and Oklahoma “roughly equivalent” and the conference title will serve as the tie breaker.

Politically, they cannot snub the Big 10 & 12. That would tear the sport apart.

No one loss conference champ has ever been snubbed for a non-champion.

Posted by tattoo
Fantasy Island
Member since Oct 2017
1975 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

pvilleguru
quote:

With a loss to UGA, our 2 best wins are against a 9-3 LSU and 8-4 MSU. Not much to write home about.
Bama has beaten 4 teams in the CFP top 25. Clemson has 2, ND 2, OU 2 and OSU 3. That 9-3 LSU team is in the top 10, higher than any Clemson or OU win.
This post was edited on 11/27/18 at 10:09 pm
Posted by Gj4Bama
Roll Tide!
Member since Nov 2006
975 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:23 pm to
quote:

A one loss conference champ will not be left out. Assuming a loss, they will consider us, OSU and Oklahoma “roughly equivalent” and the conference title will serve as the tie breaker. Politically, they cannot snub the Big 10 & 12. That would tear the sport apart. No one loss conference champ has ever been snubbed for a non-champion.


It happened just last year when they put Bama in at #4 which left Ohio State out lol. So yeah a conference champ has indeed been left out while a one loss non conference champ team got in.
This post was edited on 11/27/18 at 10:26 pm
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

OSU's loss to Purdue will hurt them just as much this year as their loss to Iowa hurt last year.


OSU lost to 6-6 Purdue by 29 and wasn't competitive in the second half. They're done. Their only chance of getting into the playoffs is if Oklahoma loses to Texas again, and the committee doesn't fancy 2-loss Georgia (which, they might).
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

It happened just last year when they put Bama in at #4 which left Ohio State out lol.


OSU had 2 losses last year, not one.
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

Assuming a loss, they will consider us, OSU and Oklahoma “roughly equivalent”


No way in hell, outside of losing to Georgia by 40+.
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

this is a MUST WIN game.



Regarding getting into the playoffs, this Bama game is a must win for Bama only if you are an OSU or Oklahoma fan.
Posted by PBD4BAMA
Sweet Home Alabama
Member since Dec 2014
6291 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

there is ZERO doubt that Alabama is a better team than Oklahoma or Ohio State.


Or Notre Dame!!
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 12:05 am to
LINK

"Kirk Herbstreit says that 11-2 Georgia will have a strong argument over 12-1 Oklahoma and 12-1 Ohio State if they go toe to toe with Alabama in a manner similar to last year’s championship game."

"He also said Alabama is likely playing for seeding unless they lay a total goose egg."
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
6541 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 12:43 am to
Ohio State had two loses
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
6541 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 1:11 am to
The fact is the Committee has NEVER excluded a one loss Champion for a non-conference winner.

They felt justified in leaving out Ohio State, a two loss champion, as record negated the conference championship factor.

I agree that Bama is more impressive than Ohio State. But Bama is expected to handle Georgia. Should Bama actually loose to Georgia, that perception will shift quickly, the SEC championship game will be seen as an elimination game, and the Conference champ with an equivalent record will be given the chance to challenge the team that Bama will have already lost to.

I’ll say again, to exclude two major conference one loss champs for a championship game loser would tear the sport apart. It will not happen.

I expect Bama to beat Georgia. But should we lose, I expect us to be out. This assumes Ohio State or Oklahoma win this weekend.

“Eye tests” and “bad losses” are means of justifying the exclusion of conference champs who have inferior records. Otherwise, the committee’s original primary mandate ... to respect conference championships... will prevail.

Now, the committee did set the precedence that it may determine which conference team is “the best team” and most worthy representative when it snubbed Penn State. But that is a different circumstance.
Posted by The Quiet One
Former United States
Member since Oct 2013
12127 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 1:19 am to
While Oklahoma was losing to Texas, struggling with Kansas and Ok St and WVU and Army and fielding a defense UConn laughs at....

While Ohio State was getting disemboweled by Purdue, struggling against Maryland and Indiana and Minnesota and Penn State and Nebraska...

Alabama was destroying teams on a level not seen since the 19th Century when the football was an overinflated pig’s scrotum or something. They annihilated ranked teams by 22, 24, 29 and 29. No one since the ‘95 Cornhuskers has done that.

Ohio State and Oklahoma are not “roughly equal” to Bama. Frick their conference championships. Don’t mean shite.

Bama is in unless UGA does something it historically doesn’t do: beat a great team and do it convincingly.
This post was edited on 11/28/18 at 1:21 am
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 1:43 am to
I diasgree completely, particularly the following parts:

quote:

Should Bama actually loose to Georgia, that perception will shift quickly, the SEC championship game will be seen as an elimination game


Firstly, it's 'lose', not 'loose'. Secondly, this is nonsense. Perception would not change quickly, barring a blowout loss by Bama. Bama enters the game with zero losses, while GA enters the game with a loss - a loss to a team that Bama embarrassed. Bama has also won every game by 20+ ponts, something that hasn't been done since Yale in 1888, 23 years after the civil war. How can you possibly think that Bama and GA enter the game on equal footing, thereby allowing the loser to be dismissed equally? It's just nonsense.

quote:

I’ll say again, to exclude two major conference one loss champs for a championship game loser would tear the sport apart. It will not happen. 


You're wrong this time you said it, too.

Some folks will be pissed off, sure. But it'll definitely happen. Conference championships are nothing more than one of the three tiebreakers committee members are instructed to use if 2 teams are equal in his/her mind based on whatever criteria they used to get to that roadblock of equality.

quote:

Otherwise, the committee’s original primary mandate ... to respect conference championships... will prevail.


This was never and has never been any mandate whatsoever in the committee selection process. You are rewriting history and are completely, irrevocably, and indefensibly wrong.

The committee members are - and have always been - tasked with determining 'the 4 best teams', and each member is free, within reason, to determine that as they see fit.

You have demonstrated that you have absolutely no grasp of how the selection process works. I have no problem with you believing different teams will/could be chosen, but the logic and 'facts' you've spewed here are incorrect to a shocking degree. You're wrong, and you're wrongness can't be saved by further hammering away with these wrong points. You're just more wrong every time you say it.

The Committee chairman said it a week ago. Bama and Clemson have separated themselves in the minds of the committed members. Therefore, it would take an incredibly negative data point to eliminate either team from being considered outside a list of the '4 best teams' in CFB, and it's likely not possible.

Herbstreit said it today, "Bama is likely playing for seeding."
This post was edited on 11/28/18 at 1:47 am
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 1:52 am to
quote:

But the committee also takes the long view when it comes to the entirety of a team's schedule to avoid the recency bias that comes with what happens in the days preceding the release of the rankings.


https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25395660/oklahoma-ahead-ohio-state-was-right-call-cfp-committee
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
6541 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 6:41 am to
quote:

You have demonstrated that you have absolutely no grasp of how the selection process works.


I hope and pray we don’t have to find out. Because the day a single loss conference champion of the pedigree of an Ohio State or Oklahoma are left at home in favor of a Conference Championship loser will be the day that pigs fly.

The committee has never done such a thing.

As far as Bama’s unprecedented dominance; it all gets filed under “might have beens” if we fail to dispatch Georgia.

Let’s get real. Which victory has established Bama as an all time great?

Auburn? Lol
LSU? Give me a break
Miss St. Come on
Texas A&M. Get real

If this Bama team is great, we will find out in the coming weeks. If we can’t beat Ga, then we just aren’t great.
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