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re: Alabama Basketball Megathread | 26-7 (16-2)

Posted on 3/16/21 at 2:49 pm to
Posted by Joka2kold
Member since Nov 2019
6151 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 2:49 pm to
Pitino is saying all the RIGHT THINGS.
Posted by LovetheLord
The Ash Grove
Member since Dec 2010
6604 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Rick Pitino on Nate Oats: “I enjoy watching his teams play immensely. I don’t know him. I guess this is his first year at Alabama.” (it’s his second)


Nate’s going to make sure that he knows who he is on Saturday. And may make it a point to note that he did as well.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26682 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

- Herb Jones is the best defender in the country

- Keon Ellis ain't far behind


Love it. Do you have the ratings past 10 (ie where the rest of Alabama’s guys are)?
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41005 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

Nate’s going to make sure that he knows who he is on Saturday. And may make it a point to note that he did as well.


I don't think Pitino meant anything by that. I think he was just saying that he's never met the man and/or had a conversation with him.
Posted by DLev45
Member since Aug 2018
731 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:19 pm to
LINK

Fishback is correct. The difference in Alabama "just winning" versus absolutely annihilating teams has been a hot John Petty.

85-65 W @ UK - Petty: 9/15 FG (4/7 3PT), 23 points
90-59 W v. ARK - Petty: 6/10 FG (5/9 3PT), 17 points
105-75 @ LSU - Petty: 8/11 FG (8/10 3PT), 24 points

When Petty scores 13 or more:
Record: 11-0
Avg. margin: Alabama +18.7

When Petty scores 12 or less:
Record: 12-6
Avg. margin: Alabama +4



Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:21 pm to
LINK ]Nate Oats talks tournament foe Iona, coaching against Rick Pitino (BOL)



LINK ]Nate Oats 'not interested' in job openings at Indiana, other schools (BOL)



Charlie Potter nugget: "No COVID-19 issues for Alabama. The team is out of quarantine."
This post was edited on 3/16/21 at 3:37 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

Love it. Do you have the ratings past 10 (ie where the rest of Alabama’s guys are)?



Alabama's Defensive Box Plus/Minus - Since March 1
1. Herb Jones (+6.3)
2. James Rojas (+5.4)
3. Keon Ellis (+4.6)
4. John Petty Jr (+4.2)
5. Jordan Bruner (+3.4)
6. Jahvon Quinerly (+2.2)
7. Jaden Shackelford (+2.1)
8. Alex Reese (+1.9)
9. Juwan Gary (+1.2)
10. Josh Primo (-0.7)
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41005 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

When Petty scores 13 or more:
Record: 11-0
Avg. margin: Alabama +18.7

When Petty scores 12 or less:
Record: 12-6
Avg. margin: Alabama +4


Damn, that one point does make a huge difference when you look at it like that.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:28 pm to
Overall Box Plus/Minus since March 1
1. Herb Jones (+11.5)
2. Jahvon Quinerly (+9.0)
3. Juwan Gary (+7.9)
4. Keon Ellis (+7.8)
5. Jaden Shackelford (+5.5)
6. John Petty Jr (+4.6)
7. Jordan Bruner (+1.1)
8. James Rojas (+0.4)
9. Joshua Primo (-0.1)
10. Alex Reese (-2.0)
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

Damn, that one point does make a huge difference when you look at it like that.



Yep, it really does. We've now got confident and elite Quinerly shooting and driving, a healthy Herb, a maturing before our eyes Ellis, a Shack shooting as well as he has all year.......we are truly Petty making shots away from looking around and going "uhhh we can win this damn tournament".

Remember when we couldn't shoot? How about these numbers from the last 5 games from 3PT

- Keon Ellis (5/12) (42%)
- Jaden Shackelford (15/36) (42%)
- Jahvon Quinerly (9/22) (41%)

There's one guy missing there
- John Petty (11/32) (34%)

Reese still can't shoot, but let's not get greedy
This post was edited on 3/16/21 at 3:39 pm
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41005 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

2. James Rojas (+5.4)


Jimmy Basketball
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41005 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

8. James Rojas (+0.4)


So his Offensive BPM is -5?

Sheesh.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

So his Offensive BPM is -5?



Yea............it's not good. He has a turnover rate of 46.1%

Reese's is only slightly better at -3.9. He's 3/14 from 3PT the last 3 games (21%). His True Shooting % is 37%
This post was edited on 3/16/21 at 3:35 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:36 pm to
Also, remember when we couldn't finish at the rim?

Last 5 games

Close 2 Shots
1. Quinerly (15/19) (79%)
2. Ellis (7/10) (70%)
3. Gary (11/17) (65%)
4. Primo (5/8) (63%)
5. Rojas (3/5) (60%)

Herb and Shack are still a coin flip, though

- Herb (21/40) (53%)
- Shack (8/17) (47%)
Posted by DLev45
Member since Aug 2018
731 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

Damn, that one point does make a huge difference when you look at it like that.


I drew that line there because that's the mark where we stay undefeated.

Petty 10 or more:
Record: 16-3
Margin: Bama +12.1

Petty less than 10:
Record: 7-3
Margin: Bama +4.7
Posted by Crede15
Member since Jun 2009
17250 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:43 pm to
That Rojas defensive number is a little eye opening to me. Would not have guessed that. Not that I think he’s a bad defender - more like an average to above average one that fouls too much.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:45 pm to
I'd guess that he does his part in the greater scope of team defense with the units he is on the floor with - which leads to a higher Box +/- number.

I'm pretty sure he's not an elite individual defender, but it's hard to argue that the numbers don't show that the defense plays well with him in the game, which must mean he's doing his part.
This post was edited on 3/16/21 at 3:46 pm
Posted by DLev45
Member since Aug 2018
731 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:45 pm to
When Petty makes 3+ 3-pointers (regardless of attempts)

When Petty makes 3+ 3-pointers:
Record: 12-1
Margin: Bama +16.2

When Petty makes less than 3 3-pointers:
Record: 11-5
Margin: Bama +4.2
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

DLev45


Those are pretty crazy numbers. We've all been saying if we shoot it well as a team we can beat anyone. In reality, if John Petty shoots it well we can beat anybody. If he doesn't we'll probably have to grind it out. When Petty shoots it well we are a national title contender. When he doesn't we are (playing the way we are playing right now) a Top 10 or so really good team.

I mean, the numbers bear it out, Petty having a solid night basically adds 10-12 pts to our margins. If you add 10 pts to our "baseline" margin, that's a serious national title contender.

This post was edited on 3/16/21 at 3:48 pm
Posted by DLev45
Member since Aug 2018
731 posts
Posted on 3/16/21 at 3:49 pm to
When Petty shoots 33%+ from 3:
Record: 13-2
Margin: Bama +14.7

Petty less than 33%:
Record: 10-4
Margin: Bama +3.9
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