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re: Alabama Basketball Megathread | 26-7 (16-2)
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:00 pm to McGregor
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:00 pm to McGregor
Our season is now finished so it's interesting to lookt at the closest comparisons in terms of teams in the last 20 years and how they did in the tournament
2021 Alabama
Adj O - 110.9
Adj D - 88.2
Adj Tempo - 73.9
#2 Seed
2012 Marquette
Adj O - 110.1
Adj D - 90.6
Adj Tempo - 71.0
#3 Seed
Sweet 16
2015 Oklahoma
Adj O - 111.6
Adj D - 88.5
Adj Tempo - 67.5
#3 Seed
Sweet 16
2011 North Carolina
Adj O - 111.6
Adj D - 89.1
Adj Tempo - 71.8
#2 Seed
Eite 8
2009 Louisville
Adj O - 112.0
Adj D - 85.4
Adj Tempo - 68.2
#1 Seed
Elite 8
2013 Kansas
Adj O - 111.6
Adj D - 86.2
Adj Tempo - 67.7
#1 Seed
Sweet 16
2021 Alabama
Adj O - 110.9
Adj D - 88.2
Adj Tempo - 73.9
#2 Seed
2012 Marquette
Adj O - 110.1
Adj D - 90.6
Adj Tempo - 71.0
#3 Seed
Sweet 16
2015 Oklahoma
Adj O - 111.6
Adj D - 88.5
Adj Tempo - 67.5
#3 Seed
Sweet 16
2011 North Carolina
Adj O - 111.6
Adj D - 89.1
Adj Tempo - 71.8
#2 Seed
Eite 8
2009 Louisville
Adj O - 112.0
Adj D - 85.4
Adj Tempo - 68.2
#1 Seed
Elite 8
2013 Kansas
Adj O - 111.6
Adj D - 86.2
Adj Tempo - 67.7
#1 Seed
Sweet 16
This post was edited on 3/18/21 at 5:07 pm
1
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:03 pm to SummerOfGeorge
If our ceiling this year is that, nobody can complain.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:11 pm to Chadaristic
I think the good news there too, is, that is our yearly average.
Over the last 10 games?
Off Eff - 112.0
Def Eff - 88.9
Over the last 10 games?
Off Eff - 112.0
Def Eff - 88.9
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:14 pm to Chadaristic
quote:I've decided not to complain about anything aside from a first round loss. After the WKU game I was certain we wouldn't even be on the annual bubble watch. Two conference titles later it's all gravy. You'd obviously like to at least play to seed, but there are some damn good teams we stand to meet starting in round 2.
If our ceiling this year is that, nobody can complain.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:19 pm to TideCPA
Tex Southern with 11-0 run to open the 2nd half and take the lead. Impressive.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:19 pm to Chadaristic
Yeah, I'm happy for the season already. I might suffer some short term disappointment if we lose in the first two rounds, but anything past that will just be adding to an already great season. Don't get me wrong, I'm really hoping for a deep run. But, anything other than a complete collapse will just be gravy for me.
*edit* I didn't steal TideCPA's thoughts. I'm just a slow phone typer.
*edit* I didn't steal TideCPA's thoughts. I'm just a slow phone typer.
This post was edited on 3/18/21 at 5:21 pm
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:21 pm to Teague
If we lose to Iona I'll be......I dunno, I'm not even considering that because it just isn't happening.
If we lose to UConn I'll be disappointed. I won't be mad or pissed or anything, but I'd be disappointed.
Anything past that and there is absolutely nothing but happiness for the season.
We've been past the 1st Weekend of the tournament ONE TIME in the last 30 years. ONE. So, count me in for being tickled to death with the regular season/SECT we had plus a trip to the Sweet 16.
If we lose to UConn I'll be disappointed. I won't be mad or pissed or anything, but I'd be disappointed.
Anything past that and there is absolutely nothing but happiness for the season.
We've been past the 1st Weekend of the tournament ONE TIME in the last 30 years. ONE. So, count me in for being tickled to death with the regular season/SECT we had plus a trip to the Sweet 16.
This post was edited on 3/18/21 at 5:22 pm
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:22 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Torvik Tourney Odds - Performance vs Top 100
Alabama (#2)
Round of 32 - 95.9%
Sweet 16 - 68.8%
Elite 8 - 48.4%
Final 4 - 25.3%
Final 2 - 8.3%
Champion - 4.6%
Arkansas (#3)
Round of 32 - 72.7%
Sweet 16 - 42.3%
Elite 8 - 19.9%
Final 4 - 6.6%
Final 2 - 2.4%
Champion - 0.5%
Tennessee (#5)
Round of 32 - 74.5%
Sweet 16 - 38.0%
Elite 8 - 12.6%
Final 4 - 5.1%
Final 2 - 1.9%
Champion - 0.4%
Florida (#7)
Round of 32 - 64.5%
Sweet 16 - 25.7%
Elite 8 - 13.4%
Final 4 - 4.2%
Final 2 - 1.4%
Champion - 0.2%
LSU (#8)
Round of 32 - 46.2%
Sweet 16 - 12.6%
Elite 8 - 5.1%
Final 4 - 2.0%
Final 2 - 0.4%
Champion - 0.2%
Missouri (#9)
Round of 32 - 55.4%
Sweet 16 - 4.6%
Elite 8 - 2.0%
Final 4 - 0.7%
Final 2 - 0.2%
Champion - 0.0%
Alabama (#2)
Round of 32 - 95.9%
Sweet 16 - 68.8%
Elite 8 - 48.4%
Final 4 - 25.3%
Final 2 - 8.3%
Champion - 4.6%
Arkansas (#3)
Round of 32 - 72.7%
Sweet 16 - 42.3%
Elite 8 - 19.9%
Final 4 - 6.6%
Final 2 - 2.4%
Champion - 0.5%
Tennessee (#5)
Round of 32 - 74.5%
Sweet 16 - 38.0%
Elite 8 - 12.6%
Final 4 - 5.1%
Final 2 - 1.9%
Champion - 0.4%
Florida (#7)
Round of 32 - 64.5%
Sweet 16 - 25.7%
Elite 8 - 13.4%
Final 4 - 4.2%
Final 2 - 1.4%
Champion - 0.2%
LSU (#8)
Round of 32 - 46.2%
Sweet 16 - 12.6%
Elite 8 - 5.1%
Final 4 - 2.0%
Final 2 - 0.4%
Champion - 0.2%
Missouri (#9)
Round of 32 - 55.4%
Sweet 16 - 4.6%
Elite 8 - 2.0%
Final 4 - 0.7%
Final 2 - 0.2%
Champion - 0.0%
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:23 pm to Teague
Yea I'm pretty happy already, understatement. I'd love to make the second weekend but it's hoops and you can play well and lose. It happens. Ask LSU.
Just win Saturday.
Just win Saturday.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:33 pm to McGregor
Man, we definitely got the hottest half of a bracket in the tournament
Last Month
Overall Rank Since February 18
4. UConn (#7 seed) (#10 Off, #10 Def)
7. BYU (#6 seed) (#6 Off, #38 Def)
14. Alabama (#2 seed) (#61 Off, #5 Def)
16. Maryland (#10 seed) (#47 Off, #23 Def)
21. Texas (#3 seed) (#23 Off, #54 Def)
3 teams with seeds > 5 that are ranked in the Top 16 over the last month
Last Month
Overall Rank Since February 18
4. UConn (#7 seed) (#10 Off, #10 Def)
7. BYU (#6 seed) (#6 Off, #38 Def)
14. Alabama (#2 seed) (#61 Off, #5 Def)
16. Maryland (#10 seed) (#47 Off, #23 Def)
21. Texas (#3 seed) (#23 Off, #54 Def)
3 teams with seeds > 5 that are ranked in the Top 16 over the last month
This post was edited on 3/18/21 at 5:35 pm
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:37 pm to McGregor
quote:I like Avery,too!...just not sitting on the bench at our basketball games.
I like Avery, glad he's not our coach but seems like a good dude.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:39 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
we definitely got the hottest half of a bracket
I would expect nothing less. I half expect to lose to Maryland (Galin goes for 30) who goes on to win the tournament.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:47 pm to Teague
#7 and #10 seeds - Last Month
4. UConn (#7)
16. Maryland (#10)
24. Virginia Tech (#10)
35. Florida (#7)
52. Oregon (#7)
53. Clemson (#7)
63. VCU (#10)
100. Rutgers (#10)
The 2 toughest possible opponents for a #2 seed out of the #7/10s and we have both of them squaring off to play us
Iowa gets the winner of a shitfest between Oregon/VCU and Houston is the all-time winner getting the winner of Clemson/Rutgers.
Rutgers has basically been playing at a #14-15 seed level for the last month
4. UConn (#7)
16. Maryland (#10)
24. Virginia Tech (#10)
35. Florida (#7)
52. Oregon (#7)
53. Clemson (#7)
63. VCU (#10)
100. Rutgers (#10)
The 2 toughest possible opponents for a #2 seed out of the #7/10s and we have both of them squaring off to play us
Iowa gets the winner of a shitfest between Oregon/VCU and Houston is the all-time winner getting the winner of Clemson/Rutgers.
Rutgers has basically been playing at a #14-15 seed level for the last month
Posted on 3/18/21 at 5:58 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Drake with 6 points in the first 12 minutes against a blah Wichita team
Drake had been playing bad basketball the last month (#96) (below #16 Drexel, #16 Norfolk St, #15 Iona, etc). They seem to be continuing that trend.
Drake had been playing bad basketball the last month (#96) (below #16 Drexel, #16 Norfolk St, #15 Iona, etc). They seem to be continuing that trend.
This post was edited on 3/18/21 at 5:59 pm
Posted on 3/18/21 at 6:06 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Starting to think that BYU can/will beat Texas.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 6:07 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
4. UConn (#7 seed) (#10 Off, #10 Def)
Wow, I need to go look and see who they've played in that span or is that adjusted somehow?
Posted on 3/18/21 at 6:08 pm to Chadaristic
quote:
Starting to think that BYU can/will beat Texas.
I really think the Texas love is overblown. People saw them play 1 good game, looked at their long athletes, fell in love. They are incredibly up and down and they can turn the ball over like wild.
I'm telling you - if we get past UConn (assuming we play them), I'll feel great about the rest of the bracket.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 6:10 pm to Chadaristic
quote:
Wow, I need to go look and see who they've played in that span or is that adjusted somehow?
It's adjusted, but yea they've been very good.
Providence (W by 12)
@ Villanova (L by 8)
@ Georgetown (W by 13)
Marquette (W by 18)
@ Seton Hall (W by 11)
Georgetown (W by 16)
DePaul (W by 34)
Creighton (L by 3)
However, really only played 2 Top 25 level teams in there and they lost both. So, we'll see.
Posted on 3/18/21 at 6:15 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Damn it's good to have tournament games on TV again
And Double Damn it's good to know we'll be in them
And Double Damn it's good to know we'll be in them
Posted on 3/18/21 at 6:20 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I took tomorrow and Monday off. Really looking forward to the next four days of basketball.
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